A new time invariant fuzzy time series forecasting method based on particle swarm optimization

In the analysis of time invariant fuzzy time series, fuzzy logic group relationships tables have been generally preferred for determination of fuzzy logic relationships. The reason of this is that it is not need to perform complex matrix operations when these tables are used. On the other hand, when fuzzy logic group relationships tables are exploited, membership values of fuzzy sets are ignored. Thus, in defiance of fuzzy set theory, fuzzy sets’ elements with the highest membership value are only considered. This situation causes information loss and decrease in the explanation power of the model. To deal with these problems, a novel time invariant fuzzy time series forecasting approach is proposed in this study. In the proposed method, membership values in the fuzzy relationship matrix are computed by using particle swarm optimization technique. The method suggested in this study is the first method proposed in the literature in which particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to determine fuzzy relations. In addition, in order to increase forecasting accuracy and make the proposed approach more systematic, the fuzzy c-means clustering method is used for fuzzification of time series in the proposed method. The proposed method is applied to well-known time series to show the forecasting performance of the method. These time series are also analyzed by using some other forecasting methods available in the literature. Then, the results obtained from the proposed method are compared to those produced by the other methods. It is observed that the proposed method gives the most accurate forecasts.     

The induced generalized aggregation operators for intuitionistic fuzzy sets and their application in group decision making

In this paper, we present the induced generalized intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted averaging (I-GIFOWA) operator. It is a new aggregation operator that generalized the IFOWA operator, including all the characteristics of both the generalized IFOWA and the induced IFOWA operators. It provides a very general formulation that includes as special cases a wide range of aggregation operators for intuitionistic fuzzy information, including all the particular cases of the I-IFOWA operator, GIFOWA operator and the induced intuitionistic fuzzy ordered geometric (I-IFOWG) operator. We also present the induced generalized interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted averaging (I-GIIFOWA) operator to accommodate the environment in which the given arguments are interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets. Further, we develop procedures to apply them to solve group multiple attribute decision making problems with intuitionistic fuzzy or interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy information. Finally, we present their application to show the effectiveness of the developed methods.     

A robust critical path in an environment with hybrid uncertainty

In this article, we consider the project critical path problem in an environment with hybrid uncertainty. In this environment, the duration of activities are considered as random fuzzy variables that have probability and fuzzy natures, simultaneously. To obtain a robust critical path with this kind of uncertainty a chance constraints programming model is used. This model is converted to a deterministic model in two stages. In the first stage, the uncertain model is converted to a model with interval parameters by alpha-cut method and distribution function concepts. In the second stage, the interval model is converted to a deterministic model by robust optimization and min-max regret criterion and ultimately a genetic algorithm with a proposed exact algorithm are applied to solve the final model. Finally, some numerical examples are given to show the efficiency of the solution procedure.     

统计中的查找计数方法

本文以选票统计问题为例,讨论了3种查找计数方法(顺序法、二分法、插值法)在统计中的应用,提出了一种新颖的查找计数方法——一次到位法,给出了用FOXPLUS数据库语言编写的算法子程序,并比较了它们各自的特点和适用范围。     

燃煤锅炉供热系统的模糊控制

介绍燃煤锅炉供热系统的自动化节能模糊控制方案,燃煤锅炉供热系统是一个大惯性的滞后系统,传统的单纯PID控制效果不理想,而基于工人熟练的经验和专家知识的模糊控制能够达到比较好的效果。系统中对控制参考量水温和炉膛负压这两个输入量模糊化处理,由控制规则推出输出模糊子集,再应用模糊推理合成规则得出PID的系数,PID控制器根据输出量来控制鼓风机、引风机、炉排电机和水泵的变频器。     

低温裂纹张开位移预测方法的讨论

把低温影响下的COD试验数据用灰色理论中的累加方法进行累加，可以使一组没有规律的数据成为一条光滑的曲线．然后利用人工神经网络和自适应模糊推理系统两种方法进行预测，算例的结果表明用一次累加后的数列预测精度较高。     

电液系统位置精度的模糊控制

针对电液位置控制系统 ,建立了其数学模型 ,研究了模糊控制器在该场合的应用及其设计 ,并在SIMULINK环境下对模糊控制系统进行了仿真。结果显示模糊控制用于电液系统位置控制能获得令人满意的效果     

柔性高压直流输电仿真技术研究方法综述

柔性直流输电工程应用前景广阔,采用各种高精度高效率仿真技术对柔性直流系统进行理论分析和运行特性研究是柔性直流技术发展的关键;实时数字仿真、物理动模仿真和数字物理混合仿真是常用的系统仿真研究方法。总结柔性直流输电系统结构及核心装备;分别介绍三种仿真方法,从基本理论与算法原理、实现方式和柔直装备建模方法等方面进行论述,并总结各种方法的适用性和优缺点。最后,对柔性高压直流输电仿真技术的发展趋势和关键问题进行了总结和展望,提出了几点可能的研究思路。     

基于模糊数学的高维稀疏数据聚类统计方法设计

传统的数据聚类统计方法仅适用于低维数据聚类问题,为此,本研究设计了基于模糊数据的高维稀疏数据聚类统计方法,以期提升高维稀疏数据的聚类统计效果。以模糊C均值聚类算法为基础,通过优化初始聚类中心解决局部最优问题,缩短聚类统计时间;然后引入权重机制,令该方法适用于高维稀疏数据聚类统计。基于此,以余弦距离替换原有的欧几里德距离,提高高维稀疏数据聚类统计效果。实验证明：在数据维度不同时,该方法均有较优的聚类统计效果。当数据维度较低时,分块比例为10%时聚类统计效果最优;当数据维度较高时,分块比例为40%时聚类统计效果最优。在不同稀疏度等级时,该方法的命中率和聚类统计效率均较高。