Probabilistic analysis of uncertainties in seismic hazard assessment

Sources and current methods of analysis of uncertainty from randomness, fuzziness and ignorance or incomplete knowledge in seismic hazard assessment problem are briefly discussed at beginning; understandings of the authors are then presented in the following order. All three types of uncertainty come from incomplete knowledge. Probabilistic method can be applied to all of them, objective probability for random factors and subjective probability for the other two types of uncertain factors. Discrete subjective probability mass functions for incomplete and fuzzy factors can be obtained from logic-tree and membership functions respectively. Fractile curves may be used to show the scattering of any uncertainty factor, but a unified probabilistic treatment may be applied to any combination of all three types of uncertainty.     

谈影响钻孔灌注桩承载力的因素

根据目前我国钻孔灌注桩的特点，从施工工艺方面，对控制沉渣、孔壁泥层过厚的问题进行了探讨，提出了合理、有效的措施，以确保桩基础承载力的正常发挥。     

论高层建筑中央空调水系统水压试验的步骤

通过对中央空调水系统安装的特点分析,确定了应用效果良好的试压步骤。     

Rheology in Processing of in Situ Composites of Polypropylene and Low Melting Poing Metals

The low melting point metallic tin powder or alloy of tin and lead was blended with polypropy-lene. A kind of in situ composite has been prepared. The variations of torque were studied when the composites were mixed in Haake torque rheogeniometer. By way of capillary extrusion, effects upon rheology of the in situ com-posites of the low melting point metals (LMPM) and coupling agent for their different variety and content, were investigated. From flow curves, the results indicate that in situ composites mixed with the LMPM are a kind of pseudoplastic fluid. If the LMPM were melted, the higher the content of the LMPM , the lower apparent viscosity of composites. Meanwhile, when the coupling agent is added into composites, the viscosity of composite will go up first and drop then. This shows that the LMPM have a promoter flow action on the polypropylene.     

非方程灰色系统方法在长期水文预报中的应用初探

基于水文过程的复杂性和影响因子信息收集不完善这一基本事实，本文将流域水文系统视为含有灰元和灰信息的灰色系统，并初步实践了非方程灰色预报方法在长期水文预报中的应用。方法在一定意义上脱离了传统的以方程为中心的预报模式，它既考虑预报因子对预报量的不同影响程度，又不过分强调预报量与预报因子的具体相关函数形式，为长期水文预报提供了一种新思路。文中列出了实例，效果令人满意。     

离体肾脏保存实验研究

本文讨论离体肾脏生存机理研究的意义和方法，研制,成功的一种携带式快速和精确控制保存环境温度的脉动灌流型人工生命维持系统，采用微处理器进行实时数据采集，处理和非线性多模式采样控制，用以维持设定的环境参数和维持最佳生存条件，本文是采用猪肾为实验材料，进行多例离体猪肾的保存实验，研究有关环境参数和保养液成分对保存效果的影响，取得良好结果，实验性猪同种异体移植亦已获得初成成功。     

在役加氢反应器试验板脆化和氢损伤的测定与研究

充分利用了带主焊缝的役后试板，在国内首次开展回火脆化、氢介质下断裂韧性与疲劳扩展的研究，结果表明，加氢反应器焊缝有明显的脆化表现。同时，核查了反应器开停车升温速度和降温速度规定，以及确定了裂纹允许尺寸的参考数据，为今后安全运行提供了充分的依据。     

DETERMINATION OF TOTAL NITROGEN IN BARLEY AND MALT BY COMBUSTION METHOD—COLLABORATIVE TRIAL

A combustion method, relying on the Dumas principle, for the determination of total nitrogen in barley and malt, has been collaboratively tested by the Analysis Committee of the European Brewery Convention. Repeatability, r₉₅, and reproducibility, R₉₅, values were 0.063 and 0.116% of dry matter, respectively, for samples with nitrogen contents in the range 1.23 to 1.86% N of dry matter. There was no significant difference between these values for barley and malt. The Analysis Committee approved the adoption of the combustion method for inclusion in Analytica EBC as an alternative method.     

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本文通过对在用钻机井架的现场实际测试,建立数据库、测评模型,对实测的数据用计算机技术进行分析,提出了初始弯曲应力;数据正态分布检验——x～2检验;建立回归方程;在给定置信度下测评当前承载能力的技术概念。解决了在用钻机A型井架的安全性评估问题,是一种较为合理、可靠、科学的测评技术和方法。