钌系高阻浆料的电压稳定性

用钌酸铅、钽钌酸铅、钛酸钡、玻璃粉配制电阻浆料，印烧成电阻器，考察短期过负荷性能。结果证明钌酸铅不适于做高阻高压浆料导电相；钽钌酸铅适于做高阻高压浆料导电相；钛酸钡是合适的改性剂。电阻体均匀性对短期过负荷起重要作用。     

作保灵对长残效除草剂的解毒效应

利用田间试验方法研究保护剂长残效除草剂解毒效应。不同保护剂对豆磺隆解毒效应有差异，作保灵解毒效应最明显，但在除草剂高残留量时解毒作用下降。作保灵对三种长残效除草剂都具有明显的解毒作用，作物的出苗率可恢复80％～100％。解毒效应顺序为油莱＞白菜＞甜菜。     

长大隧洞工程建设中地下水处理的实践及思考

以引汉济渭工程秦岭输水隧洞(越岭段81.779 km)为例,围绕该隧洞建设过程中的地下水问题,介绍其总体富水情况以及地下水预测方法。通过对秦岭各支洞抽排水措施的综合研究,给出了抽排水方案的设计步骤,结合不同涌水的处理提出了突涌水的处理思路,并介绍了目前国内先进的突涌水预测手段及应用效果。根据秦岭隧洞抽排设备的配置思路以及洞外环保处理情况,指出了目前地下水处理过程中存在的问题并提出相应的解决方法。通过引汉济渭工程建设过程中地下水处理情况的介绍、探讨和分析,对长大隧洞处理类似地下水问题提供一定的借鉴。     

Time series forecasting by neural networks: A knee point-based multiobjective evolutionary algorithm approach

In this paper, we investigate the problem of time series forecasting using single hidden layer feedforward neural networks (SLFNs), which is optimized via multiobjective evolutionary algorithms. By utilizing the adaptive differential evolution (JADE) and the knee point strategy, a nondominated sorting adaptive differential evolution (NSJADE) and its improved version knee point-based NSJADE (KP-NSJADE) are developed for optimizing SLFNs. JADE aiming at refining the search area is introduced in nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II). The presented NSJADE shows superiority on multimodal problems when compared with NSGA-II. Then NSJADE is applied to train SLFNs for time series forecasting. It is revealed that individuals with better forecasting performance in the whole population gather around the knee point. Therefore, KP-NSJADE is proposed to explore the neighborhood of the knee point in the objective space. And the simulation results of eight popular time series databases illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed algorithm in comparison with several popular algorithms.     

Language independent search in MediaEval's Spoken Web Search task

In this paper, we describe several approaches to language-independent spoken term detection and compare their performance on a common task, namely “Spoken Web Search”. The goal of this part of the MediaEval initiative is to perform low-resource language-independent audio search using audio as input. The data was taken from “spoken web” material collected over mobile phone connections by IBM India as well as from the LWAZI corpus of African languages. As part of the 2011 and 2012 MediaEval benchmark campaigns, a number of diverse systems were implemented by independent teams, and submitted to the “Spoken Web Search” task. This paper presents the 2011 and 2012 results, and compares the relative merits and weaknesses of approaches developed by participants, providing analysis and directions for future research, in order to improve voice access to spoken information in low resource settings.     

A RANDOM PARAMETER PROCESS FOR MODELING AND FORECASTING TIME SERIES

Abstract. A generalized autoregressive (GAR) process {Z ( t ) ; t = 0 , ±1, …} is defined to satisfy the recurrence relation Z(t) = A_θ (t)Z (t -l)+ u( t ), where {A_θ(t); t = 0,±1, …} is itself a stochastic process depending on a vector parameter θ and where {u( t ); t = 0, ±1, …} is white noise with Eu ² ( t ) = a ². This paper develops theory and methodology and implementing the class of GAR processes for time series modeling and forecasting. Conditions on the 'parameter process' { A _θ ( t ); t = 0, ±1, …} are obtained for the existence of a GAR process; necessary and sufficient conditions on { A_θ ( t ) ; t = 0, ±1, …} for existence of a stationary GAR process are also obtained. Procedures are developed for computing maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters 0 and u² and for computing the minimum mean squared error forecasts for GAR processes.     

ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF SOME PRELIMINARY ESTIMATORS FOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING AVERAGE TIME SERIES MODELS

Abstract. Some simple preliminary estimators for the coefficients of mixed autoregressive moving average time series models are considered. As the first step the estimators require the fitting of a long autoregression to the data. The first two methods of the paper are non-iterative and generally inefficient. The estimators are Yule-Walker type modifications of the least squares estimators of the coefficients in auxiliary linear regression models derived, respectively, for the coefficients of the long autoregression and for the coefficients of the corresponding long moving average approximation of the model. Both of these estimators are shown to be strongly consistent and their asymptotic distributions are derived. The asymptotic distributions are used in studying the loss in efficiency and in constructing the third estimator of the paper which is an asymptotically efficient two-step estimator. A numerical illustration of the third estimator with real data is given.     

Transformations of residual fertilizer P in a semi-arid tropical soil under eight-year peanut-wheat rotation

Long-term transformations of residual phosphorus (P) governs the availability of phosphorus to crops. Very limited information is available on the transformations of residual fertilizer P in semi-arid tropical soils under long-term crop rotations. Therefore, using sequential phosphorus fractionation procedure, we studied changes in labile and stable forms of inorganic and organic P in a semi-arid alluvial soil (Typic Ustisamments) after eight years of annual fertilizer P application either to one crop (alternate) or to both crops (cumulative) in a peanut (Arachis hypogaea) — wheat (Triticum aestivum) rotation.Total residual fertilizer P in soil (P recovered from P-fertilized minus control plots) ranged from 62 to 176 mg P kg^–1. In the alternate P treatments (P applied to peanut or wheat only), on an average of 3 rates of applied P (13, 26 and 39 kg P ha^–1), in surface (0–15 cm) and subsurface (15 to 30 cm) soil, respectively, residual fertilizer P consisted of 14.8 and 2.2% resin-P, 8.6 and 2.8% NaHCO₃-P, 6.3 and 0% microbial-P, 31.4 and 4.2% NaOH-P, 7.8 and 3.0% aggregate protected-P, 12.5 and 3.0% HCl-P, 3.4 and 0% H₂SO₄-P. The corresponding values for surface and subsurface soils of cumulative P treatments (P applied to both peanut and wheat) were: 12.8 and 1.6% resin-P, 6.9 and 2.3% NaHCO₃-P, 4.7 and 0% microbial-P, 32.5 and 4.2% NaOH-P, 5.6 and 2.0% aggregate protected-P, 14.8 and 3.8% HCl-P, 6.7 and 2.1% H₂SO₄-P. Considerable lower values for the 15–30 cm depth indicate only a very small movement of residual P to the subsoil.Significantly lower amount of fertilizer P (28% and 44%) found in labile (resin, NaHCO₃ and microbial P) and semi-labile (NaOH and sonicated NaOH P) fractions for the cumulative P treatment than alternate P treatment (35 and 46%, respectively) suggests that increased rates and frequency of applied P tend to enhance the conversion of residual P to stable forms which are less available to plants. About 12 to 19% of residual fertilizer P found as organic P in labile and semi-labile forms confirmed that organic P increased with long-term fertilizer management. In conclusion, the results of our study suggest that the alternate application of fertilizer P to a crop, as is shown for wheat, helps reduce the transformations of residual P to stable P forms.     

模拟在财务预测、决策中的应用

阐述了模拟在财务预算、决策中的应用及其优越性，结合模拟软件进行了案例分析。