变化环境下韩江生态流量演变特征分析

选取位于粤东、闽西南地区的韩江流域为研究对象,基于CA-Markov模型对2050年流域土地利用空间格局进行预测,构建SWAT分布式水文模型,以未来土地利用情景和气候变化情景为变量进行水文模拟,分析不同情景下韩江生态流量的时空演变特征。结果表明,未来城镇化扩张将使梅江支流中上游成为韩江流域内生态流量对土地利用变化最为敏感的区域;土地利用和气候变化将导致韩江流域枯水期流量整体减小,枯水期流量对环境变化更加敏感;韩江流域生态流量变化特征将呈现从西南到东北由升到降的趋势,梅江支流中上游地区的生态流量将得到改善;梅江和汀江两大支流上游区域生态流量对气候变化更为敏感;韩江流域径流总量下降,但丰枯流量分化加剧,长期来看枯季生态流量保障风险可能进一步增大。     

阿姆河流域耕地变化及水土匹配特征分析

基于中亚阿姆河流域4个分区1990—2015年间土地利用变化和水资源等数据,运用耕地变化速率、洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数法以及水土资源匹配系数对阿姆河流域耕地变化和水土匹配状况进行了综合分析。结果表明:1990—2015年阿姆河流域耕地以146.74 km²/a的速度在扩张,且各时期、各分区扩张的速度不同;在不考虑咸海来水不断减少、生态持续恶化的前提下,绿洲区匹配状况属比较公平和相对合理状况;阿姆河流域水土资源空间分布存在明显的错位现象;全流域生态用水被农业用水严重挤占,阿姆河流域灌溉面积、灌溉用水量成为影响咸海水量及面积变化的重要因素,是一种不可持续的用水方式。     

Performance of lot-level low impact development technologies under historical and climate change scenarios

Low impact development (LID) systems have potential to make urban cities more sustainable and resilient, particularly under challenging climate conditions. To quantify performance capabilities, modeling results for an array of combinations of LIDs are described using PCSWMM at lot-level to examine performance of individual LIDs on volume and peak flow reductions. Among the four LIDs studied: rain barrel (RB), vegetative swale (VS), bioretention cell (BC), and permeable pavement (PP), PP at lot-level demonstrated the best capability for reducing surface runoff volumes and peak runoff rates under historical weather conditions, while BC showed similar capability for reduction of runoff volumes but minimal peak flow reduction. With PP as the controlling method at lot-level, the maximum percentage reduction of runoff volume for a 2-year storm is 58% whereas for a 100-year storm, the runoff volume reduction is 20%. These results mean the extent of flooding that may arise from the 100-year storm is reduced, but not eliminated. Effectively, the 100-year storm volumes with LID are devolved to have flooding equivalent to a 25-year storm. Under climate change scenarios, performance for all LIDs declined at various levels, where BC was the most resilient LID for a climate change scenario, such that projected 2-year or 5-year storms with climate change will have its impact devolved with LID in place, to result in similar volumes and peaks without LID under historical conditions. Furthermore, even with an assembly of lot-level LIDs distributed throughout the community, there is not attenuation to substantial degrees of flooding for major events, but there can be effective control for water quantity for small (2- to 5-years in particular) storm events.     

基于CMIP5的中国西北地区暖湿化演变研究

为了解中国西北地区历史与未来时期的气候演变趋势,以CMFD再分析数据集及CMIP5全球气候模式输出数据为基础,从时空维度详细分析了西北地区历史气候的演变特征并对区域未来气候发展进行了预估。结果表明：1979-2018年西北地区的气温、降水量以及近地面空气比湿均呈现出明显的增加趋势,且未来极有可能继续增加;此外,降水量在年内的分配过程越趋均匀化,且降水结构在2001年左右发生了较大突变。整体来看,西北地区的历史气候演变显示出高度的暖湿化倾向。未来情景下,西北地区的气候将继续朝暖湿化方向发展,同时降水量的年内分配不均匀性也将进一步减小,且在RCP8.5排放情景下表现的更为突出。本研究可为西北地区气候变化的影响评估提供参考,同时也为水利、农业、气象和生态等部门的决策提供科学依据。     

