基于Landsat遥感影像的黄河三角洲东营段海岸线变化分析

基于Landsat遥感影像数据,利用平均高潮线法提取了1986—2015年的海岸线,运用GIS技术分析了黄河三角洲东营段面积的淤蚀变化、海岸线迁移特征及其时空变化规律,以及淤蚀变化与入海水沙的关系。结果表明:1986—1997年黄河三角洲东营段处于持续蚀退状态,蚀退面积约为180 km~2;1997—2006年淤积后面积相对稳定,2006年面积和1986年相差不大;自2008年开始呈现轻微蚀退状态;蚀退速率和淤积速率最快的时段分别为2011—2013年和1997—1999年。海岸线时空变化特征显著,黄河入海口段变化最为剧烈,海岸线方向和形态不断变化,向海延伸;东营港及邻近岸段区域面积基本稳定;刁口段、莱州湾岸段年间淤进和蚀退交替进行,总体上均处于蚀退状态。黄河三角洲东营段海岸线变化主要受黄河流路变化、入海水沙和海水侵蚀的影响,黄河调水调沙工程的长期实施对于近年来河口海岸线的变迁具有深刻影响。     

博斯腾湖流域水资源管理决策支持系统设计与实现

为了提高博斯腾湖流域水资源管理水平,设计开发了针对该流域的水资源管理决策支持系统。系统基于Microsoft.NET平台,采用Visual Studio、SQL Server、ArcGIS工具集开发,在流域“地-云-空”一体化监测体系和系统架构的基础上,构建了地图要素管理、基本水文信息、流域生态流量等主要模块,实现了流域空间可视化查询、实时流量动态模拟、流域生态基流计算以及水资源管理配置等功能。结合博斯腾湖流域1956—2019年水文资料及目前数据获取情况,系统可为不同发展模式下水资源管理提供多方面参考信息和技术支撑,能有效提高水资源管理部门决策效率。     

中亚瓦赫什河上游源区气候水文要素演变特征

为研究全球变化背景下中亚河流源区气候水文变化,基于中亚跨境河流瓦赫什河上游源区1955—2017年气象水文数据,分析了流域内气候水文要素演变特征及流量变化主要控制因子。结果表明:瓦赫什河上游源区近1955—2017年气候呈现暖湿化趋势;瓦赫什河上游源区气温在1994年发生突变现象,降水在2007年与2012年发生突变现象,流量则在2003年发生突变现象;小波分析显示瓦赫什河上游流域气温、降水、流量的第一主周期分别为28 a、20 a、28 a,周期性振荡明显;瓦赫什河上游源区在气候水文要素关联上,气温与流量变化相较于降水紧密,但受全球升温停滞影响,温度对于流量作用并没有持续增强。     

基于雪岭云杉树轮的阿克苏河干流冬季径流重建

基于阿克苏河上游高山区采集的雪岭云杉树轮样芯构建了雪岭云杉树轮宽度年表,结合阿克苏河干流径流数据解析了雪岭云杉长期生长与阿克苏河干流径流关系,并重建了阿克苏河干流1813—2015年冬季径流序列。结果表明:利用雪岭云杉树轮宽度年表重建的阿克苏河干流1813—2015年冬季径流序列模拟值与实测值吻合度较高,重建径流序列稳定可靠;1813—2015年阿克苏河干流冬季多年平均流量为82.19 m~3/s,共出现5次持续丰水期和3次持续枯水期,最长的枯水段持续17年(1943—1959年);阿克苏河干流冬季径流变化存在51 a、29 a、16 a周期,第一主周期为51 a。     

甬江感潮河流上下游码头群对河道行洪的联合影响

为分析甬江上下游码头群对河道行洪的联合影响,基于Delft3D数学模型开展了典型潮洪条件下甬江上下游不同码头群对河道水流特性的影响研究,结果表明:单段码头群位置距河口越远,或码头分布越密集,引起的水位壅高程度越大;在不同码头群共同产生壅水影响的区域,全河段码头群引起的河道洪水位变化比各码头群单独影响时增大,在不同码头群产生水位壅高和降低影响的河段,全河段码头群作用下水位影响部分相抵,但由于降低幅度小于壅高幅度,河道洪水位变化仍呈增大状态;码头群工程局部流速减少区域和外侧河道流速增加区域均呈带状分布,全河段码头群联合作用加剧了单段码头群引起的河道流速的变化且流速减小程度较流速增加程度大。     

Influence of a high‐head dam as a dispersal barrier to fish community structure of the Upper Mississippi River

In river systems, high‐head dams may increase the distance‐decay of fish community similarity by creating nearly impermeable dispersal barriers to certain species from upstream reaches. Substantial evidence suggests that migratory species are impacted by dams, and most previous studies in stream/river networks have focused on small streams and headwaters. Here, we assess whether a high‐head dam (Lock and Dam 19; LD 19) on a large river, the Upper Mississippi River (UMR), substantially alters fish community structure relative to variability expected to occur independent of the dam's effect as a fish dispersal barrier. Using fish catch per unit effort data, we modelled the distance‐decay function for the UMR fish community and then estimated the similarity that would be expected to occur across LD19 and compared it with measured similarity. Measured similarity in the fish community above and below LD19 was close to the expected value based on the distance‐decay function, suggesting LD19 does not create an abrupt transition in the fish community. Although some migratory fish species no longer occur above LD19 (e.g., skipjack herring, Alosa chrysochloris), these species do not occur in high abundance below the dam and so do not drive variation in fish community structure. Instead, much of the variation in species structure is driven by the loss/gain of species across the latitudinal gradient. Lock and Dam 19 does not appear to be a clear transition point in the river's fish community, although it may function as a meaningful barrier for particular species (e.g., invasive species) and warrant future attention from a management perspective.     

