Modelling and FDI of Dynamic Discrete Time Systems Using a MLP with a New Sigmoidal Activation Function

In this paper we investigate the use of the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) for system modelling. A new sigmoidal activation function is introduced and the study is focused at the utilization of this function on a MLP that performs modelling of dynamic, discrete time systems. The role of the activation function in the training process is investigated analytically, and it is proven that the shape of the activation function and it's derivative can affect the training outcome. The method is simulated at a well known benchmark, namely the three tank system, and is incorporated in a Fault Detection and Identification (FDI) method, also applied and simulated at the three tank system. Finally, a comparison is made with an approach that utilizes local model neural networks for system modeling.     

基于利润最大化的奥运商业网点分布微观经济模型

本文首先通过多元统计分析发现了统计数据中的一般规律,并讨论了数据中所反映出的某些与常识不一致之处。在通过图论的有关知识确定观众进出体育场馆的模式之后,我们建立了一个简单实用的基于成本利润分析的整数规划模型。通过Lingo、Matlab软件的模拟,该模型与现实环境和有关经济理论拟合较好,可以为2008年奥运会迷你超市的设置提供一定的参考。     

Sensitivity of spectral reflectance to variation in live fuel moisture content at leaf and canopy level

Wildland fires burn large areas of the earth's land surface annually, causing significant environmental damage and danger to human health. In order to mitigate the effects, and to better manage the incidence of such fires, fire behaviour models are used to predict, among other things, the likelihood of ignition, the rate of spread, and the intensity and duration of burning. A key input parameter to these models is the amount of water in the vegetation, described as the fuel moisture content (FMC). A number of studies have shown that vegetation indices (VI) calculated from red and NIR reflectances may be used to map spatial and temporal variation in FMC in a range of fire-prone environments, with varying degrees of success. Strong empirical relationships may be established between VI and FMC over grasslands, yet over shrublands and forests, the relationships are weaker. If FMC is to be estimated with greater accuracy and consistency than is currently achieved, it is necessary to fully understand the relative contribution that spatial and temporal variation in the various biophysical and geometrical variables make to reflectance variability at the leaf and canopy level.This paper uses a modelling approach to investigate the sensitivity of reflectance data at leaf and canopy level to variation in the biophysical variables that are used to compute FMC. At the leaf level, the results show that the sensitivity of reflectance to variation in leaf water and dry matter content, used to compute FMC, is greatest in the SWIR and NIR, respectively. Variation in FMC has no effect in the visible wavelengths. At the canopy level, the results show that the sensitivity of reflectance to variation in leaf water and dry matter content is heavily dependent upon the type of model used and the range of variation over which the variables are tested. In the longer wavelengths of the SWIR, the competing influence of variable leaf area index, fractional vegetation cover, and solar zenith angle is shown to be greater than that at the shorter wavelengths of the SWIR and NIR. Empirical relationships between the normalised difference water index (NDWI) and FMC are shown to be weaker than that with canopy water content. However, when the range of the variables under study is more limited, useful empirical relationships between FMC and remotely sensed VI may be established.     

Characterization of indoor wireless channel at 5 GHz U-NII bands

The paper reports on the experiments undertaken at the University of Wollongong to characterise fading profiles and delay parameters of an indoor wireless channels at 5 GHz U-NII bands. The measurements were undertaken at different locations around the campus with results recorded for a post-processing to calculate the Rician K-factor, the level crossing rate and the average fade duration as well as mean excess delay, rms delay spread, and the coherence bandwidth of the channel. The presented measurement results can be useful in developing a Markov chain based model of the transport channel for IEEE802.11a or HYPRLAN-2 networks. The results also indicate scenarios where the coherence bandwidth of the channel is smaller than the width of the sub-carrier OFDM channels in either of the mentioned systems.     

Analyzing Nonindependent Outcomes in Couple Therapy Using the Actor-Partner Interdependence Model.

The nonindependent components of couple data require data-analytic strategies tailored to the interpersonal processes occurring between relationship partners. This article examines the benefits of a specifically dyadic analytic method, the actor-partner interdependence model (APIM), for evaluating interpartner influence across time. Both conceptual and methodological features of the APIM are exemplified by applying this model to observations of negative and positive affect and global distress in spouses participating in a randomized trial of couple therapy. In addition to elucidating specific advantages of the APIM relative to alternative data-analytic strategies, the current results shed new light on previous findings from a comparative treatment outcome study evaluating behavioral and insight-oriented approaches to couple therapy. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

基于抽样方法的燃耗计算核素积存量不确定度分析

基于抽样基本原理研究了应用于燃耗计算的不确定度分析方法,并开发了燃耗计算不确定度分析程序。基于评价核数据库ENDF/B-Ⅷ.0的裂变产额标准差和衰变常量标准差计算得到了衰变常量协方差矩阵和带相关性的裂变产额协方差矩阵,并结合SCALE6.2程序包的56群反应截面协方差数据库,对Takahama-3压水堆组件基准题中SF95-4样品进行不确定度分析。计算了反应截面、衰变常量和裂变产额不确定度引起的核素积存量的不确定度。计算结果表明,反应截面的不确定度是锕系核素积存量不确定度的主要来源,裂变产额和衰变常量的不确定度对部分裂变产物的积存量会引入较大的不确定度。但考虑裂变产额相关性后,裂变产额引起的不确定度显著降低。     

Characterization of residual stresses from cold expansion using spatial statistics

Residual stress fields from cold expansion have been widely used to extend the fatigue life of aircraft structures. However, the spatial statistical character of these residual stress fields has not been established and has not been incorporated in current analysis methods. The objective of this study was to establish a spatial statistical method to quantify the residual stress field around a cold expanded hole. A framework called the Spatial Analysis of Residual Stress (SpARS) was developed utilizing spatial correlation, response surface modelling techniques and statistical resampling methods to characterize the residual stress field. Our results showed that tolerance bounds on residual stress can be quantified using this method. We also demonstrated the SpARS method using recently published round robin case studies. The newly developed model will be useful for aircraft structural fatigue crack growth analyses to incorporate residual stress fields for extending inspection intervals for fatigue and fracture critical structures.     

冲击声的固有结构建模及目标识别

将统计数据驱动方法应用于冲击声的固有结构建模,研究了单个冲击信号及冲击声组的时域和频域特征提取方法,并将所提特征用于圆柱壳冲击声和公路空洞检测冲击声分类,获得了良好效果,证实了该方法用于冲击声目标分类的有效程度。     

Principles and methodology of fuzzy sets

The principles of fuzzy sets and their role in processing uncertain information will be discussed. The question of knowledge representation that is of significant importance in problems of system modelling will be formulated and considered at the level of fuzzy sets. Modelling and simulation realized with the aid of fuzzy sets are studied in a unified methodological framework. First a notion of the cognitive perspective is applied to articulate the problem in terms of specialized linguistic labels. Fuzzy models are constructed to capture logical relationships between the elements (linguistic labels) of the cognitive perspective. Several different classes of the models distinguished with regard to their structural dependencies will be analysed in depth. Finally a linguistic-numerical transformation constituting a type of model-environment interface will be studied.     

3ds max地形建模研究

论述3ds max三种地形建模方法:等高线地形建模、置换修改器地形建模、DreamScape插件地形建模,并探讨这三种地形建模方法的优劣。