REVERSED RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract. Both linear and non-linear time series can have directional features which can be used to enhance the modelling and investigation of linear or non-linear autoregressive statistical models. For this purpose, reversed p th-order residuals are introduced. Cross-correlations of residuals and squared reversed residuals allow extensions of current model identification ideas. Quadratic types of partial autocorrelation functions are introduced to assess dependence associated with non-linear models which nevertheless have linear autoregressive correlation structures. The use of these residuals and their cross-correlation functions is exemplified empirically on some deseasonalized river flow data for which a first-order autoregressive model is a satisfactory second-order fit. Parallel theoretical computations are undertaken for the non-linear first-order random coefficient autoregressive model and comparisons are made. While the data are shown to be strongly non-linear, their correlational signatures are found to be convincingly different from those of a first-order autoregressive model with random coefficients.     

Φ10007/00有压三产品重介旋流器结构参数优选与分选效果

辛置选煤厂针对原煤煤质变化后的特点 ,采用有压给料三产品重介旋流器为核心的高效选煤工艺系统分选 5 0～ 0mm原煤 ;对旋流器一段及二段中心管的直径和插入深度、二段底流口的直径等进行了优化调整 ,同时调整了介质泵的工作频率及悬浮液密度等参数 ,取得了分选效率高、产品质量稳定等显著效果     

基于乘坐舒适、节能的电梯变频调速系统设计及实现

电梯作为高层建筑中大量使用的机电一体化设备,为了改善乘坐的舒适度、节能,电梯的控制系统中广泛使用交流变压变频调速,作为变压变频控制装置,变频器以其成熟的技术和可靠性被应用于电梯控制系统中,与其他类型交流调速系统相比具有运行效率高、节能效果显著,电梯运行乘坐舒适等优点。本文以日本富士电梯专用变频器5000G11UD为控制器,组成电梯变频调速系统,从理论上分析了实现电梯乘坐舒适、节能的控制关键点,并给出了实际操作方法,具体应用取得了较好的效果。     

煤化工专用黑水阀阀座流通性能研究

介绍了一种煤化工专用黑水阀的结构构成,并提出进行该型号阀门流通性能研究的重要性。建立流道三维模型,应用CFD有限元分析软件,模拟黑水阀内部流场分布情况,分析可视化结果,确定阀座/阀芯易损位置。分别对不同阀座渐扩角时模型进行仿真模拟,得到阀门进、出口压力值,并依此计算Cv值大小,拟合流量系数曲线,提出阀门在实现最大介质流通时阀座渐扩角范围,为阀门设计提供重要的理论参考。     

Coking kinetics of a Cr2O3/Al2O3 catalyst during 1-butene dehydrogenation: Effect of H2 partial pressure

The influence has been studied of the partial pressure of hydrogen (0–30 kPa) upon the coking rate of a Cr₂O₃/Al₂O₃ commercial catalyst during 1-butene dehydrogenation. Coke deposition has been analysed using a monolayer-multilayer reversible coke growth model (MMRC model). This model provides good fits to the experimental data, within the range of partial pressure of H₂ studied, and allows us to estimate the main kinetic parameters involved in the coking-deactivation process. The results obtained reveal a dual effect of hydrogen: competition against 1-butene for the active sites and the removal of coke precursors from the catalyst surface. Bom effects diminish the coking rate as the H₂ partial pressure is increased.     

Adsorption isotherms of sesame oil in a concentrated miscella system

The adsorption of peroxides, unsaturated carbonyls, free fatty acids and carotenoids from unrefined sesame oil on vegetable carbon (5%, w/w) in a miscella system was studied. Three different solvent conditions (hexane/ethanol, 100:0, 95:5 and 75:25, vol/vol), combined in a factorial design with five levels of solvent (0, 10, 20, 30 and 40%, w/w), were used to develop the miscella. Equilibrium adsorption was not achieved during the 100 min of adsorption, mainly because the oil components were involved in oxidation reactions during the adsorption process. However, for a given solvent concentration, adsorption of the oil components showed a significant linear regression on their respective initial concentration in the miscella (C_i). Peroxides and carbonyls showed, at all solvent levels investigated, an affinity for the carbon more independent of their C_i than free fatty acids and carotenoids. In general, at the same C_i, a higher adsorption was achieved as solvent concentration increased. The results indicated that free fatty acid adsorption may depend on competitive adsorption based on molecule hydrophobicity. However, in spite of the higher hydrophobicity of carotenoids, compared with free fatty acids, they might not be competing for the same adsorbing sites. Ethanol showed a prooxidant effect that increased peroxide production during adsorption but did not affect the reaction involved in carbonyl production.     

On the catalytic C-H activation of some silicon dioxide overlayers on thin metal film systems — An observation on the isokinetic effect

Kinetic data on the exchange reaction betwee hexane and deuterium have recently been reported by Maier and coworkers [1]. The reaction was catalysed by a series of platinum or rhodium systems, some of which had the property that the upper surface was shielded by a silica overlayer. The data are reinterpreted to indicate an isokinetic temperature of 580 K. This observation indicates that all the catalysts behave in a similar manner, which means that the exchange reaction does not require a free metal surface.     

硫酸工业中常见气体有效能计算

介绍理想气体、理想气体混合物、真实气体、真实气体混合物的有效能计算方法，并以硫酸工业中常见气体为例加以说明。通过编写计算机程序进行计算，可实现有效能的快速分析，便于实际应用。     

Relationship between oxidative stability of vitamin E and production of fatty acids in oils during microwave heating

Effects of microwave heating on the oxidative stability ofd-tocopherols were studied in relation to the production of fatty acids in oils. During microwave heating, the stability of tocopherols decreased in the orderδ>β>γ>α. This order did not depend on the types of ethyl esters of fatty acids or oils present. But, the shorter the chainlength and the lower the degree of unsaturation of the fatty acid ethyl esters, the greater was the reduction in amount of individual tocopherols. A similar tendency was observed when tocopherol-stripped vegetable oils, with equimolar mixtures of tocopherols added, were treated under the same conditions. The reduction in tocopherols became greater with increasing levels of free fatty acids.