油气操作成本预测方法研究

油气操作成本在油气生产中占有较大的比重，油气操作成本的高低直接影响油田开发的经济效益。为了有效地控制油田油气操作成本，根据影响油气操作的因素，将油气操作成本按其影响因素进行分类，对基本运行费和油气处理费采用回归预测的方法，通过对相关数据的收集，建立对应的数学模型进行预测，对其他各项操作成本，采用单位费用和计划工作量进行预测，最后进行汇总，得到油气操作成本，其预测结果可作为油气操作成本计划制订的依据。该方法简单、操作性强，预测效果较好，在油田可以推广使用。     

复合材料层合曲梁分层问题的解析解法

根据叠加原理将含有分层的复合材料层合曲梁在横向载荷作用下的受力状态分解为在面受力状态与出面受力状态,再将出面受力状态分解为无分层曲梁受横向载荷状态与含分层曲梁承受附加剪切载荷状态。将分层问题归结为在附加剪切载荷状态中,层合梁附加位移与附加应力的分析,并据此建立了一个简单的力学模型。最后得到了由分层引起的附加位移与应力的解析解答,并用能量释放率方法确定了应力强度因子。     

醇解技术在制备皮革加脂剂方面的研究进展

本文介绍了醇解反应的动力学、影响醇解反应收率的因素以及醇解反应在合成加脂剂方面的应用。     

Occupational Factors and 5-Year Weight Change Among Men in a Danish National Cohort.

This study explored whether factors related to the work environment could predict changes in body mass index (BMI) and whether the effect of psychosocial factors was dependent on baseline BMI. The sample consisted of 1,980 male employees from the Danish National Work Environment Cohort Study. Changes in BMI between 1995 and 2000 were analyzed, by multiple regression, as a function of background variables and a series of occupational variables obtained in 1995. Age, baseline BMI, job insecurity, and psychological demands predicted changes in BMI. Job insecurity and high or low psychological demands increased the likelihood of weight gain among obese employees, whereas they increased the likelihood of weight loss among employees with a low BMI. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Assessment of Anger and Aggression in Male Offenders With Developmental Disabilities.

Systematic assessment of anger among people with developmental disabilities has been lacking, especially for hospital inpatients. Reliability and validity of anger self-report psychometric scales were investigated with 129 male patients, mostly forensic. Anger prevalence and its relationship to demographic, cognitive, and personality variables and to hospital assaultive behavior were examined. High internal and intermeasure consistency, and some concurrent validity with staff ratings, were found. Retrospective validity regarding physically assaultive behavior in the hospital was obtained. Hierarchical regressions revealed that patient-reported anger was a significant predictor of assaults postadmission, controlling for age, length of stay, IQ, violence offense history, and personality variables. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

An Exploratory Study of E-Business Success Factors

E-business success factors are Important for traditional enterprises to implement e-business. This topic is attracting more and more researchers to study. This paper makes an exploratory study on the factors influencing e-business success. Firstly, based on the literature review, 52 factors are suggested. Secondly, two rounds of survey with Delphi method are conducted. Qualitative and quantitative analysis are used to identify 57 factors. This is the foundation of empirical study.     

石油沥青60℃动力粘度测定影响因素的探讨

粘度是表征沥青稠度的一个重要指标。通过论述石油沥青粘度测定法(真空毛细管法)中毛细管的选择、温度、真空度、取样量等对试验结果的影响及试验过程中的其它注意事项,表明了在测定石油沥青的60℃动力粘度时,必须严格按照试验方法的要求进行测定,以保证试验结果的准确性。     

砂岩酸化中水化硅沉淀的影响因素分析

讨论了砂岩酸化中产生水化硅沉淀的反应机理。使高岭土与1.0%HF和多种配比的HCl HF在不同温度(20-90℃)反应不同时间(10-300分钟),用等离子吸收光谱法(ICP)测定酸液中可溶性硅的浓度(mg/L),取某时段测定值的减小量为该时段水化硅沉淀生成量,讨论了多种因素的影响,得到了如下结果和结论。反应温度越高,则高岭土与HF之间的反应越快,形成水化硅沉淀的时间越短,最终生成的沉淀量越大;在HF中加入HCl(使用土酸体系)、减小土酸中HF质量分数、加大土酸中HCl、HF质量分数比,均可使生成沉淀时间延后,使最终生成沉淀量减少。60℃时300分钟沉淀量,在1.0%HF、5.0%HCl 1.0%HF、9.0%HCl 1.0%HF中分别为482、321、201mg/L。提出了在酸化设计与施工中可以采取的6条简便易行的减少水化硅沉淀量的措施。图4表1参6。     

重复压裂气井产能模拟研究

由于重复压裂气井原有裂缝的失效程度难以评价。导致重复压裂气井的产能预测常常有很大的误差。为此，根据重复压裂气井的压前产量和舍水率，拟合了原有裂缝的有效率，在考虑新裂缝和原有裂缝共同作用的情况下，建立了气、水两相平面二维的裂缝-油藏数学模型，通过对模型的数值求解，对重复压裂气井进行了产能评价。研究表明，在考虑新、老裂缝共同作用下的产能评价方法，能更为准确地预测重复压裂后的生产动态情况，对压裂时机的确定、压后经济效益的预测都具有重要的指导意义。     

我国“十五“电力供需预测分析

分析“十五”期间我国电力需求预测和电力预测中的不确定因素,提出建议采取的措施。