Restoring Murray River floodplain wetlands: Does the sediment record inform on watering regime?

The floodplain wetlands of the southern Murray Darling Basin (MDB) have been subject to the impacts of catchment and water resource development for more than a century. Their current degraded state is attributed to the regulation of the rivers and abstraction of water volume for irrigation. The MDB Plan is to return at least 2,750 Gl of mean annual flow to the system to restore the condition of waterways. Considerable recent investment in infrastructure enables water to be released into the basin's floodplain wetlands. The proposed watering regime is underpinned by modelling that suggests that, before regulation, overbank flows would have occurred regularly as discharge peaked in winter and spring. Sediment cores have been extracted from over 50 floodplain wetlands of the southern Murray Basin. Those from several, large meander wavelength billabongs extend for 1,000–5,000 years suggesting that these sites were permanently inundated over that time. Others extend to ~200 years and are presumed not to have accumulated sediment until more recently. The records of most wetlands, however, only extend to the onset of river regulation in the 1920s, suggesting that before then they were not inundated for sufficient duration for net accumulation to occur. Preserved diatoms suggest that the shallow, plant‐dominated wetlands of the past have transitioned to deep, turbid water systems today. As rivers are identified as a source of sediment to wetlands, less regular inundation, rather than more, is a viable option in restoring the ecological function of these floodplain wetlands and in slowing sediment infill.     

A customised approach to determining the geomorphic effectiveness of small flood events in a regulated river

The construction of dams significantly alters flow and sediment regimes with subsequent deleterious effects on the morphological and ecological character of rivers. Effective experimental floods can ameliorate the downstream geomorphic impacts of dams. The traditional view is that large floods are required to perform effective geomorphic work, and the geomorphic outcomes of small floods are often overlooked. Many river restoration frameworks do not consider small floods. Yet, there is evidence that the hydrological characteristics that ameliorate specific geomorphic impacts in a river are unique to each river, and a customised approach to setting the right mix of floods (including small experimental floods) is needed. In this study, we modify an existing flood effectiveness model developed for large floods, for determining the geomorphic effectiveness of small floods in a highly regulated Australian river. Two flood classes were added to the model (medium peak stream power and moderate total energy expenditure), and the flood power characteristics were rescaled to reflect the relative difference in the magnitude of the small floods and the magnitude of the geomorphic work performed. Using a step‐wise approach, this customised model determined the geomorphic effectiveness of small floods. The best flood for ameliorating the geomorphic impacts of flow regulation had medium to long duration (10 to 51 days), high peak unit stream power (77 to 123 Wm^?2) and moderate to large total energy expenditure (78,600 to 342,320 × 10³ J). This approach to determining flood effectiveness for small floods is applicable to other geomorphically impacted river channels downstream of dams and can be used to inform experimental flood releases for geomorphic outcomes.     

ＴＢＭ隧道下穿市政桥梁施工变形规律研究

针对ＴＢＭ不同角度下穿既有结构,对既有结构产生的扰动问题,依托青岛地铁１号线海泊桥站到小村庄站区间ＴＢＭ隧道下穿市政桥梁工程,利用ＦＬＡＣ３Ｄ数值模拟分析软件与现场施工监测相结合的方法,建立相应的三维地质力学模型,研究双线ＴＢＭ隧道施工对既有桥梁结构的受力特征与变形规律,揭示ＴＢＭ隧道下穿市政桥梁施工变形规律。计算结果表明:ＴＢＭ下穿会导致既有桥面板向上隆起,左线隧道开挖引起的桥面板隆起值要远远大于右线开挖;当左线隧道开挖到桥梁跨中时,桥头与桥尾隆起量最大,最大值约４．６３ｍｍ;新建隧道下穿既有结构尽量采用小角度下穿,避免既有结构发生大变形。     

地下水人工回灌和停采对地面沉降控制的影响分析

地面沉降是全世界主要的工程地质灾害之一,而地下水超采是造成地面沉降的主要原因之一。为研究地下水人工回灌和停采对北京平原地面沉降的影响,采用三维地下水模型和情景设计法,设计3个情景(保持现状、人工回灌和地下水停采)对北京平原区域及沉降中心的沉降速率进行模拟。结果表明:保持现状、人工回灌和地下水停采等情景下北京平原在2015、2020和2030年的区域地面沉降分别为24 mm/a左右、12. 7～23. 2 mm/a及12. 4～23. 7mm/a,沉降中心地面沉降分别为39. 30～158. 62 mm/a、21. 09～165. 83 mm/a及16. 5～162. 95 mm/a;人工回灌和地下水停采对研究区地下水水位和含水层储存量的恢复以及地面沉降的控制有显著的促进作用,但地下水停采的效果要优于人工回灌的效果;只有综合考虑社会经济发展和地面沉降控制,才能既控制地面沉降的恶化,又保证北京平原社会的可持续发展。