基于回归方法的移动通信话务量预测

针对移动通信话务量与市场用户和相应资费政策相关的特点，采用回归预测方法，建立了基于市场用户数及每用户收入的话务量预测模型，并对模型进行了经济学意义上的检验。根据此模型，对话务量进行了初步的预测分析。     

Coupling of free surface and groundwater flows

In this paper we present some preliminary results about the coupling of shallow water equations for free surface flows and Darcy equation for groundwater flows. A suitable set of interface conditions is discussed: the Beavers and Joseph formula for the bottom stress is used. An iterative algorithm to solve the coupled problem is proposed and some numerical results are presented.     

预测水驱油田开发动态的一种方法

水驱曲线法和数学模型法都是油藏工程中的重要方法，前者主要用于在一定的经济含水条件下预测水驱油田的可采储量和采收率，后者主要用于预测不同类型油田的产量、累积产量和一定经济极限产量下的可采储量。然而，前者与时间序列无关，后者与含水率序列无关，都有局限性。提出丙型水驱曲线公式与ＨＣＺ数学模型公式联解预测法，不但可以预测水驱油田产量、累积产量、含水率随时间的变化，还可预测可采储量、可动油储量和水驱波及体积系数的变化。图３表１参１２（陈志宏摘）     

Influence of Missing Values on the Prediction of a Stationary Time Series

Abstract. The influence of missing observations on the linear prediction of a stationary time series is investigated. Simple bounds for the prediction error variance and asymptotic behaviours for short and long‐memory processes respectively are presented.     

运动估计块匹配两级搜索算法

根据视频图像相邻块在空间上具有很大的相关性,吸收了矢量预测块匹配的核心思想,提出一种两级块匹配运动估计算法,在第一级中,首先根据矢量预测确定一个小区域,然后在此区域内进行快速搜索,如果在第一级中没有搜索到匹配块则进行第二级搜索,该算法可大大提高搜索速度.     

Simulation of leachate migration in leaky aquifers

A two-dimensional cross-section finite difference model is presented to simulate density dependent leachate migration in leaky aquifers. Unlike existing models, a new approach is adopted to couple the groundwater-flow equation and the hydrodynamic dispersion equation with the elimination of the intermediate step of calculating velocities. The concept of the reference density is employed, permitting increased accuracy (over pressure-based models) in the representation of the transport process. The model is then used to study the effect of several hydraulic and transport parameters on the flow pattern and plume migration which are found to be very sensitive to most of these parameters. Equiconcentration and equipotential lines are overlapped to provide a better understanding of the coupling effect.     

塑钢包装箱材料贮存寿命预测

用热老化箱对4种塑钢包装箱用材进行了为期1个月的热老化试验，以材料的冲击强度作为判据指标，通过回归处理外推得到其常温下的贮存寿命预测评估结果。     

利用最小熵法预测高频拓宽频带

本根据最小熵观点给出了预测高频成分拓宽频带的方法，实际效果表明，该方法是一种拓宽频带的有效方法。     

南冲高架桥某基桩的检测与处理

详细论述了南冲高架桥 6-2桩的检测过程 ,说明了岩溶地质对桩基质量的影响 ,并对此影响和预防措施进行了论述     

吴家庄水库库区岩溶渗漏分析

吴家庄水库坝址区岩洛渗漏是最主要的工程地质问题，直接影响建库规模和工程的可行性。通过对库区岩溶发育规律、特征及库区岩溶渗漏条件进行分析、计算、评价，认为水库正常高水位825m为宜。