我国玉米供需曲线估测与市场预测

通过两阶段最小二乘法估测了我国玉米供需曲线,并预测未来两年均衡价格和净进口量.研究发现影响我国玉米供给的因素有玉米价格、大豆价格、技术进步和成灾率,影响我国玉米需求的因素有玉米价格、小麦价格、人均国内生产总值和总人口;预测未来两年我国玉米价格和净进口量都将呈上升趋势,我国将成为玉米净进口国.     

Stochastic distribution of the required coefficient of friction for level walking--an in-depth study

This study investigated the stochastic distribution of the required coefficient of friction (RCOF) which is a critical element for estimating slip probability. Fifty participants walked under four walking conditions. The results of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample test indicate that 76% of the RCOF data showed a difference in distribution between both feet for the same participant under each walking condition; the data from both feet were kept separate. The results of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test indicate that most of the distribution of the RCOF appears to have a good match with the normal (85.5%), log-normal (84.5%) and Weibull distributions (81.5%). However, approximately 7.75% of the cases did not have a match with any of these distributions. It is reasonable to use the normal distribution for representation of the RCOF distribution due to its simplicity and familiarity, but each foot had a different distribution from the other foot in 76% of cases. PRACTITIONER SUMMARY: The stochastic distribution of the required coefficient of friction (RCOF) was investigated for use in a statistical model to improve the estimate of slip probability in risk assessment. The results indicate that 85.5% of the distribution of the RCOF appears to have a good match with the normal distribution.     

A reference level for assessing the acceptable visual demand of in-vehicle information systems

With the increasing use of in-vehicle information systems (IVIS) by drivers whilst the vehicle is in motion, the risk of distraction-related crashes is expected to increase. Distraction in this case arises from engagement of the driver with the visual demand of an IVIS display, but measurement of such visual demand, and design decisions about how much visual demand is acceptable in this context, is problematic. Using the visual ‘occlusion’ technique, this paper uses data from visual demand metrics (from 4 reference in-vehicle tasks with 60 participants) and makes comparisons with several other approaches including expert usability analysis, other reference levels, social acceptability survey data, and a comparison with alcohol impairment. Based on these considerations an approach is taken to represent the distribution of occlusion measurements and a demand reference level (DRL) is proposed to be used as a criterion for design of IVIS displays. The DRL comprises a metric derived from occlusion measurements and an absolute value.     

核电行业非连续性需求的供应风险

任何企业的供应需求都可以分为连续性需求和非连续性需求.在分析目前一般供应风险研究成果的基础上,对于非连续性需求的定义、特征以及在非连续性需求条件下更加突出的供应风险和后果进行了初步探讨,并分析了核电站行业供应的非连续性特点以及相应的风险防范措施.非连续性需求条件下供应风险的分析和研究,有助于相关企业重视和防范由此导致的风险.     

世界经济复苏加快全球钢铁高速增长中国经济稳健发展钢铁产需持续强劲——2004年钢铁发展的回顾与展望

详细介绍了去年世界钢铁工业高速增长的情况；论述了我国钢铁产需的强劲势头，认为亮点与难点并存，机遇与挑战同在；列举了突现我国钢铁工业结构调整巨大成果的十大亮点。提出了必须应对的新情况和新难点。     

Impact of Phase Shifters on Locational Prices

With the introduction of restructuring in the electric power industry, the price of electricity has become the focus of power market activities. Phase shifters in a power system can mitigate or reduce transmission congestion by redirecting line flows, reduce the cost of power dispatch by adjusting locational marginal prices (LMPs), and enhance market competition by reducing the chance of market power occurrences due to limited transmission flows. This paper analyzes the role of phase shifters in restructured power systems by simulating electricity market prices. The paper further provides a comparison among various alternatives such as transmission expansion for mitigating congestion. The simulation results are analyzed for a three-bus and presented for the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) 118-bus power system.     

谈计算机网络中的“服务“

服务是计算机领域中频繁出现的一个重要专业术语,管理员在向用户提供服务之前首先要了解用户的需求,创建服务的过程中应注意硬件的选配、软件的支持以及将来服务的升级.此外,还应把握好服务的物理分布以及冗余等问题,了解什么是成功的服务,可以让用户清楚哪些要求的功能是合理的,也可以让管理员知道应该向用户提供哪些服务.     

中国钢铁生产量及其能源需求和CO2排放量情景分析

从预测中国的钢铁需求量开始,利用情景分析,预测了钢铁业将来的能源需求和CO2排放量。预测结果表明,中国的钢产量还将继续增长,但应特别注意废钢回用,降低铁钢比,以减少能源需求和CO2排放。     

快速测定化学需氧量的方法

利用分光光度法、微波密封消解法测定水样中的化学需氧量，并把测定的精密度、准确度与国标回流法相比较，结果证明：分光光度法、微波消解法是测定化学需氧量的快捷方法，具有省时、省试剂、工作效率高的特点。     

A comparative study of exchange and aggregation models in the B2B e-marketplace

This research seeks to provide an economic framework for understanding two major forms of e-marketplaces: aggregation-oriented vs. exchange-oriented e-marketplaces. By analyzing the marginal benefit per transaction in alternative models, we are able to determine the most suitable B2B e-marketplace for a wide variety of product categories, market conditions, and procurement methods. For example, when companies sell commodities in a fragmented market, the aggregation model is suitable for spot purchasing, and the exchange model works best for systematic purchasing. In addition, the effect of supplier consolidation and information technology-enabled cost reduction on model selection is discussed.