Decentralized energy supply: Suitability for the UK's industrial sectors

From the results reported here it is suggested that policy decisions about the potential contribution of decentralized energy supply systems to UK industrial energy requirements should be based on the suitability of individual sectors rather than averaged over all sectors. The suitability of decentralized energy sources is evaluated, based on a themodynamic match between source and demand. This suitability criterion is used to identify the most appropriate sector in manufacturing industries for the adoption of decentralized energy supply, leaving aside economic cost considerations and individual site requirements.     

吉林省中部地区水资源配置初探

中部地区水资源总量为39.61亿m3。城市用水与农业、生态用水矛盾突出,城市供水能力不足,水污染问题严重,地下水超采严重,水资源开发利用不协调。该区水资源已无进一步开发利用的潜力,需通过调水工程解决缺水问题。水资源配置思路为从地处松花江上游的丰满水库引水,增加供水能力。     

Testing viability of cross subsidy using time-variant price elasticities of industrial demand for electricity: Indian experience

Indian electric tariffs are characterized by very high rates for industrial and commercial classes to permit subsidized electric consumption by residential and agricultural customers. We investigate the viability of this policy using monthly data for 1997–2003 on electric consumption by a few large industrial customers under the aegis of a small distribution company in the state of Uttar Pradesh. For a given price/cost ratio, it can be shown that if the cross-subsidizing class’ electricity demand is sufficiently elastic, increasing the class’ rates fail to recover incremental cross-subsidy necessary to support additional revenues for subsidized classes. This suboptimality is tested by individually estimating time-variant price-elasticities of demand for these industrial customers using Box-Cox and linear regressions. We find that at least for some of these customers, cross-subsidy was suboptimal prior to as late as October 2001, when rates were changed following reforms.     

Optimal predictor for a singular random process

An optimal predictor is developed for a singular random process generated by a known system driven by a white noise sequence. The properties of the predictor are compared with those of the optimal predictor for a nonsingular random process.     

节理岩体的代表单元集合体模型及弹性参数预测

本文明确提出了节理岩体“代表单元集合体”的概念和模型，通过对节理岩体的“代表单元集合体”进行数值模拟，研究了节理岩体的“代表单元集合体”的变形特性，建立了节理岩体的弹性模型，提出了预测节理岩体宏观等效弹性参数的计算机模拟方法，并将其应用于岩体工程稳定性分析中。     

Linear interpolation in a fuzzy information space

An approach to solving a linear interpolation problem in a fuzzy information space is proposed. Two different schemes of interpolation are outlined: a heuristic one, based on the geometrical interpretation of operations, and an optimization one, based on the expansion principle. The results obtained allow performing fuzzy linear prediction. __________ Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 2, pp. 55–68, March–April 2006.     

储层石蜡沉积预测技术研究与应用

在油田开发过程中 ,由于油藏温度、压力等条件的变化 ,高含蜡原油在近井带容易产生石蜡沉积 ,堵塞地层孔隙或裂缝 ,严重影响油田开采 ,尤其对于低渗油田 ,伤害特别严重。文中应用理想溶液理论、质量守恒和能量守恒等基本原理 ,建立更符合油田实际情况的油藏中石蜡沉积预测数学模型 ,开发一套方便实用的油藏中石蜡沉积预测软件系统FPOS1 0。在此基础上 ,应用室内实验数据和现场数据对吉林新民油田油井石蜡沉积情况进行预测和现场拟合 ,确定新民油田临界石蜡沉积半径为 2 5m ,快速、准确地为现场清防蜡措施提供理论依据。     

平纹织物复合材料的弹性模量预测

利用细观力学的代表体积元(RVE)法,预测了平纹织物复合材料的弹性模量。建立了表征RVE形态的数学模型,分析了细观结构与宏观性能之间的关系,编制了从组分材料的弹性性能推测复合材料的弹性性能的预测程序。对理论预测进行了实验验证,理论值与实测值在一定误差范围内能较好吻合,说明此预测方法具有一定的可靠性。     

广义物质平衡计算在凝析气藏开采动态预测中的应用

从经济的角度考虑 ,对小型凝析气藏衰竭式开采动态的预测往往不必或不值得进行数值模拟研究。常规物质平衡 (黑油 )计算方法只局限于黑油和干气藏 ,应用于凝析气藏则存在很大的误差。Walsh提出的广义物质平衡计算方法 ,可用于包括黑油、干气藏、挥发油气藏和凝析气藏在内的所有油气藏。文中将一个小型凝析气藏衰竭式开采动态的数值模拟结果与广义物质平衡计算结果进行了对比 ,结果表明 ,Walsh方法简便、应用更广泛 ,可用于规模较小、不适合进行数值模拟研究的凝析气藏的现场开发优化。     

碳酸二甲酯的市场需求和生产技术进展

介绍了碳酸二甲酯的价格、生产情况及国内外市场需求 ,指出碳酸二甲酯在我国具有极大的市场潜力。综述了生产碳酸二甲酯的三类主要方法 ,介绍了光气法、酯交换法和氧化羰基化法的各种具体方法及尚未实现工业化仍在研究中的其他方法。并对各种工业化的生产方法从技术、经济和清洁性的角度进行了分析 ,指出适合我国采用的工业合成方法是气相氧化羰基化法和甲醇与 CO2 直接合成法