一种光伏电池组件的温度预测方法

组件温度是影响太阳能电池组件转换效率的一个重要因素,对组件温度的准确预测,有助于提高光伏发电功率预测的精度。文中提出了一种光伏电池组件温度预测方法。该方法考虑了影响光伏电池组件温度的主要因素,通过选择适当的样本建立统计模型。算例结果表明,该预测模型能够较好地对光伏电池组件温度进行预测,具有潜在的应用价值。     

Oracle RAC双通道在气象数据库中的应用研究

气象数据在民用航空、农业生产、城市气象等领域中的应用日益重要,随着气象事业的迅猛发展,新的观测手段不断涌现,产生了海量的气象数据.现在采用的双机热备架构的双主机模式面临系统效率低、无法实现负载均衡等问题.针对目前传统气象数据库系统在数据吞吐量、高可用性等方面存在的问题,文中介绍了一种基于Oracle RAC双通道技术的系统框架,并在典型应用场景下对系统性能进行测试分析.测试结果表明,该方案利用负载均衡技术提高了海量数据的查询及存储速度,有效提高了系统效率,并实现了故障情况下的无缝对接.     

基于模糊和证据理论的行为建模

针对人类行为模型系统中存在大量的复杂任务关系和过程,系统输出的概率不确定性等问题,提出了基于Mamdani-Zadeh推理范式和D-S证据理论的建模方法.这种方法把输入空间分割成人们比较容易理解和表达问题的小区域,使用Mamdani-Zadeh和模糊D-S规则控制信度函数的输出值,从而得到了用户预期焦化元的清晰值,实现了模型系统关系、过程简单化;并通过具体例子证实了此方法的精确性和有效性。     

中尺度气象站网探测数据的UDP报文传输方法分析与研究

中尺度气象站网覆盖面积广,探测数据时空分辨率高,可服务于工农业生产和灾害监测预警。针对观测网发报终端数量大,报文频次密集且长期连续发报,传输实时性、可靠性要求严格的特点,使用GPRS网络通讯模块建立效率高但可靠性无保障的UDP连接方式,依靠数据中心和发报端的交互机制,实现气象探测资料可靠传输。在安徽省地面气象探测网的应用表明,数据到报率符合中国气象局相关业务规范的要求。     

气象灾害预警信息的自动语音合成

通过将气象灾害预警信息自动合成96121可播放的语音文件的方法（TTS）,保证了预警语音在96121系统中第一时间的传播,提高了服务的及时性。     

多元智能理论视角下的教学设计

多元智能理论自20世纪80年代中期提出后在教育界引起了很大的反响,它为我国教育教学改革提供了理论依据。文章介绍了多元智能理论,分析了多元智能理论与教学设计的关系,在此基础上进一步探讨了教学对象、教学目标、教学内容、教学媒体及教学评价等教学设计要素在多元智能理论背景下发生的新变化,以促进教学向多元智能的方向发展。     

基于灭点理论和平面控制场的相机标定方法研究

给出了一种基于灭点理论和平面控制场的相机解析自标定方法。在系统分析平面场景灭点几何的基础上,依据灭点理论并结合2维场景的共线方程严密论证和推导了平面控制场中相机外方位元素初值的实用算法。给出了一种圆形标志点的快速检测及定位方法,提出了一种基于计算可靠性矩阵QVVP的自检校光束法平差中各类观测值权值的确定方法。实验证明了该相机标定方法的正确性和有效性,为相机标定探索了一种可行的方法。     

基于置换群的遥感图像边缘检测

遥感图像在成像过程中会产生噪声,进行滤波去除噪声、从中恢复出有用图像,成为遥感图像进一步研究和应用的基础。在数学形态学的基础上引入置换群的相关理论,提出了一种结构元素变换算法,由传统形态学中单一固定结构元变换出多个形态结构元,不同形状的图像信息可选择不同形态的结构元来处理,适用于含噪遥感图像边缘检测,结果表明,算法与传统算法相比能取得较好的图像边缘处理效果。     

A methodology for quadrilateral finite element mesh coarsening

High fidelity finite element modeling of continuum mechanics problems often requires using all quadrilateral or all hexahedral meshes. The efficiency of such models is often dependent upon the ability to adapt a mesh to the physics of the phenomena. Adapting a mesh requires the ability to both refine and/or coarsen the mesh. The algorithms available to refine and coarsen triangular and tetrahedral meshes are very robust and efficient. However, the ability to locally and conformally refine or coarsen all quadrilateral and all hexahedral meshes presents many difficulties. Some research has been done on localized conformal refinement of quadrilateral and hexahedral meshes. However, little work has been done on localized conformal coarsening of quadrilateral and hexahedral meshes. A general method which provides both localized conformal coarsening and refinement for quadrilateral meshes is presented in this paper. This method is based on restructuring the mesh with simplex manipulations to the dual of the mesh. In addition, this method appears to be extensible to hexahedral meshes in three dimensions. Sandia National Laboratories is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company, for the United States Department of Energy under Contract DE-AC04-94AL85000.     

Condition evaluation of existing reinforced concrete bridges using fuzzy based analytic hierarchy approach

There is an urgent need for a systematic methodology for condition assessment of the bridges because the old bridges of most of the countries are inadequate to carry current-day traffic and satisfy the present codal provisions and even in newer bridges, deterioration caused by unforeseen service condition and deferred maintenance is of great concern. In view of this, an attempt has been made in this study to develop a systematic procedure and formulations for condition evaluation of existing bridges using Analytic Hierarchy Process in a fuzzy environment. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is an efficient decision making tool for complicated problems with multiple evaluation criteria and uncertainty. Fuzzy logic approach has been used to take care of the uncertainties and imprecision in the bridge inspector’s observations. In this paper, first, a methodology has been proposed for condition ranking of number of reinforced concrete (RC) bridges. Then, based on the results obtained from prioritization, rating of the most deserved bridge has been carried out using MADM based fuzzy logic. Computer programs have been developed based on the formulations presented in this paper for evaluating condition of existing bridges and the details are presented in the paper. The methodology and its application are demonstrated through a case study. This methodology would certainly help the engineers and policy makers concerned with bridge management to overcome the problem related to prioritization and decision on funding related to rehabilitation of bridges.