SCS模型在山区小流域山洪灾害预报预警中的适用性分析

预报预警是山洪灾害防治中重要的非工程措施,是防灾减灾救灾的关键环节。选取分别代表秦巴山地水资源保护区、西南地震作用区、喀斯特地区、黄土高原超渗产流区、东南沿海台风影响区的湖北省丹江口官山河流域、四川省都江堰白沙河流域、贵州省望谟县望谟河流域、陕西省子洲县岔巴沟流域、广东省高州市马贵河流域这5个典型流域,通过构建改进的SCS模型进行历史山洪模拟,探讨该模型在小流域暴雨山洪预报预警中的广泛适用性。结果表明:基于SCS模型构建的小流域暴雨山洪预报方案中官山河、白沙河、望谟河、马贵河方案均为乙级方案,可用于正式发布预报;岔巴沟为丙级方案,可用于参考性预报。SCS模型在5个典型示范区的洪峰流量预报精度普遍在80%左右,高于我国山洪灾害洪峰流量预报平均水平(40%)。总体来说,SCS模型对各类典型流域的山洪模拟效果较好,能够用于山洪灾害预报预警业务。SCS模型结构简单,参数少,特别适用于无资料地区推广应用。     

DEM分辨率对山洪淹没模拟影响

DEM是表征地形状况的重要指标,在山洪淹没模拟中起着重要作用。以2016年7月19日发生在河北省石家庄市井陉县西部山区的特大暴雨山洪事件为研究对象,利用HEC-HMS水文模型和FLO-2D水动力模型,设置5种DEM分辨率方案(30、20、15、10、5 m),从淹没范围和淹没水深两方面分析了DEM分辨率对山洪淹没模拟的影响,并从模型运行时间角度对其运行效率进行了评估。研究表明:DEM分辨率越高,则淹没范围越小,平均淹没水深越大,即模型模拟精度越高,山洪事件的淹没范围及水深越接近于实际调查情况(DEM分辨率为30和5 m时,淹没范围及淹没深度的模拟精度分别为0.56和0.41、0.76和0.79);随着DEM分辨率的提高,尤其从10 m提高至5 m时,模拟结果差异减少,模拟精度的增幅也减小,淹没范围和水深的精度增幅分别为2.70%和3.94%;DEM分辨率越高,则模型运行时间越长,模型运行效率越低,5 m DEM方案下的运行时间为30 m DEM方案的700倍。综合考虑模拟精度及模拟时间,10 m分辨率的DEM对山洪淹没模拟、风险评估及预警预报等更为适用。     

Directions for improving manual fire suppression using a physically based computer simulation

The Swedish Fire Research Board and the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency are sponsoring a project to further the understanding of the basic mechanisms involved, as well as to support the development of standards for and to seek ways of improving the performance of portable fire suppression systems used by fire departments.This paper describes a physically based computer model developed to simulate one aspect of the problem: the manual suppression of postflashover fires. This includes: (1) an overview of the physical basis behind the model; (2) a comparison of model predictions with available experimental data, and (3) an analysis of fire suppression effectiveness using the model.The analysis concludes that, when direct access and extinguishment of the burning fuel is not possible, improved fire control occurs with water sprays having a Rosin-Rammler distribution of droplet sizes with volume-median-drop diameters in the 0.15 to 0.35 mm range. This agrees with available experimental data. It is also shown that fire fighting venting and standoff distance requirements may lead to more severe fires requiring more water for control; although venting and water spray induced air/gas flow also serve to channel hot steam and gases away from the fire fighter adding to his safety. The analysis also shows that allowing higher gas and surface temperatures at fire control through improved fire fighter protective clothing and equipment design reduces water flow rate requirements. Additional experimental work is recommended before all these conclusions are considered definitive. Reference: L. M. Pietrzak and G. A. Johanson, Directions for Improving Manual Fire Suppression Using a Physically Based Computer Simulation,Fire Technology, Vol. 22, No. 3, August, 1986, p. 184.     

木质素单体模化物的热解与产物分析

采用苯酚、邻苯二酚、愈创木酚和紫丁香酚为木质素单体模化物,利用两段裂解反应器-在线气相色谱仪（GCs）进行热解实验和产物分析,采用多色谱柱对无机气体（IGs）、C₁~C₅烃（C₁~C₅ LHs）、非芳基含氧化合物、酚和芳烃进行定量分析,以确定羟基和甲氧基对木质素热解过程中开环反应及产物分布的影响. 结果显示：羟基和甲氧基可以提高模化物的转化率,且羟基和甲氧基的存在影响芳基开环反应、芳基取代反应和重排反应间的竞争关系,使热解产物分布存在明显差异. 4种模化物热解产物主要是芳环的开环反应产物,包括IGs（质量分数为27.29%~33.56%）和C₁~C₅烃（20.46%~39.51%）. 一氧化碳产率（23.82%~29.18%）随羟基数增加而升高,随甲氧基数增加而降低;二氧化碳产率（0.19%~9.61%）随甲氧基数增加而升高. 羟基和甲氧基的存在降低了C₁~C₅烃的质量选择性,促进了烷基苯、大分子化合物和焦炭的形成.     

