Indices for the evaluation of wildfire spread simulations using contemporaneous predictions and observations of burnt area

Methods to objectively evaluate performance are critical for model development. In contrast to recent advances in wildfire simulation, there has been limited attention to evaluating fire model performance. Information to validate fire models is typically limited, commonly to a few perimeter observations at a small number of points in time. We review metrics for comparing two burnt areas at a point in time: observed and predicted. These are compared in an idealised landscape and with a case study evaluating the performance of simulations of an Australian wildfire. We assessed: Shape Deviation Index (SDI), Jaccard's coefficient, F1, Sørensen's Similarity and Area Difference Index (ADI). For decomposing fit into error components (overprediction and underprediction) we assessed the partial indices of SDI and ADI, Precision and Recall. The various metrics were evaluated for their ability to represent error and their suitability for use in model improvement frameworks.     

Exploiting the relationships among several binary classifiers via data transformation

The structural resemblance among several existing classifiers has motivated us to investigate their underlying relationships. By exploring into the mapping solutions of these classifiers, we found that they can be linked by simple feature data scaling. In other words, the key to these relationships lies upon how the replica of feature data are being scaled. This finding leads us directly to an exploration of novel classifiers beyond existing settings. Based on an extensive empirical evaluation, we show that the proposed formulation facilitates a tuning capability beyond existing settings for classifier generalization.     

基于传统街区更新的城市设计

以南京市小西湖地块为例，深入探 讨城市设计在传统街区城市更新中的基础、 角色、手段及成果形式。以提高市民的生活 品质、提高容积率、保护历史地段结构和提 升公共空间品质为目标，本着社会公平立场、 城市记忆立场与城市传统街区风貌保护的立 场，通过基于历史成因的和基于整体市民利 益的两种分配方式，城市设计最终认可城市 形态动态变化的合理性、扩大居民/市民/游 人共享的公共空间、实现居民与建设主体多 方获益。     

Positive direct-mask stereolithography with multiple-layer exposure: layered fabrication with stair step reduction

In this paper, we explain a new stereolithography involving the separate use of liquid photoinitiator and a base resin (photopolymer resin without photoinitiator). First, the base resin is supplied as a layer, and then a mask pattern is drawn onto the surface with photoinitiator by inkjet printing. When the surface is exposed to a UV lamp, only the pattern drawn with the photoinitiator is cured. In this process, the photoinitiator acts as a positive mask. Also, the idea of multiple-layer exposure, which may enable stair step reduction and fabrication time reduction, is introduced. The proposed idea and method are implemented in an experimental stereolithography system and some experiments are conducted using the system. As a result, the effectiveness and feasibility of the idea and method are confirmed.     

Normal horizontal working area: the concept of inner boundary

A model was developed to determine the inner boundary of the normal horizontal working area based on the concept that the elbow and forearm-hand should move on the table surface while describing the area. The proposed model was applied to determine the normal horizontal working areas for the 5th percentile female and 95th percentile male. It was shown that the conventional models that had disregarded the concept of the inner boundary overestimated the area on the average by 26%. The proposed model is more realistic and accurate than the conventional models.     

A wide area synchrophasor-based load shedding scheme to prevent voltage collapse

This paper presents a new method based on wide area voltage stability index for optimal load shedding to prevent voltage instability phenomena. Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) have widely been used in recent years due to their great advantages in power systems wide area monitoring, protection and control. The purpose of this paper is to provide a new optimal load shedding method, which disconnects the least possible amount of load from optimum buses. Not only the system stability is considered as main goal in this research, but also minimum load shedding is taken into account. Moreover, the problem of optimal load shedding is applied using modified Discrete Imperialistic Competition Algorithm (DICA) in mid-term and long-term voltage instability scenarios. In all investigations, certain limitations are considered to obtain practical answers. In addition, some modifications are applied to the conventional ICA, which make it proper for solving the optimal load shedding problem. New modifications result in fast convergence characteristic and less run time, which are crucial in dealing with power system instability problems.     

基于Android操作系统的实时系统监控研究Research for real-time system monitor based on Android system 石鑫, 夏青

针对大多数监控系统对实时性,稳定性,可操作性等要求,在Android嵌入式操作系统中,集成传感网模块,设计普通、紧急监控模块,剖析Android内核调度器工作原理等方法,提出了一种新的嵌入式实时监控系统。以体域网系统监控为平台进行测试,结果表明,该方案满足对网络监控实时性,可靠性的要求,方法具有良好的扩展性,利于向智能家居、物联网等领域中推广。     

新型城镇化的内涵与模式思考

在梳理近200年来世界城镇化发展历程的基础上,总结城镇化发展的得与失,以此作为中国城镇化发展的经验与启示。基于我国多民族的、大国的基本国情和政府主导公共事务的管理架构等特征,提出了符合中国特色的新型城镇化内涵,包括以人文本、“四化”互动、生态文明、布局合理、弘扬文化5个方面。最后,基于未来全国层面的城镇化发展格局,提出了沿海城镇发展带布局格局下上海及浦东的发展定位和推进新型城镇化的战略举措。     

实验演算型住宅区地块容积率指标校核方法探索

虽然目前控制性详细规划中容积率等指标的核算有多种手段,但很少有基于实验的演算型定量研究。针对不同大小的基地,均可通过实验,推算日照标准约束下的容积率等指标,作为规划决策的重要依据。从当前日照标准约束角度,提出运用空间极限容积率校核的实验方法,通过计算机实验进行核算。提出了基于＂九宫格＂的计算方法,经过少量人工干预,由计算机生成指标对应的空间形态,以使控制性详细规划指标的确定更加科学、理性。实验表明,如果日照标准约束条件不变,容积率并不是可以随着住宅高度的增加而无限增加。如果需保证一定的日照资源质量,住宅高度和容积率存在增长极限。     

秦巴山区农村传统民居绿色建筑模式初探

本文通过对秦巴山区山地传统民居进行实地调查,对其民居宅院建造特征、结构形式、构造方式进行了分析。在此基础上,结合气候模拟程序对该区域的自然气候环境与被动式建筑策略关系进行了定量化的研究,总结了秦巴山区农村传统民居适合当地气候及自然条件的绿色建筑模式,为该区域山地农村民居生态化建设提供引导及借鉴。