REVERSED RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract. Both linear and non-linear time series can have directional features which can be used to enhance the modelling and investigation of linear or non-linear autoregressive statistical models. For this purpose, reversed p th-order residuals are introduced. Cross-correlations of residuals and squared reversed residuals allow extensions of current model identification ideas. Quadratic types of partial autocorrelation functions are introduced to assess dependence associated with non-linear models which nevertheless have linear autoregressive correlation structures. The use of these residuals and their cross-correlation functions is exemplified empirically on some deseasonalized river flow data for which a first-order autoregressive model is a satisfactory second-order fit. Parallel theoretical computations are undertaken for the non-linear first-order random coefficient autoregressive model and comparisons are made. While the data are shown to be strongly non-linear, their correlational signatures are found to be convincingly different from those of a first-order autoregressive model with random coefficients.     

德士古水煤浆气化的运行及改造

对德士古煤浆的制备和贮运、气化、闪蒸系统的长周期运行方面进行了改造,改造后系统的运行质量得到了改善和提高。     

煤炭间接液化技术及其在中国的产业化前景

介绍了国内外煤炭间接液化技术的研究开发和应用，对在中国建设煤炭间接液化示范厂的技术经济进行了简要分析，指出在我国实现煤炭间接液化工业化生产，必须根据市场需求，因煤因地制宜，把提高经济效益放在首位。     

变压器油色谱分析与故障判断及处理

阐述变压器油气体色谱分析与变压器内部故障之间的内在联系，通过色谱分析监测变压器的运行状况，并介绍变压器油气体色谱超标在线脱气处理方法。     

化工容器设计规范述评

分析了压力容器设计标准ＧＢ１５０－８９［１］和ＪＢ４７３２－９５［２］在设计思想和设计方法上的主要区别及按两种标准制造的容器的经济性，提出了选取ＪＢ４７３２－９５作为所遵循的设计规范的一些参考性意见。     

Improving the performance of an active carbon-nitrogen adsorption cryocooler by thermal regeneration

Thermodynamic analysis was done on single and two stage active carbon nitrogen adsorption cryocoolers to study the effect of thermal regeneration on the performance. Heat regeneration within compressors operating in the same temperature range is considered. From the analysis done on 80 K cooler and 117.5 K cooler, it is found that dramatic efficiency improvement is possible with the use of compressor heat regeneration techniques.     

树突细胞算法在线分析组件的研究

原始树突状细胞算法（DCA）的离线分析过程,将会导致时间差异,从而产生假警报,增加了虚警率,也会导致攻击的成功发生,这对一个人侵检测系统来说是致命的。因此,文中的目的就是在不影响检测精度的前提下提高检测速度。于是文中提出了分片思想的在线分析组件与DCA相集成的方法,即根据抗原采样数量或者时间将一系列已处理的信息分割成为更小的部分,使得每个分片独立地进行实时的、周期性的分析,这样在每个分片内的入侵攻击就能及时地被识别出来。文中给出了DCA在线分析模块的伪代码描述,并且将其应用于SYN端口扫描的检测实验中。结果表明,DCA在线分析模块在不影响检测精度的前提下有效地提高了检测速度。     

石灰乳输送泵的失效分析与优化设计

结合某水泵厂提供的石灰乳输送泵的设计资料,根据试制的离心渣浆泵出现的失效现象,分析失效原因,研究改进方法,为低比转数离心渣浆泵的设计提出优化设计意见。