无机灰分对餐厨沼渣中有机质热解特性的影响

针对餐厨垃圾厌氧处理所产生的沼渣具有产量大、灰分质量分数高的特点,研究沼渣中无机灰分对其热解过程的影响. 通过热重分析和热裂解?气相色谱质谱联用技术（Py-GC/MS）分析沼渣热解动力学特性及其产物. 动力学分析结果表明,沼渣除灰后,失重速率显著提高,热解起始温度由180 ℃降至160 ℃. 除灰沼渣的总表观活化能比沼渣的略高,原因可能是除灰使沼渣内部孔隙增加,在促进挥发分析出的同时,削弱了部分组分在热解过程中的催化裂解作用. 产物分析结果表明,NaCl能够促进油相产物中烃类向酮类的转化,ZnCl₂通过促进酸类的脱羧作用,使烃类质量分数提高至66.8%;Fe₂O₃和Al₂O₃使烃类物质的质量分数分别提高至66.8%和72.7%,CaO和MgO可以促进酸类脱羧生成酮,使产物中酮类的质量分数高达46.5%和39.4%.     

冲天炉熔炼过程模拟

冲天炉是熔炼铸铁的最主要设备,熔炼时炉内的反应复杂,而又因温度高等原因很难直接对炉内状况进行观察测试,这为进一步了解它的工作情况及熔炼原理制造了麻烦。而我国冲天炉熔炼的规模小、质量和效益比较低,浪费、污染问题严重,更需要进行冲天炉的改造及熔化工艺优化。计算机模拟为冲天炉研究提供了一个新途径。本文提出以flash或采用虚拟现实技术来模拟冲天炉熔炼过程。并简单介绍了冲天炉熔炼的flash模拟。     

Characterization of ultrafine La x Sr1−x MnO3 powder prepared by spray pyrolysis

The characterization of La _x Sr_1−x MnO₃ powders produced by spray pyrolysis using scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) observation, specific surface area (Brunauer-Emett-Teller), and particle size distribution measurements shows that the resultant large particles are loose agglomerates consisting of many small particles. However, the sintered tiny particles can form hard agglomerates, and the particle size increases remarkably. The structures of the powders before and after sintering were identified by x-ray diffraction (XRD). The study of the electrical property of the powder shows that the powder is a metallic conductor. In a reducing atmosphere, the powder can be decomposed. When the powder is cofired with yttria-stabilized zirconia 5% (YSZ) powder at 1200 °C for 5 h, no new phase is produced, and the powder remains a single provskite hexagonal-rhombohedral structure.     

预测控制在钢坯闪光焊顶锻控制系统中的应用

分析了无头轧制系统中钢坯闪光焊的特点,针对于顶锻阶段的同步要求提出了一种基于神经元的同步误差预测控制方案.使用软件AMEsim建立了钢坯闪光焊的非线性液压系统模型和机械耦合系统模型,通过与控制系统接口实现了AMEsim与Simulink的电液联合仿真.仿真结果表明,基于神经元预测控制的同步误差调节器具有明显的优越性.     

Study on the flash butt welding of 400 MPa ultra-fine grain steel

A 400 MPa ultra-fine grain steel possesses high strength and toughness. Due to its fine grain size, the heat affect zone (HAZ) of the weld joint will soften during welding. The weldability of 400 MPa ultra-fine reinforced steel bar of flash butt welding is investigated by using the micro metallographical examination and macro-mechanical-property tests. The joint of flash butt welding has a superior mechanical property. The HAZ in the weld joint does not show apparent softening. There is only a localized softening spot inside the weld seam, which does not affect the property of the whole joint. Therefore, flash butt welding is appropriate for joining the 400 MPa ultra-fine grain reinforced steel bars. The resulting weld joint has excellent mechanical properties.     

浅谈无剥离微负压废旧轮胎热解技术产业化

结合工程实践，详细介绍了无剥离、微负压废旧轮胎热解技术的技术特点、工艺流程、主要设备选型及主要技术指标。并分析了废旧轮胎热解技术产业化的前景。