大凌河流域典型水生植物微生物群落吸附特征试验分析

本文采用高通测序方法对大凌河流域五刺金鱼藻、格菱、狐尾藻、水蓼及芦苇5种水生植物不同季节的微生物群落进行试验分析,分析表明:藻类密度在沉水植物表层要高于浮叶植物表层,微生物群落在浮叶植物根部的结构与其表面存在明显差异。各水生植物的优势生物群落依次为变形菌、梭菌、柔膜菌、鞭脂杆菌、杆菌、疣微菌门,且各微生物群落在季节丰度上存在明显差异性。由此可见,水环境对生物群落的影响要高于植物类型。研究成果可为大凌河流域生态修复工程提供重要理论依据。     

有源电力滤波器谐波检测方法研究

针对常用的ip-iq谐波电流检测方法因采用数字低通滤波器而存在滤波效果和实时性不能同时兼顾的问题,提出了一种采用数学形态滤波器代替数字低通滤波器的改进方法。通过选取适当的结构元素,结合形态学的基本运算,设计了低通形态滤波器。仿真结果表明,在保证检测精度的情况下,改进方法的实时性要明显好于常用的谐波检测方法,具有一定的参考、实用价值。     

提升细节捕捉能力的非下采样轮廓波变换

针对传统NSCT(非下采样轮廓波变换)算法中NSP(多尺度分解方法)对细节信息捕捉能力较差及利用其进行图像融合得到的融合图像出现细节丢失问题,提出改进的NSCT算法。不同于传统NSCT算法,该算法首先采用细节捕捉能力较强的非下采样形态学小波分解替代NSP分解,实现对源图像的多尺度分解,将源图像分解成水平高频、垂直高频、对角高频和低频4部分;然后利用NDFB(非下采样的方向性滤波器)对高频部分进行多方向分解得到一系列高频信息,实现改进型NSCT分解。实验结果表明,该算法的细节捕捉能力较传统算法好,在相同融合规则下其图像融合效果更好,各项融合指标值均有所提高,其中平均梯度提高了10%,且易于实现,可广泛用于多分辨率图像融合,是一种有效的融合图像算法。     

Physiological arousal, dissonance, and attitude change: Evidence for a dissonance-arousal link and a "Don't remind me" effect.

Two experiments, with 80 undergraduates, replicated and extended research by R. T. Croyle and J. Cooper (see record 1984-11595-001) indicating that cognitive dissonance involves physiological arousal. In Exp I, Ss wrote counterattitudinal essays under conditions of high or low choice and, to assess arousal effects owing to effort, with or without a list of arguments provided by the experimenter. In high-choice conditions only and regardless of effort, Ss showed both arousal (heightened galvanic skin response) and attitude change. Arousal, however, did not decline following attitude change. The more effortful task (no arguments provided) produced increased arousal but not greater attitude change. In Exp II, the opportunity to change one's attitude following a freely chosen counterattitudinal essay was manipulated. As in Exp I, arousal increased following the essay but did not decline following a postessay attitude change opportunity. When Ss were not given an attitude change opportunity, however, arousal did decline. It is suggested that if dissonance is a drive state, drive reduction typically may be accomplished through gradual cognitive change or forgetting. (47 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Study on structure and magnetic entropy changes of Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys

A series of Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys were preparedby arc melting under purified argon atmosphere. The structure and magnetic entropy changes in Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys were investigated by means of X-ray diffraction pattern and MPMS XL-7 magnetometer. The experimental results show that the crystal structure of Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys keeps in TH2Zn17-type rhombohedral, and the Curie temperature of Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys can be shifted to room temperature around by a composition adjustment. The magnetic entropy changes (-ΔSM) in Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys are relatively large, and a platform of magnetic entropy changes appearsnear the temperature TC. Ce2-xPrxFe16.5Co0.5 alloys are the potential working media for magnetic refrigeration with their stable chemical properties and especially low price.     

基于电流变化的环状直流配电网故障定位方法

针对现有故障测距方法无法同时对单极接地故障和极间故障进行定位,以及利用电容放电阶段进行故障定位时忽略了多端换流站都会对故障点注入电流等问题,提出一种利用故障线路上的全电流分量对多端柔性直流配电网进行故障定位的方法。通过联立与故障点相邻两网孔的电压方程,从算法上解决了过渡电阻对求解故障位置的影响。在simulink中搭建6端环状模型对所提方法进行仿真,结果验证所提方法可以在发生线路故障时能快速识别故障并进行可靠定位,满足直流配电网的故障测距要求。