Stock Price Forecasting: An Echo State Network Approach

Forecasting stock prices using deep learning models suffers from problems such as low accuracy, slow convergence, and complex network structures. This study developed an echo state network (ESN) model to mitigate such problems. We compared our ESN with a long short-term memory (LSTM) network by forecasting the stock data of Kweichow Moutai, a leading enterprise in China’s liquor industry. By analyzing data for 120, 240, and 300 days, we generated forecast data for the next 40, 80, and 100 days, respectively, using both ESN and LSTM. In terms of accuracy, ESN had the unique advantage of capturing nonlinear data. Mean absolute error (MAE) was used to present the accuracy results. The MAEs of the data forecast by ESN were 0.024, 0.024, and 0.025, which were, respectively, 0.065, 0.007, and 0.009 less than those of LSTM. In terms of convergence, ESN has a reservoir state-space structure, which makes it perform faster than other models. Root-mean-square error (RMSE) was used to present the convergence time. In our experiment, the RMSEs of ESN were 0.22, 0.27, and 0.26, which were, respectively, 0.08, 0.01, and 0.12 less than those of LSTM. In terms of network structure, ESN consists only of input, reservoir, and output spaces, making it a much simpler model than the others. The proposed ESN was found to be an effective model that, compared to others, converges faster, forecasts more accurately, and builds time-series analyses more easily.     

Semisupervised Encrypted Traffic Identification Based on Auxiliary Classification Generative Adversarial Network

The rapidly increasing popularity of mobile devices has changed the methods with which people access various network services and increased network traffic markedly. Over the past few decades, network traffic identification has been a research hotspot in the field of network management and security monitoring. However, as more network services use encryption technology, network traffic identification faces many challenges. Although classic machine learning methods can solve many problems that cannot be solved by port- and payload-based methods, manually extract features that are frequently updated is time-consuming and labor-intensive. Deep learning has good automatic feature learning capabilities and is an ideal method for network traffic identification, particularly encrypted traffic identification; Existing recognition methods based on deep learning primarily use supervised learning methods and rely on many labeled samples. However, in real scenarios, labeled samples are often difficult to obtain. This paper adjusts the structure of the auxiliary classification generation adversarial network (ACGAN) so that it can use unlabeled samples for training, and use the wasserstein distance instead of the original cross entropy as the loss function to achieve semisupervised learning. Experimental results show that the identification accuracy of ISCX and USTC data sets using the proposed method yields markedly better performance when the number of labeled samples is small compared to that of convolutional neural network (CNN) based classifier.     

众筹项目推荐:面向隐式反馈的深度学习协同过滤

目前,在推荐系统研究中,用户的隐式反馈,以及极度稀疏的数据,已成为影响协同过滤推荐效果的主要问题.针对这一现象,本文提出了深度学习协同过滤算法,先利用卷积神经网络,对用户-项目矩阵的隐层特征进行学习,再结合协同过滤,对用户-项目的交互信息进行建模,并将两种特征融合预测推荐列表.以众筹平台的数据为实验对象,比较模型中各参数对推荐效果的影响,并设计与基线方法的对比实验.实验结果表明:均匀采集负反馈,并在一定卷积层数的网络中,数据稀疏度越高,效果越好;对比基线方法,本文提出的算法在公开数据集(Yahoo!Movie)上取得了最好的推荐结果.本文提出的算法有助于提高众筹平台的融资成功率,同时也丰富了推荐系统的研究体系.     

基于超声波的围岩松动圈实时监测系统设计

实时地掌握围岩松动圈的范围对矿藏的安全生产具有重要的意义。利用超声波探测的灵活性和准确性,本文提出了一种基于超声波的围岩松动圈监测系统设计方法。此方案利用超声波在岩体中的传播速度与岩体的受力状态和裂隙程度的关系来实时地监测围岩松动圈的情况,具有方便、灵活、易于操作等特点。     

围岩一支护动态系统稳定性判据——变形速率比值判别法

本文以围岩稳定性判据现有研究成果为基础,总结若干新奥法软弱围岩隧道工程监控量测的经验教训,针对现行判据在现场往往难以掌握应用的问题,提出“围岩与支护动态系统稳定性判据(变形速率比值判别法)”,给出工程实例,并以开放的复杂巨系统方法论为指导,试图从原理和方法上加以阐明。     

