长河坝水电站初期导流洞下闸封堵方案优选研究

长河坝水电站初期导流洞堵头挡正常蓄水位的水头高达212.00 m,封堵工程量大、程序复杂、直接影响电站发电工期。结合导流洞封堵施工的特点,通过结构稳定计算分析,拟定永久堵头挡水、闸门挡水、临时堵头与永久堵头结合、2号导流洞堵头位置下移4种下闸封堵方案,并从发电工期、施工进度、工程结构安全、工程投资等方面进行全面的经济技术比较,进而优选出最佳方案。研究成果可为类似高堆石坝工程导流洞的下闸封堵设计提供借鉴。     

汛限水位动态控制在石门水库主汛期调度中的应用研究

在汛限水位静态控制的运行方式下常导致水库汛期不敢蓄水,汛后库水位却常常达不到正常蓄水位,极大地限制了水库兴利效益,造成水资源浪费。以石门水库为例,针对其静态汛限水位运行的现状,分析该运行方式下对水库兴利效益的影响,提出采用汛限水位动态控制的方法来提高水资源利用率。实际调度中,结合石门水库天气、水文等预报信息,采用预蓄预泄方法,分析汛限水位动态控制的上下限,给出了动态控制的调度策略,并以"20110728"洪水对比了两种调度方式。结果表明:当预报降雨或洪水偏小时,可抬高汛限水位最高至617.5 m,拦蓄洪尾,有效增加水库的蓄水量;当预报降雨或洪水偏大时,可降低汛限水位最低至610.0 m,腾空库容,迎接洪水。     

基于组合赋权的湖泊健康评价物元分析模型

湖泊生态系统的健康是人与自然和谐相处及可持续发展理念的重要体现。通过建立湖泊健康评价物元分析模型,并改进其指标权重的计算,以离差平方和准则将层次分析法、熵值法及主成分分析法3种赋权方法取得的权重结合得到最优组合赋权,应用到某地5个湖泊进行湖泊健康评价。根据当地湖泊具体情况,选取12个详细指标建立评价体系与评价标准,通过模型计算得出结果显示5个湖泊中4个湖泊评价结果为优,一个评价结果为良,湖泊总体健康状况良好。因此该模型用于湖泊健康评价是非常有效的。     

Optimal linear filter design for systems with correlation in the measurement matrices and noises: recursive algorithm and applications

This paper addresses the optimal least-squares linear estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with random parameter matrices and correlated additive noises. The system presents the following main features: (1) one-step correlated and cross-correlated random parameter matrices in the observation equation are assumed; (2) the process and measurement noises are one-step autocorrelated and two-step cross-correlated. Using an innovation approach and these correlation assumptions, a recursive algorithm with a simple computational procedure is derived for the optimal linear filter. As a significant application of the proposed results, the optimal recursive filtering problem in multi-sensor systems with missing measurements and random delays can be addressed. Numerical simulation examples are used to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed filtering algorithm, which is also compared with other filters that have been proposed.     

Finite horizon optimal control of non-linear discrete-time switched systems using adaptive dynamic programming with ε-error bound

In this paper, we aim to solve the finite-horizon optimal control problem for a class of non-linear discrete-time switched systems using adaptive dynamic programming(ADP) algorithm. A new ε-optimal control scheme based on the iterative ADP algorithm is presented which makes the value function converge iteratively to the greatest lower bound of all value function indices within an error according to ε within finite time. Two neural networks are used as parametric structures to implement the iterative ADP algorithm with ε-error bound, which aim at approximating the value function and the control policy, respectively. And then, the optimal control policy is obtained. Finally, a simulation example is included to illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.     

Coordinating efficiency and equity in disaster relief logistics via information updates

This paper addresses a multi-supplier, multi-affected area, multi-relief, and multi-vehicle relief allocation problem in disaster relief logistics. A multi-objective optimisation model based on disaster scenario information updates is proposed in an attempt to coordinate efficiency and equity through timely and appropriate decisions regarding issues such as vehicle routing and relief allocation. An optimal stopping rule is also proposed to determine the optimum period of delay before responding to disaster, because decision making requires accurate disaster information. The main contribution of this paper is solving relief allocation problem in a novel way by correlating operational research with statistical decision making and Bayesian sequential analysis. Finally, a case is presented based on the post-disaster rescue in Eastern China after supertyphoon Saomai to test the applicability and show the potential advantages of the proposed model.     

On constrained infinite-time nonlinear optimal control

In this work, we consider the infinite-time optimal control of input affine nonlinear systems subject to point-wise in time inequality constraints on both the process inputs and outputs. Fundamental to solving this constrained infinite-time nonlinear optimal control (CITNOC) problem is the ability to calculate the value function of it's unconstrained counterpart, the infinite-time nonlinear optimal control (ITNOC) problem. Unfortunately, the traditional ITNOC solution procedure of specifying an objective function and then solving for the optimal control policy and corresponding value function is computationally intractable in all but the simplest of examples. However, in many cases one can easily identify a stabilizing feedback for near operating point regulation. Building from this local policy, the proposed method is to construct a meaningful optimal control objective function as well as its corresponding value function. These functions are then used to analyze the closed-loop stability of the proposed policy. Upon return to the constrained case the constructed objective and value functions are again used to develop a self-consistent constrained finite-time scheme that will, for the first time, provide an exact solution to the CITNOC problem. The mechanics of the proposed method are then illustrated by an example from chemical reactor control.     

Explicit solution of relative entropy weighted control

We consider the minimization over probability measures of the expected value of a random variable, regularized by relative entropy with respect to a given probability distribution. In the general setting we provide a complete characterization of the situations in which a finite optimal value exists and the situations in which a minimizing probability distribution exists. Specializing to the case where the underlying probability distribution is Wiener measure, we characterize finite relative entropy changes of measure in terms of square integrability of the corresponding change of drift. For the optimal change of measure for the relative entropy weighted optimization, an expression involving the Malliavin derivative of the cost random variable is derived. The theory is illustrated by its application to several examples, including the case where the cost variable is the maximum of a standard Brownian motion over a finite time horizon. For this example we obtain an exact optimal drift, as well as an approximation of the optimal drift through a Monte-Carlo algorithm.     

ZW多产品间歇过程调度及在线调整

针对多产品间歇过程调度提出了分层递阶的Petri网建模方法，利用赋时Petri和Petri网的简化技术描述不同层次的生产问题，具有很强的模型描述能力。另外，在调度决策层可以方便地集成优化策略和在线调整算法，使问题求解更加灵活。     

Optimal temperature policies for catalytic transport reactors under periodic operation

The influence of inlet gas concentration cycling on the optimal temperature policy of catalytic transport reactors is studied theoretically. The model considered is based on plug flow of gas and catalyst particles with negligible interand intra-particle diffusional resistances and concentration dependent deactivation kinetics. To utilise the concentration of the reactant and the activity of the deactivating catalyst fully a proper temperature sequence along the reactor is needed. Thus, a general optimal temperature policy using the continuous minimum principle is derived for the reactor under periodic operation. The model equations are solved analytically for gas concentration, activity and temperature profiles. Resonance behaviour (maximum in conversion with pulse width) is obtained using the optimal temperature policy for certain sets of parameters. The effects of activation energy groups, reaction and deactivation constant groups and inlet temperature on the optimal temperature policy under periodic operation are evaluated. In all cases an improvement in conversion with the optimal temperature policy under periodic operation over that with an isothermal policy under periodic operation is obtained. A suboptimal policy, comprising constant temperature over different reactor sections, which is useful for implementation purposes is also discussed.