基于遗传神经网络的网格资源预测模型

研究网格资源预测问题,网格资源具有非线性、混沌变化特点,传统BP神经网络具有局部极小、收敛速度慢等缺陷,预测精度较低。为提高了网格资源预测精度,提出一种基于遗传神经网络的网格资源预测模型。利用遗传算法对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,然后采用BP神经网络对网格资源建立预测模型,最后采用网格资源时间序列进行有效性仿真。仿真结果表明,遗传神经网络有效地解决了传统BP神经网络的不足,提高了网格资源的预测精度,降低了预测误差,十分适合于非线性、混沌的网格资源时间序列预测。     

原发性高血压病靶器官损害的预测仿真研究

研究原发性高血压病靶器官损害准确预测问题,由于原发性高血压病靶器官损害的影响因子之间存在着高度冗余和非线性,导致传统方法预测准确率低,为提高预测精度,构建了一种改进的基因表达式编程算法的原发性高血压病靶器官损害预测模型,首先设计了适合靶器官损害预测的适应度函数,然后为克服早熟现象提出了以平均适应度形式自适应的改变重组算子概率和变异算子概率,通过数据训练得到靶器官损害的2年预测模型。采用对山东中医药大学第二附属医院原发性高血压病历史数据进行验证性仿真,结果表明,方法的预测精度更高,在原发性高血压病靶器官损害的预测中有着广泛的应用前景。     

遗传优化的GNNM在瓦斯涌出量预测中的应用

研究矿井瓦斯涌出量准确预测一直是煤矿安全生产中重点关注的问题。煤层瓦斯爆炸因受开发环境、矿层深度、天气等因素的影响,造成与瓦斯涌出量增大而引起的。针对传统预测模型在矿井瓦斯涌出量预测中存在建模困难、收敛速度慢、要求历史数据量大的问题,提出了一种遗传优化的灰色神经网络预测模型。模型利用灰色系统对数据量要求低的特点,将灰色系统理论与神经网络有机结合起来,建立灰色神经网络模型。并采用遗传算法对所建立模型的权值和阈值进行优化。采用模型对矿井瓦斯涌出量进行预测,实验表明,遗传优化的灰色神经网络模型,可以简化系统建模,并能提高瓦斯涌出量预测精度,有一定的实用价值。     

组合模型在降雨量预测中的应用

研究降雨量准确预测问题,降水量的变化既受大气环流、地形、气压、气候带等各种环境因子的影响,降水量的动态特征呈现复杂非线性和各种干扰因素,预测不可能准确。传统预测模型难以对其进行准确预测,预测精度低。为提高降雨量的预测精度,提出一种组合模型的降雨量预测模型。首先采用小波分析将降雨量数据进行分解成线性和非线性部分,然后分别采用ARIMA和RBF神经网络模型对其进行预测,最后采用小波重构线性和非线性预测结果,得到降雨量最终预测结果。仿真结果表明,相对于传统预测模型,组合模型提高了降雨量预测精度,预测结果可以帮助农业、水利部门提高防治旱涝灾害的科学依据。     

对地观测卫星成像区域仿真研究

为了发挥对地观测卫星在大面积、实时、快速获取地表数据方面的优势,用户需要事先掌握对于自己感兴趣区域上空的卫星过境情况和成像能力。本文通过对卫星轨道预报模型与算法、卫星地面成像区域边界轨迹计算模型和算法的探讨与实践,得到了一些对卫星成像区域仿真有益的经验。试验证明,对于无侧视情况下,使用较旧的卫星轨道根数来计算卫星成像区域,仍能满足用户对于成像区域预报的精度要求。     

采用形态神经网络背景自适应预测的图像弱小目标检测*

提出一种有效的背景杂波预测形态神经网络模型,用于检测图像数据中的弱小目标.目标被假设为只有很小的空域扩展度,而且淹没于强背景杂波干扰中.通过形态神经网络,杂波背景被准确地估计并从输入数据中去除,只剩下残留噪声和目标信号.采用扩展输入层数据的办法修正了传统的形态开、闭运算三层前馈BP网络模型.为了跟踪包含不同子结构的复杂背景,原始图像被划分为多个子块,并在相应的子块中选择训练样本对结构元进行优化.对真实图像数据的计算机仿真表明该算法在性能上优于其他传统算法.     

A combo technology of autotrophic and heterotrophic denitrification processes for groundwater treatment

In this study,a sequential process (heterotrophic up-flow column and completely mixed membrane bioreactors) was proposed combining advantages of the both processes.The system was operated for 249 days with simulated and real groundwater for nitrate removal at concentrations varying from 25 to 145 mg·L-1 NO3-N.The contribution of heterotrophic process to total nitrate removal in the system was controlled by dozing the ethanol considering the nitrate concentration.By this way,sulfur based autotrophic denitrification rate was decreased and the effluent sulfate concentrations were controlled.The alkalinity requirement in the autotrophic process was produced in the heterotrophic reactor,and the system was operated without alkalinity supplementation.Throughout the study,the chemical oxygen demand in the heterotrophic reactor effluent was (23.7 ± 22) mg·L-1 and it was further decreased to(7.5 ± 7.2) mg·L-1 in the system effluent,corresponding to a 70％ reduction.In the last period of the study,the real groundwater containing 145 mg·L-1 NO3-N was completely removed.Membrane was operated without chemical washing in the first 114 days.Between days 115-249 weekly chemical washing was required.     

断裂构造发育对贵州两岔河水库岩溶渗漏的影响研究

贵州两岔口水库地质环境复杂,断层构造发育破坏了库区地层结构,导致岩溶渗漏。为保证两岔河水库的正常运行,主要针对其岩溶渗漏的地质问题,在开展工程地质测绘、岩溶调查统计、钻孔勘探及压水试验等工作的基础上,分析了断裂构造对地层结构、岩体完整性、岩溶发育及水库渗漏的控制影响。研究表明:断层构造发育破坏了库区地层结构,形成"构造切口",水库左岸不能形成地层封闭;岩体完整程度为破碎—极破碎,地下岩溶强发育,易形成水库岩溶渗漏;地下岩溶管道发育方向基本和断层走向一致,断层构造对岩溶发育起着明显的控制作用;水库渗漏为折线式复合型渗漏。研究成果为岩溶地区水库防渗处理提供参考。     

O3/H2O2 Treatment of Methyl-terf-Butyl Ether in Contaminated Waters: Effect of Background COD on the O3-Dose

The destruction of methyl-tert-butyl ether (MTBE) in contaminated waters by O₃/H₂0₂ process was studied and the influence background COD, alkalinity, and hydrogen peroxide and MTBE concentrations on process treatment efficiency and ozone dosage was investigated. The treatment efficiency was evaluated by an Efficiency Index, which is based on electrical energy requirement for ozone production. It was found that the treatment efficiency decreases linearly with increasing concentrations of MTBE at constant background COD and with background COD at constant MTBE concentration. A simplified kinetic scheme was presented to account for these observations.     

Prediction of multicomponent adsorption equilibrium of gas mixtures including supercritical components

A new model to predict the adsorption equilibrium of mixtures containing supercritical components was presented. The difference in the adsorption mechanism between the supercritical components and the condensable components was accounted for in the new model. Lateral interaction in the adsorbed phase was also considered in the local isotherm. The new model was verified by the experimental data of the mixture CH₄/CO₂/C₂H₆ on activated carbon JX101 collected for 283-313 K and pressures up to . It was also verified with the experimental data published previously in literature. Considerable improvement in the prediction precision was achieved in using the new model to predict the adsorption of mixtures on activated carbon.