西江流域压咸风险调度及其时空传递规律研究

枯水期珠江河口咸潮情势日益加重,径流不确定加剧了压咸风险,严重威胁沿线的供水安全。本文基于概率密度分布描述径流不确定性,构建了单源风险调度基本框架。以西江流域五座水库为研究对象,量化了预报误差与压咸风险的响应关系;揭示了压咸风险的时空传递规律;将压咸风险划分为3个等级;确定出各级风险越级传递的临界阈值。研究表明：随预报误差的增大,压咸风险提前且持续天数增加、风险率增大;压咸风险呈逐时段累积和从上游向下游、从支流向干流的时空传递规律;当预报误差超过±16%、±21%时,压咸风险从轻险越级至中险、中险越级至重险。研究成果对于西江流域压咸风险的调控和粤港澳大湾区的供水安全具有重要的应用价值。     

高浓度熟料溶出的工艺研究

优化烧结法生产 ,提高产量、节约能耗是氧化铝生产急需解决的问题之一。实现高浓度溶出可以提高精液浓度 ,减少湿法系统物料流量 ,达到提高产能、增加产量、降低成品成本的目的。本文通过对国内外高浓度熟料溶出发展情况和烧结法影响高浓度溶出的因素进行分析研究 ,提出了提高熟料A/S的必要性 ;指出了适合我国条件的熟料A/S大小和生料配方 ;分析了温度和αk 对溶出和分离的影响机理和规律 ;提出了适合高浓度溶出的溶出条件和浓度大小。对生产有一定的指导意义。     

On the role of hydrophilicity and hydrophobicity in aqueous heterophase polymerization

This paper reports on experimental results of aqueous heterophase polymerizations with monomers of quite different solubility in water ranging from the water-soluble 2-hydroxyethyl methacrylate to lauryl methacrylate with solubility in water of only about 10⁻⁴ mM. A calorimetric study revealed the strong influence of both the hydrophilicity of the monomer and the stirrer speed on the rate of polymerization in the absence of surfactants. In order to obtain maximum latex yield and high efficiency (which is a measure considering colloidal properties, polymerization recipe, and polymerization parameters) the initiator-surfactant combination must be properly chosen in dependence on the hydrophilicity of the monomer. Results are presented for sodium alkyl sulfates or disodium-N-stearoyl-l-glutamate as surfactant and potassium peroxodisulfate, or poly(ethylene glycol)-azo- compounds, or 2,2′-azobis(N-2′-methylpropanoyl-2-amino-alkyl-1)-sulfonates as initiators.     

DEDS-10双子表面活性剂的性能研究

合成了一种新型的DEDS-10双子表面活性剂,用红外光谱对所合成化合物的结构进行了初步表征。DEDS-10的临界胶束浓度cm c为0.47 mmol/L,γcm c为34.5 mN/m,A lC l3、CaC l2和NaC l可以使γcm c降低3.6~1.1 mN/m,其cm c值大约为纯水溶液cm c值的1/5~1/3;加入乙醇,可增加其表面活性,在乙醇的浓度为0.22 mol/L时,其表面张力为30 mN/m左右。与阳离子表面活性剂DTAB和非离子表面活性剂曲拉通X-100复配,可以大幅度地降低cm c和γcm c值,与阴离子表面活性剂TLS复配时,cm c降低,cγm c略有增加。     

基于优进策略的遗传算法对重油热解模型参数的估计

针对常规遗传算法全局寻优效率偏低的弱点，提出了一种优进策略，用以改进常规遗传算法。该策略将从繁衍过程中获取进化信息，自适应地改进子代分布，适时引入确定性操作，以提高全局寻优性能。提出的相关技术包括维持种群的多样性、改进交叉算子、增加Powell寻优算子等。实例测试表明这种优进策略效果良好，并已成功地应用于重油热解三集总动力学复杂数学模型的非线性参数估计。     

对我国乙烯工业发展的几点思考

阐述了世界乙烯工业现状、发展特点以及新型工艺技术分析，重点对我国乙烯工业总体发展水平、生产、消费、进出口贸易作了详细的讨论。在此基础上对我国乙烯工业发展方向、方式和规划提出了建议。     

The effective diffusivities in porous media with and without nonlinear reactions

The question of whether effective diffusivities in porous materials under reactive and nonreactive conditions are equal is addressed. Previous studies had considered the problem with first-order reactions. We study the issue with two nonlinear reactions—a second-order reaction and one governed by the Michaelis-Menten kinetics. Pore network and continuum models of porous media are utilized to estimate the effective diffusivities under reactive and nonreactive conditions. We show that the two effective diffusivities are significantly different. The difference is due to the heterogeneities of the porous material, and the fluctuations that they cause in the spatially varying local concentrations and diffusivities, and can be as large as a few orders of magnitude. Theoretical analysis of diffusion and reactions in porous media is also presented that supports the results of the simulations. In particular, it is shown that the results of pore network simulations cannot be fitted to the classical continuum equation of diffusion and reaction, and that a more complex continuum equation should be used for this purpose.     

GRIP管混凝土组合结构压弯构件非线性全过程分析

本文应用细观力学、经典层板理论、平截面假定、FRP约束混凝土本构模型及数值积分对GFRP管混凝土组合结构压弯构件进行了非线性全过程分析。通过理论计算发现GFRP管混凝土组合结构能有效地提高构件的承载力，且构件具有良好的变形能力。FRP壳体参与承载且有效地约束混凝土的变形，显著提高核心混凝土强度和变形能力。文中讨论了轴压比、长细比、径厚比、混凝土强度等级、纵筋配筋率、铺层角变化对极限水平荷载和极限水平位移的影响，从而得到了一些有益的结论。     

广义线性模型与非线性模型参数的统计推断

概述了广义线性模型(含半参数广义线性模型)与非线性模型研究的新进展,着重讨论了它们参数估计的统计推断。近年来,广义线性模型与非线性模型的研究发展迅速,有着广泛的应用前景。     

适用于摩托车零件的多层镍电镀工艺

概括目前我国摩托车零件电镀所用镀层组合，对照有关金属覆盖层的国家标准，认为摩托车零件应用多层镍组合，并提供了工艺配方。