海上钻修机结构裂纹安全性评估

基于BS 7910 2A级评估原理,对某海上钻修机钻井支持模块进行断裂评估。鉴于有限元方法能够大幅提高计算失效评估图评定参数的准确度,采用ANSYS软件子模型技术和奇异单元构造裂纹精细有限元模型,通过节点位移插值计算裂纹尖端应力强度因子,应用路径映射对应力进行线性化求得薄膜应力和弯曲应力,从而完成缺陷构件的失效评估图评定,结果表明：该钻修机钻井支持模块含裂纹构件的评估点位于失效评估曲线内侧,安全因数为1.51,结构能够继续安全服役。所用方法可为含裂纹缺陷的海洋结构物的安全评估提供参考。     

气相色谱-质谱法分析酚焦油的主要组分

实验采用气相色谱-质谱法(GC-MS)对酚焦油的主要组分进行了定性和定量测定,结果表明:使用SE-54毛细管柱、控制升温条件,能够同时检测出酚焦油中各主要组分含量,测定方法简便、快速、灵敏、准确。     

基层设备管理中的专业考核问题

在基层设备管理中,建立以案例考核为主体的考核体系,采用多种激励手段,实现设备管理的有效性和经济性。     

建设项目管理中的风险及其对策研究

建设项目管理中不可避免存在各种各样的风险,本文结合个人实际经历,在相关文献资料的基础上,总结了建设项目管理中存在的风险,并提出了相应的控制策略,以期为工程项目管理人员提供参考。     

Mass balance soil ingestion estimating methods and their application to inhabitants of rural and wilderness areas: A critical review

Quantitative soil ingestion studies employing a mass balance tracer approach have been used to provide a defensible means to estimate soil ingestion for human health risk assessments. Past studies have focused on soil ingestion in populations living in urban/suburban environments. There is a paucity of reliable quantitative soil ingestion data to support human health risk assessments of other lifestyles that may be predisposed to ingesting soil, such as agricultural workers or indigenous populations following traditional lifestyles. The results of a preliminary analysis of sampling and analytical variability that would result from assessing activities typical of populations in rural or wilderness areas and conducted over wide areas show that approximately 225 subject days would be required to detect a difference of 20 mg/d in soil ingestion. Given the typically small populations in these areas, future soil ingestion studies should be focused on specific activities with a high potential for soil ingestion.     

架空线路覆冰闪络跳闸特性分析与风险建模

极端冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸是激发大电网脆弱性、导致大面积停电的重要因素。覆冰闪络跳闸等现象的风险评估是建立冰灾防御体系的基础。基于电网层面,进行了冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸的风险状态识别与风险建模。根据覆冰闪络跳闸特性分析,界定了输电网绝缘系统的脆弱点,即覆冰期绝缘系统冰凌桥接、融冰期冰凌断流等临界点。进一步建立了覆冰闪络状态的划分原则与风险等级,并对预测冰况进行了模糊模式识别和风险评级,为运行人员提供了动态风险信息。针对数据的小样本、多输入等特点,采用统计学习理论结构风险最小化方法,构建了最小二乘支持向量机（least squares support vector machine,LSSVM）冰闪跳闸风险评估模型,依据贝叶斯（Bayesian）证据推理优化模型参数。通过与误差反向传播人工神经网络（artificial neural networkwith error back propagation,BP-ANN）算法对比,验证了该模型的有效性。最后通过脆弱性指标分析了网架结构破坏的严重性与电网绝缘系统的脆弱性。     

信息安全风险评估在浙江省电力公司的应用

介绍信息安全风险评估的概念和内容,根据浙江省电力系统相关企业的实际情况和特点,详细阐述了可操作的电力信息系统安全风险评估的方法和流程,以及实际操作过程中的技术细节。     

省级电力公司门户升级改造风险管控研究

为了适应国家电网公司信息化建设工作的不断开展,深入提升门户实用化水平,确保甘肃省电力公司企业门户系统更好地为公司员工日常工作服务,甘肃省电力公司决心全面启动升级改造工作.针对门户系统升级改造过程中可能出现的风险,甘肃省电力公司从管理体制和技术手段2方面提供了管控措施:一方面成立专门的风险管控小组,对门户升级改造过程实行分阶段管控,对整个门户系统风险管控流程进行预先规划;另一方面采取相应的备份措施,对升级脚码进行事前演练,对门户升级过程中可能出现的问题进行预先评估并制定相应的处理措施.最终确保了整个门户的无间断升级,并保证了整个门户系统升级改造过程在时间和风险上的可控性.     

Effects of Moisture on Furfural Partitioning in Oil-Paper Insulation System and Aging Assessment of Power Transformers

The furfural concentration in oil is a well-accepted chemical marker indicating the aging condition of power transformers. However, recent researches suggest that the furfural concentration in oil is affected by moisture, because moisture influences the furfural partitioning ratio in oil-paper insulation system. In this study, the correlation of moisture and furfural partitioning ratio was investigated. The accelerated thermal aging test and moisture absorption test were conducted to prepare oil-paper samples with different furfural and moisture concentrations. For samples with different moisture concentrations, the furfural partitioning ratios between oil and paper were compared. Results showed that samples with high humidity exhibited a high furfural mass fraction in oil. This finding implied that high humidity promoted the furfural diffusion from paper to oil. Further, the interference of moisture on aging assessment of insulation paper was analyzed. Results showed that the increase of moisture concentration in oil-paper system would significantly affect the accuracy of insulation paper aging assessment. A corrected equation for aging assessment of insulation paper with different moisture concentrations was established. Verification result showed that the equation could effectively correct the interference of moisture and enhance the accuracy of the aging assessment of insulation paper.     

基于市场力指标的输电容量充裕度评估方法

网络输电能力对于现实市场公平竞争和电力系统稳定运行起到了至关重要的作用。提出了必须运行出力指标并指出其内含的市场力风险,通过潮流追踪方法建立了多层次的市场控制力和集中度指标体系;研究关键输电线路在不同稳定限额水平下的市场力特征。IEEE14节点系统和IEEE-30节点系统的算例证明该方法可以有效地反映网络中输电线路的薄弱环节以及线路稳定运行的一些临界点,有助于市场组织者完善市场规则,也可为输电网络的规划提供科学依据。