交通流异常数据检测研究及实证

针对道路交通系统实时交通流数据普遍存在的异常现象,提出一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的交通异常数据检测方法。运用相空间重构技术,将时间序列数据转换为矢量数据。运用训练数据构建基于最小二乘支持向量机的回归估计模型,通过计算实际值与预测值之间的残差来判别异常数据。以成都市一环路北二段进行实证研究,并与传统检测方法比较分析,结果证实该检测方法的有效性。     

基于支持向量机与神经网络的间谐波测量混合算法

针对目前缺乏国家标准规范间谐波对电能质量的影响,也缺乏有效的手段监测间谐波的问题,用支持向量机理论对其进行了探索。支持向量机理论将间谐波这个非线性问题变换到更高维的空间中进行线性回归,它基于迭代权调整最小二乘法,引入反向传播神经网络算法整定算法参数,通过反馈现场采集、分析信号,并将教师信号与计算信号的差值作为调整参数的驱动信号,在此基础上通过反向遗传算法(BPNN)的反向传播能力对参数进行基于负反馈的调整,提高了算法的收敛速度。通过数值实验对比,该算法比没有使用差动信号的混合算法效率提高约13%。     

基于模极大值小波域和TLS-ESPRIT的振荡瞬态识别方法

对于电能质量扰动检测和定位中振荡瞬态的检测、识别,目前普遍采用的是时频特征矢量提取和智能模式识别方法,此类方法无法准确提取电能质量振荡瞬态信号不同频率分量的组成。结合模极大值小波域和总体最小二乘法旋转不变技术的信号参数估计(total least squares-estimation of signal parameters via rotational invariance techniques,TLS-ESPRIT)可以很好地实现振荡信号的检测与识别。对于输入信号,首先采用模极大值小波域检测振荡发生的起始时刻和终止时刻,然后利用振荡时间间隔内的信号建立观测空间矩阵,通过奇异值分解和总体最小二乘法实现特征值截尾,将采样信号观测空间分解为信号子空间和噪声子空间,得到振荡信号每个构成频率分量的相应参数。仿真结果证实了所提出方法的可行性。     

直流滤波器电容器的直流局部放电测量

为了配合葛州坝换流站直流滤波器电容器的损坏事故分析,进行了电容器常温和高温状态,直流电压作用下的局部放电试验。在常温和高温状态下,分别用双臂式抗干扰回路,和微窗口电路,有效地抑制了外部干扰。测量结果表明,电容器在高温状态下的直流局部放电量较常温下没有显著增加。文中还对电容器直流局部放电测量时所应注意的问题进行了讨论。     

A TVD SCHEME FOR INCOMPRESSIBLE FLOW COUPLED WITH DIFFERENT TURBULENCE MODLES ON A GROUND- MOUNTED SQUARE-RIB FLOW

A finite-difference Total Variation Diminishing (TVD) numerical simulation model for coupling the Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, pressure-relative continuity equation and various k-εturbulence models was developed to solve the incompressible flow based on the pseudo-compressibility method. The hyperbolicity of all these equations was studied and the discretization of the fully coupling equations with all the primal variables and source terms were made in this article. Numerical simulation for modeling the flow around a ground-mounted square rib was implemented and validated by comparing with the published wind tunnel experimental data. It is shown that such a numerical simulation method with a proper turbulence model has a very good accuracy to simulate the flow around a surface-mounted rib. It is concluded that the Renormalization Group (RNG) and Chen-Kim k-εturbulence models have much better ability to predict the characteristics of the vortex structure and flow separation than the standard k-εmodel.     

基于多元非线性回归算法的动车组变压器温度预测研究

对动车组状态参数进行预测是实现动车组数字化精准维修的重要前提之一.目前对动车组数据的利用方式主要以定量观测和定性分析为主,缺乏准确的状态预测量.为此,文章提出了一种基于多元非线性回归的预测算法,通过建立变压器温度预测模型,实现了变压器温度值的次日预测,并以此指导由温度导向的变压器日常运维项目.通过对比CRH5A型动车组...     

A typology of different development and testing options for symbolic regression modelling of measured and calculated datasets

Data-driven modelling is used to develop two alternative types of predictive environmental model: a simulator, a model of a real-world process developed from either a conceptual understanding of physical relations and/or using measured records, and an emulator, an imitator of some other model developed on predicted outputs calculated by that source model. A simple four-way typology called Emulation Simulation Typology (EST) is proposed that distinguishes between (i) model type and (ii) different uses of model development period and model test period datasets. To address the question of to what extent simulator and emulator solutions might be considered interchangeable i.e. provide similar levels of output accuracy when tested on data different from that used in their development, a pair of counterpart pan evaporation models was created using symbolic regression. Each model type delivered similar levels of predictive skill to that other of published solutions. Input–output sensitivity analysis of the two different model types likewise confirmed two very similar underlying response functions. This study demonstrates that the type and quality of data on which a model is tested, has a greater influence on model accuracy assessment, than the type and quality of data on which a model is developed, providing that the development record is sufficiently representative of the conceptual underpinnings of the system being examined. Thus, previously reported substantial disparities occurring in goodness-of-fit statistics for pan evaporation models are most likely explained by the use of either measured or calculated data to test particular models, where lower scores do not necessarily represent major deficiencies in the solution itself.     

陶瓷湿敏电阻器静态校准曲线的线性拟合

陶瓷湿敏电阻器是湿度传感的重要元件,但因其阻-湿特性往往呈非线性而使用不便。本文利用最小二乘法对典型的铬镁钛系陶瓷湿敏电阻的阻-湿特性进行了线性拟合。结果表明,这种线性拟合方法简单可行,可用于非线性湿敏等敏感电阻器件的线性化处理。