Prediction of fire classification for wood based products. A multivariate statistical approach based on the cone calorimeter

Wood has long traditions as a building material, and is often used in construction elements, and as interior and exterior surfaces in the Nordic countries. In most applications, there are reaction to fire requirements to products used as surfaces, e.g. in escape routes and larger public spaces. Most wood products will therefore have to be treated with fire retardant (FR) agents to fulfil the strict requirements to properties connected to heat release and flame spread. Unfortunately, FR agents usually also increase the smoke production, as they cause a more incomplete combustion of the wood. The wood product manufacturers seek to find the optimal amount of FR additives where both heat release and smoke production in the classifying test are within the requirements given in the building regulations. This paper describes models for prediction of the European reaction to fire classes of wood products. The models are based on multivariate statistical analysis, and use test results from the cone calorimeter test as input. The presented models are, with very good precision, able to predict which Euroclass and additional smoke class a wood based product would obtain if it were to be tested in the single burning item test. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal predictor for a singular random process

An optimal predictor is developed for a singular random process generated by a known system driven by a white noise sequence. The properties of the predictor are compared with those of the optimal predictor for a nonsingular random process.     

节理岩体的代表单元集合体模型及弹性参数预测

本文明确提出了节理岩体“代表单元集合体”的概念和模型，通过对节理岩体的“代表单元集合体”进行数值模拟，研究了节理岩体的“代表单元集合体”的变形特性，建立了节理岩体的弹性模型，提出了预测节理岩体宏观等效弹性参数的计算机模拟方法，并将其应用于岩体工程稳定性分析中。     

Linear interpolation in a fuzzy information space

An approach to solving a linear interpolation problem in a fuzzy information space is proposed. Two different schemes of interpolation are outlined: a heuristic one, based on the geometrical interpretation of operations, and an optimization one, based on the expansion principle. The results obtained allow performing fuzzy linear prediction. __________ Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 2, pp. 55–68, March–April 2006.     

储层石蜡沉积预测技术研究与应用

在油田开发过程中 ,由于油藏温度、压力等条件的变化 ,高含蜡原油在近井带容易产生石蜡沉积 ,堵塞地层孔隙或裂缝 ,严重影响油田开采 ,尤其对于低渗油田 ,伤害特别严重。文中应用理想溶液理论、质量守恒和能量守恒等基本原理 ,建立更符合油田实际情况的油藏中石蜡沉积预测数学模型 ,开发一套方便实用的油藏中石蜡沉积预测软件系统FPOS1 0。在此基础上 ,应用室内实验数据和现场数据对吉林新民油田油井石蜡沉积情况进行预测和现场拟合 ,确定新民油田临界石蜡沉积半径为 2 5m ,快速、准确地为现场清防蜡措施提供理论依据。     

Performance Evaluation of Packet Mobile Communications through Level Crossing Analysis

In this paper the performance of a packet mobile radio network is studied inthe presence of shadow fading outage intervals.Under quite general assumptions for the medium access protocol,the probability mass function of the sequence of packets that may be lostdue to an outage interval is derived. It is seen that long sequences of lostpackets are likely to occur for typical values of the mobile speed andshadowing correlation parameters.For delay constrained sources, e.g., voice, the analysis is mainly focused atderiving the probability function of the sequence of dropped packetsand the probability of dropping. For data sources, the delay statistic isalso derived. In the latter case, the effect of finite buffer length isaddressed. Simulation is used to verify the accuracy of approximations introduced in the analysis.     

平纹织物复合材料的弹性模量预测

利用细观力学的代表体积元(RVE)法,预测了平纹织物复合材料的弹性模量。建立了表征RVE形态的数学模型,分析了细观结构与宏观性能之间的关系,编制了从组分材料的弹性性能推测复合材料的弹性性能的预测程序。对理论预测进行了实验验证,理论值与实测值在一定误差范围内能较好吻合,说明此预测方法具有一定的可靠性。     

广义物质平衡计算在凝析气藏开采动态预测中的应用

从经济的角度考虑 ,对小型凝析气藏衰竭式开采动态的预测往往不必或不值得进行数值模拟研究。常规物质平衡 (黑油 )计算方法只局限于黑油和干气藏 ,应用于凝析气藏则存在很大的误差。Walsh提出的广义物质平衡计算方法 ,可用于包括黑油、干气藏、挥发油气藏和凝析气藏在内的所有油气藏。文中将一个小型凝析气藏衰竭式开采动态的数值模拟结果与广义物质平衡计算结果进行了对比 ,结果表明 ,Walsh方法简便、应用更广泛 ,可用于规模较小、不适合进行数值模拟研究的凝析气藏的现场开发优化。     

复杂压力系统地层压力预测方法在文东油田的应用

建立了复杂压力系统地层压力预测方法的数学模型 ,并利用文东油田文 13块已钻井的测井资料、采油注水井的地质资料 ,预测了 4口调整井的孔隙压力、坍塌压力、破裂压力 ,并据此推荐了实钻时所采用的钻井液密度 ,取得了良好的施工效果     

STUDY ON GIS BASED PREDICTION SYSTEM FOR RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION IN UBAN REGION

In this letter, an integrated application of the prediction for radio wave propagation with the Geographic Information System (GIS) is presented and a real prediction system based on GIS is implemented.