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1.
Although rainfall input uncertainties are widely identified as being a key factor in hydrological models, the rainfall uncertainty is typically not included in the parameter identification and model output uncertainty analysis of complex distributed models such as SWAT and in maritime climate zones. This paper presents a methodology to assess the uncertainty of semi-distributed hydrological models by including, in addition to a list of model parameters, additional unknown factors in the calibration algorithm to account for the rainfall uncertainty (using multiplication factors for each separately identified rainfall event) and for the heteroscedastic nature of the errors of the stream flow. We used the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm (DREAM(zs)) to infer the parameter posterior distributions and the output uncertainties of a SWAT model of the River Senne (Belgium). Explicitly considering heteroscedasticity and rainfall uncertainty leads to more realistic parameter values, better representation of water balance components and prediction uncertainty intervals. 相似文献
2.
As the development of cloud computing and the convenience of wireless sensor netowrks, smart devices are widely used in daily life, but the security issues of the smart devices have not been well resolved. In this paper, we present a new NTRU-type public-key cryptosystem over the binary field. Specifically, the security of our scheme relies on the computational intractability of an unbalanced sparse polynomial ratio problem (DUSPR). Through theoretical analysis, we prove the correctness of our proposed cryptosystem. Furthermore, we implement our scheme using the NTL library, and conduct a group of experiments to evaluate the capabilities and consuming time of encryption and decryption. Our experiments result demonstrates that the NTRU-type public-key cryptosystem over the binary field is relatively practical and effective. 相似文献
3.
The planimetric shifts in channel location of large alluvial rivers are a critical component in the creation of diverse structures and functions in riverine habitats. Engineered management schemes must also compensate for this type of channel change to protect resources and maintain navigation channels. The stability of the Lower Mississippi River channel was assessed through an analysis of historical records of channel position produced and archived by the United States Army Corps of Engineers. Channel location was recorded for the years 1765, 1820, 1881, 1915, 1930, 1937, 1960 and 1970. Channel stability was measured by two introduced metrics on a cell‐by‐cell basis: (1) the standard deviation of Euclidean distance to a channel cell for the entire period of record, and (2) the rate of Euclidean distance change between years in the period of record. At a coarse spatial scale, channel instability increased in the downstream direction. The variability of channel stability also increased in the downstream direction. Analysis of this variability identified alternating areas of high and low stability occurring with greater frequency as distance downstream increased. These findings are validated by past studies of channel stability along the Lower Mississippi River. As a result, the proposed metrics provide a consistent, quantitative, efficient and cost‐effective means of identifying areas of channel instability at several spatial scales. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) dynamics were investigated over a two year period in the Upper Rhǒne River to examine the role of side-arms in providing DOC to the main channel in relation to discharge fluctuations, especially floods. Concentrations of DOC are shown to remain low in space and in time (average 1.5 mg ?1) and to be more related to global hydrological events (precipitation) than to any local flushing for backwaters during floods. The results do not support the general assumption that side-arms are the providers of DOC to the main channel. 相似文献
7.
金瞰昆 《河北工程大学学报(自然科学版)》1993,(1)
对于碳酸盐岩中由生物及生物化学作用形成的具有同心或放射结构的异化颗粒(生物包粒),已为人们所熟悉,但目前还没有统一的分类与命名。本文在研究徐州大北望中下寒武统生物包粒特征的基础上,结合已有研究成果,对由生物及生物化学作用形成的具有同心或放射状内部结构的碳酸盐颗粒,按其粒度和形成颗粒的生物类型不同进行分类命名,提出分类命名的原则。 相似文献
8.
中扬子及邻区层序地层与原型盆地演化 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
戴少武 《石油与天然气地质》2002,23(3):229-235
中扬子及邻区原型盆地可划分为 9个大层序,其中,1~6大层序由中、古生代海相地层组成;第 7大层序为早、中侏罗纪的陆相沉积;第 8大层序为晚侏罗世的前渊沉积;第 9层序为晚白垩世至第三纪的伸展盆地。震旦纪,中部地区为台地相环境,向南为浅海陆棚环境,向北以陆表海为主;寒武纪至早奥陶世为典型的大陆边缘盆地;中、晚奥陶世至志留纪为裂谷盆地发展阶段;泥盆纪至石炭纪该区发生广泛海侵,与华南海域和太平洋海域多处相连;二叠纪至早、中三叠世为原型盆地的重要转型时期,随着分隔秦岭微板块与扬子板块的勉略古洋盆向东打开,扬子北缘由前期的区域性隆起转变为向北加深的大陆边缘盆地;晚三叠世经历了两次幕式旋回,巴东组沉积时期盆地沉降缓慢,九里岗组沉积时期则较快;早、中侏罗世原型盆地早幕 (早侏罗世)沉积缓慢,晚幕 (中侏罗世)快速沉降,以水下沉积作用为主;晚侏罗世可划分为两大构造演化阶段,早期构造活动相对平静,晚期强烈;晚白垩世至老第三纪,盆地范围缩小,以湖泊、河流体系为主。由此,中扬子及邻区在地质历史时期经历了 4种不同性质的原型盆地,具有幕式充填特征。 相似文献
9.
永定新河河口潮流动力及泥沙特征初步分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
依据永定新河河口1997年潮汐观测资料及河道1990~1997年潮汐观测资料,通过实测资料的整理分析,初步揭示了永定新河河口潮流动力及泥沙特征,为河道的治理规划提供了科学的依据。 相似文献
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