Robust Estimation of GARMA Model Parameters with an Application to Cointegration among Interest Rates of Industrialized Countries

We review the literature on long memory ARFIMA and GARMA models andintroduce a new efficient estimator for GARMA models, which we show to berobust. Next we conduct a Monte Carlo study to demonstate the power of theDickie–Fuller test when the data are generated from a stationary GARMAprocess. We conclude with a brief discussion of cointegration in the contextof GARMA models with an application to international interest rates.     

抽油机井下故障自动诊断软件设计

在介绍抽油机井下故障自动诊断在理的基础上,给出了该软件包的设计思路,并对其关键技术作了重点说明。     

南渡江左岸排涝工程研究

南渡江下游左岸是洪涝灾害十分频繁的洪泛区,一般年份洪水即可入侵农田和村庄,对农业生产造成极大损失.如遇20年一遇洪水,项目区积水深度会超过1 m左右,持续时间达2～3d,为排出防护区内涝水,设计应用ArcGIS分析地形并划分排涝分区,通过调蓄计算确定排涝工程规模.     

南面沟泵站施工导流的方案比选

泵站施工导流与水文条件、地质条件、交通条件、工程布置和建筑材料等密切相关,常规导流方案一般通过新建临时建筑物来进行导流,利用导流明渠和围堰相结合的方式来保证干场作业,但是新建临时建筑物会增加工程占地与工程投资,对工程的进度造成不利影响。以海南省南面沟泵站为例,提出临时建筑物与永久建筑物相结合的导流方案,与常规方案进行比较,从而选择最佳导流方案。     

城市防洪泵站振动测试技术探析

为对城市防洪泵站运行中异常、连续的振动进行测试,为泵站维修前后的振动提供对比数据,安装振动测试系统。分析泵站振动变送器的原理、选型,介绍测试系统的组成原理,阐述振动测试系统的安装及注意事项,以及测试系统的校准方法。振动测试系统投入运行几个月来采集的数据,对振动工况的判断、水泵和电机的运行性能,以及维修前后的振动情况对比提供支持,达到了预期目的。     

Reservoir Operation Optimization: A Nonstructural Solution for Control of Seepage from Lar Reservoir in Iran

Abstract

In this paper, the results of utilizing a deterministic dynamic programming model for operation of Lar Reservoir in Iran are discussed. This reservoir has experienced extensive seepage from the start of its operation. The optimization model consists of a three-step cycle, which began with the optimization of reservoir operation for a given set of streamflows. The optimal policies are then analyzed in a regression procedure to obtain a set of operating rules. After the first run, operating rules from the previous run were placed as a new constraint on the water releases with some pre-assigned tolerance and the cycle continues. The model also consisted of mathematical functions for modeling the seepage from Lar Reservoir as a function of storage head in the reservoir. The loss function in the model was also modified in order to incorporate parameters that reduce the seepage. Results of different scenarios showed the significant effect of optimal policies on reduction of seepage and increasing the reliability of water supply to Tehran Metropolitan Area. A pumping station was also proposed to utilize the inactive part of the reservoir, in access of over 100 MCM, in order to reduce the seepage. The effectiveness of different pumping capacities to reduce the seepage was also investigated.     

抽水蓄能机组水泵水轮机模型测试

针对国内首次抽水蓄能电站水泵水轮机组第三方试验台同台对比试验,进行了水轮机模 型测试方法的改进,解决了水泵水轮机四象限试验、瞬时工况点数据采集、水泵大流量工况压力 面空泡观测等试验技术难点。模型试验取得了理想的效果:效率试验的测试不准确度小于 士0. 2 %,试验工况稳定、数据重复性好,采集的“S”特性区和反水泵区的数据点密集。此次试验 表明,国内试验台有能力完成抽水蓄能水泵水轮机组的模型验收试验,对推动我国抽水蓄能电站 的建设有积极意义。     

侧向引水及进水泵站进水流态CFD 模拟分析与优化

应用realizable k - e紊流模型与SIMPLEC算法,对某侧向引水及进水泵站进水侧水流流场进行数值模拟和流动分析,分析表明,该泵站的进水侧水流具有弯道水流特点,数值模拟结果与理论分析结论相吻合。根据该类泵站进水侧水流流场特点,提出采用导流栅作为水力优化途径,并以泵站进水断面处动量分布和进水池断面平均流速均匀度为评判依据,对不同的导流栅整流方案的水力优化效果进行数值模拟研究。成果表明,设置导流栅对泵站引水段的动量分布具有明显的调整作用,泵站进水断面的流速分布与引水段动量分配均匀度有关。适宜尺寸的导流栅可以有效减弱引水段的进水环流作用,使水流在转向后纵向流速较快地恢复正常分布,从而进一步提高泵站进水池流量分配的均匀度。     

基于Aquifer Test的水文地质参数计算方法研究

根据抽水试验结果,常用人工求参的方法确定水文地质参数。人工求参方法计算结果较为可靠,但计算过程繁琐,并且结果因人而异,具有人为随意性。利用AquiferTest软件求参,计算方便快捷,与人工求参方法对比,具有计算精度较高,规范性好等优点。     

山西省小浪底引黄工程地下泵站设计

小浪底引黄工程是山西省“十二五”大水网规划中的重点水利工程.文中简要地介绍了该工程地下泵站的设计规模、总体布置、调压井、岩壁吊车梁、电缆井、地下厂房的防渗、排水、防潮的设计思路和要点.