多元QoS约束下电力通信无线资源分配的边缘代理调度方法

为满足不同配电通信业务的服务质量要求,BS需要在时变网络条件下实时优化无线资源。提出一种基于级联深度网络的接入网无线资源边缘代理调度方法,将时频资源和发射功率分配给延迟耐受度不同的业务。核心网采用网元功能与专用硬件设备解耦的软切片方法,在保证负荷在规定时长内可靠切除的同时,提高了核心网服务器对不同业务的时空间复用能力。仿真结果表明,多业务并列运行时RTU与协控子站间的接入时延与TD-LTE专网相比降低40.76%,相邻第一第二信道间的功率泄露比均高于45 dB,满足毫秒级负荷切除业务分路整组动作时延和通信可靠性的要求。     

基于深度学习与不平衡样本集的输电线路故障分类

针对输电线路各类型故障样本间的数量不平衡会造成人工智能算法对故障中的少数类样本识别精度不足的问题,提出了一种基于Borderline-SMOTE（BSMOTE）算法与卷积神经网络（CNN）相结合的输电线路故障分类方法。该方法首先利用BSMOTE算法对位于分类边界上的少数类样本进行过采样合成处理,改善样本间的不平衡度,然后将所提取的一维故障电流信号样本重构成二维灰度图像数据形式,并在Pytorch深度学习框架下搭建了CNN网络模型,利用模型的自主学习能力对灰度图像进行特征自提取与辨识,减少传统人工设计特征提取的工序,完成对输电线路故障类型的分类。实验结果表明该模型能够提高对少数类故障样本的识别能力,准确地判断故障类型,并对噪音具有较强的抗干扰能力。     

基于改进深度强化学习的智能微电网群控制优化方法

针对微电网群控制的经济效益、负荷波动以及碳排放问题,提出一种基于改进深度强化学习的智能微电网群运行优化方法。首先,计及分布式电源、电动汽车及负荷特性,提出微电网的系统模型。然后,针对微电网群的运行特点,提出4个系统优化目标和5个约束条件,并且引入分时电价机制调控负荷运行。最后,利用改进深度强化学习算法对微电网群进行优化,合理调控多种能源协同出力,调整负荷状态,实现电网经济运行。仿真结果表明了所提方法的有效性,与其他方法相比,其收益较高且碳排放量较小,可实现系统的经济环保运行。     

Incorporating Machine Learning into Established Bioinformatics Frameworks

The exponential growth of biomedical data in recent years has urged the application of numerous machine learning techniques to address emerging problems in biology and clinical research. By enabling the automatic feature extraction, selection, and generation of predictive models, these methods can be used to efficiently study complex biological systems. Machine learning techniques are frequently integrated with bioinformatic methods, as well as curated databases and biological networks, to enhance training and validation, identify the best interpretable features, and enable feature and model investigation. Here, we review recently developed methods that incorporate machine learning within the same framework with techniques from molecular evolution, protein structure analysis, systems biology, and disease genomics. We outline the challenges posed for machine learning, and, in particular, deep learning in biomedicine, and suggest unique opportunities for machine learning techniques integrated with established bioinformatics approaches to overcome some of these challenges.     

Method for discrimination of false targets in multistation radar systems based on the deep neural network

For the existing jamming discrimination methods for multistation radar systems,only the single feature of target echo space correlation is utilized as the metric,which leads to insufficient comprehensiveness of feature extraction,so that effectiveness and universality are insufficient for the discrimination algorithm.In this paper,an identification method in multistatic radar systems based on the deep neural network is proposed.This method combines the characteristics of multistatic radar systems cooperative detection technology,which has many available resources and strong scheduling ability in space,time and frequency domain,with the strong model learning and feature representation ability in the process of information processing on the deep neural network,so that it can effectively apply to the field of anti-deception jamming.Full use is made of unknown information about echo data to obtain more multi-dimensional,more comprehensive,more complete and deeper feature differences besides correlation,so as to achieve a better jamming discrimination effect.Simulation results show that the proposed method can effectively reduce the influence of noise and pulse number on the jamming discrimination performance.At the same time,the limitation of the target echo correlation coefficient on anti-jamming technology under nonideal conditions is alleviated,which broadens the boundary conditions of the application process.