Bayes判别分析法在泥石流预测中的应用研究

泥石流是山区典型的具有严重危害的地质灾害现象,若能实现对其提前预测预报将是十分有意义的.然而影响泥石流的因素错综复杂,本文综合考虑沟道纵比降、前期降水量、固体物质贮量三个必备因素对泥石流产生的影响,基于Bayes判别分析理论,利用泥石流资料作为训练样本,建立了泥石流预测的Bayes判别分析模型.预测结果表明,该模型结果与实际情况吻合良好,说明该模型在泥石流预测中具有良好的实用性和有效性.     

关于数列收敛的又一判定定理

对已有的数列收敛的判定定理进行扩充,从而更加丰富读者的知识面,为读者学习和研究多提供一份材料.通过对这个定理进行严格的证明,并在局部证明过程中运用两种方法.从而得到所要证明的定理.     

测井资料在压裂规模预测中的应用

压裂是低孔、低渗油田改造的主要增产措施。镇泾油田是典型的＂三低＂储层,产油井都需要压裂求产。通过对镇泾油田常规测井资料、岩石物理分析及试油数据的研究分析,确定了区块的储层评价标准,按油藏驱动类型进行分类,有针对性地为压裂层位的优选提供参数依据。根据压裂规模与储层厚度、储层类型、油藏类型、油气级别等的关系,对镇泾油田压裂规模进行预测评价,为压裂措施提供准确有效的层位及压裂规模建议,尽快获得工业油流。     

压力敏感性材料球形孔洞动态扩展问题

为进一步研究岩土材料爆炸场的特点,采用椭圆型屈服准则和自相似假设,并结合Hopkins三区模型,研究幂硬化材料球形孔洞动态扩展问题.通过对弹性区的研究得出弹性区应力的分布和弹塑性交界处的连续条件;然后在塑性区给出一个求解动态扩展问题的非线性微分方程组;最后通过打靶法数值求解该非线性微分方程组,给出满足边界条件的数值解,并讨论材料参数对场量的影响.结果表明,椭圆型屈服准则能很好地描述压力敏感性材料中孔洞的动态扩展.     

一般均质地面承载力现场试验

为了评判施力盘作用下地面的承载安全,进行了一般均质地面承载力静态与动态荷载现场试验.采用平板载荷静态加载方法进行了模拟施力盘静态荷载的平板载荷试验,根据相似准则π定理进行了缩比施力盘动载试验.在现场试验的基础上研究了静载条件下沉降量随时间变化的S-t曲线,不同尺寸承载板在相应载荷作用下的地面土体沉降量之间关联关系的P-S/D曲线及动、静荷载下载荷与沉降量关系的P-S曲线以及动静载荷对比的P-S曲线.分析结果表明:对于进行现场试验的均质地面,S-t曲线表明静态加载方法合理;P-S/D曲线在极限载荷内呈线性比例关系;动载下的沉降量S远远小于静载条件下的沉降量S,动载下的土体变形刚度较静载下的变形刚度高,瞬间动态荷载造成的地面沉降可忽略.     

分布式联产系统相关问题的研究

介绍了分布式联产系统的性能及新能源技术的引入,以及联产系统评价方法、设计和运行优化,指出了分布式联产系统的研究方向.     

双足机器人行走稳定性研究

双足机器人行走的稳定性是双足行走最为重要的衡量指标之一.针对传统的基于零力矩点（ZMP）步态稳定性判据方法,分析了ZMP、COP的相互关系,表明在双足机器人与水平地面无粘性力和无吸附力作用下,其ZMP即为压力中心点COP.基于具有足趾关节的双足机器人足底支撑面多种变化,提出对多点接触时支撑多边形区域描述.结合ZMP/COP、COG的在支撑面内相对位置,提出了基于ZMP/COP、COG的综合稳定性判据.经仿真分析,与传统单一的ZMP稳定性判据相比,该综合稳定性判据能够更为准确地反映步态的稳定性.     

Orientation angle workspaces of planar serial three-link manipulators

This paper presents a classification on the workspaces of planar serial three-link manipulators, that is, position workspace and orientation angle workspace. Position workspace indicates the region reached by the reference point on the end-effector. Orientation angle workspace indicates a set of angle ranges by which the end-effector can reach with certain orientation for every point in the reachable position workspace. By introducing a virtual equivalent mechanism, reachable position workspace can be divided into several Grashof intervals and non-Grashof intervals. The calculation equations of orientation angle workspace are deduced in three situations according to the relationships among four link lengths in the virtual four-bar chain. Three examples are given for three kinds of relationship of link lengths. The orientation angle workspace of extended groups, that is, two of the three link lengths equal, and the orientation angle workspace when the reference point on the end-effector moves along a non-radial direction are also discussed. A program is developed to calculate orientation angle workspaces and output variation curves of orientation angle workspace and key data within the position workspace. The approach and program in this paper can be used for fast calculation and identification of the variation rule of the orientation angle workspace of any given planar serial three-link manipulator on the basis of its link parameters, and for the design of a highly dexterous serial manipulator with proposed link relations. Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province (Grant No. 20041070)     

Construction of highly nonlinear resilient Boolean functions satisfying strict avalanche criterion

Boolean functions with high nonlinearity, high resiliency and strict avalanche criterion （SAC） play an important role in the designs of conventional cryptographic systems. In this paper, a method is proposed to construct resilient Boolean functions on n variables （n even） satisfying SAC with nonlinearity 〉 2n-1 -2n/2. A large class of cryptographic Boolean functions that were not known earlier were obtained.     

Extraction of locked-up coal by strengthening of rib pillars with FRP——A comparative study through numerical modelling

In some of the coalfields in India, coal seams are only developed but no extraction of pillars is possible due to the presence of surface or sub-surface structures and also non-availability of stowing materials which leads to huge amounts of coal being locked-up underground. Spontaneous heating and fire, accumulation of poisonous gases, severe stability issues leading to unsafe workings and environmental hazards are the major problems associated with the developed coal pillars. So, there is a pressing need for a technology for the mining industry to extract the huge amount of coal locked-up under different constraints. In this study, the locked-up coal is proposed to be extracted by artificially strengthening the rib pillars. The detailed comparative study is carried out to know the increase of extraction percentage of locked-up coal by strengthening the rib pillars with FRP. Extraction methodology is designed and studied through numerical modelling for its stability analysis to evaluate its suitability of application in underground.