Parametric and nonparametric Bayesian model specification: A case study involving models for count data

In this paper we present the results of a simulation study to explore the ability of Bayesian parametric and nonparametric models to provide an adequate fit to count data of the type that would routinely be analyzed parametrically either through fixed-effects or random-effects Poisson models. The context of the study is a randomized controlled trial with two groups (treatment and control). Our nonparametric approach uses several modeling formulations based on Dirichlet process priors. We find that the nonparametric models are able to flexibly adapt to the data, to offer rich posterior inference, and to provide, in a variety of settings, more accurate predictive inference than parametric models.     

Linear mixture model applied to Amazonian vegetation classification

Many research projects require accurate delineation of different secondary succession (SS) stages over large regions/subregions of the Amazon basin. However, the complexity of vegetation stand structure, abundant vegetation species, and the smooth transition between different SS stages make vegetation classification difficult when using traditional approaches such as the maximum likelihood classifier (MLC). Most of the time, classification distinguishes only between forest/non-forest. It has been difficult to accurately distinguish stages of SS. In this paper, a linear mixture model (LMM) approach is applied to classify successional and mature forests using Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery in the Rondônia region of the Brazilian Amazon. Three endmembers (i.e., shade, soil, and green vegetation or GV) were identified based on the image itself and a constrained least-squares solution was used to unmix the image. This study indicates that the LMM approach is a promising method for distinguishing successional and mature forests in the Amazon basin using TM data. It improved vegetation classification accuracy over that of the MLC. Initial, intermediate, and advanced successional and mature forests were classified with overall accuracy of 78.2% using a threshold method on the ratio of shade to GV fractions, a 7.4% increase over the MLC. The GV and shade fractions are sensitive to the change of vegetation stand structures and better capture biophysical structure information.     

Cross-Border Migration of Hong Kong Residents Under the 'One Country, Two Systems' Policy

Hong Kong is known as a migrant city because its population was sourced from mainland China, and because there has always been outflows of people to overseas countries, especially from the mid-1980s to mid-1990s. Emigration to mainland China has become a significant recent trend. This article discusses this phenomenon in the theoretical contexts of migration and trans-border residential development. It contends that the trend will intensify more quickly than other cross-border movements because the two systems are separated by a political border within one country, and because there are common cultural ties and rapid economic integration.     

Composite scale modeling in the presence of censored data

A composite scale modeling approach can be used to combine several scales or variables into a single scale or variable. A typical application is to combine age and usage together to form a composite timescale model. The combined scale is expected to have better failure prediction capability than individual scales. Two typical models are the linear and multiplicative models. Their parameters are determined by minimizing the sample coefficient of variation of the composite scale. The minimum coefficient of variation is hard to apply in the presence of censored data. Another open issue is how to identify key variables when a number of variables are combined. This paper develops methods to handle these two issues. A numerical example is also included to illustrate the proposed methods.     

乳化炸药的乳化物理模型和理想乳化模态

文章以平推流模拟了乳化炸药乳胶质的形成过程,并建立了机械强制乳化的物理模型及理想模态。     

对象模型及其模型化方法——一种深知识的表示模型

本文介绍了对象模型和深知识等概念,在这些概念的基础上还讨论了基于框架知识表示形式的复杂系统的模型化方法.文中给出的模型化方法是通过 ISA 关系和 PART-OF 关系的相结合而形成的.这种模型化方法可用于基于深知识的设计型、分析型以及控制型等类型的专家系统.     

无端点检测汉语识别算法的实现及改进——动态时间规整和隐马尔可夫统一模型的应用

语音识别算法中，动态时间规整（ＤＴＷ）和隐马尔可夫模型（ＨＭＭ）是最有效的识别算法，并且两者之间有着本质的联系和内在的统一［１］，据此前期工作中，已经建立了ＤＴＷ和ＨＭＭ的统一模型（ＤＨＵＭ）［２、３］。本文对ＤＨＵＭ进行了改进，在ＤＨＵＭ中引进寂静段自环，并根据汉语语音的特点，提出了一种无端点检测的语音识别算法。在识别过程中，该算法无需确定语音信号起止点位置，而是从寂静段开始，直接按帧提取特征（帧长２０ｍｓ，帧间重叠５０％），特征向量由１５阶倒谱系数和帧平均能量组成。实验中，用ＤＨＵＭ实现了该算法，对９９个相似汉语单字的识别测试结果表明：无端点检测的识别正识率为９４．９５％，正识率下降很少，但不作端点检测却降低了算法的复杂程度。为进一步改善识别性能，特征向量采用一种听觉模型特征，识别器具有更好的鲁棒性，识别率会略有提高。     

Adaptive control in a heating vessel: A comparative study

This paper presents experimental results obtained in temperature adaptive control of a heating vessel. A non-linear model of the process showed that the feed flow rate causes severe variations in time constant and process gain. An extended horizon self-tuning controller and two different model reference adaptive controllers were tested. The influence of design parameters on control performance for each algorithm was assessed. The control system was disturbed with load and setpoint changes.