基于概率支持向量回归的产品设计时间预测模型

为使产品设计时间预测既克服小样本、异方差噪声问题,又提供除预测值以外的其他有用信息,建立概率支持向量回归(PSVR)模型。首先,在异方差回归模型基础上设计概率约束条件,以使预测值以较大概率位于真实值的某邻域,结合具有参数不敏感损失函数的支持向量回归确定优化目标,提出PSVR。然后,将最大完工时间知识嵌入进PSVR的约束条件,用以确定真实值邻域的宽度,将交叉验证与遗传算法相结合以确定PSVR的相关参数。最后,以注塑模具设计的实例进行分析,结果表明基于PSVR的时间预测方法可同时提供有效的预测值和预测区间。     

试验温度和停放时间对胶料加工性能的影响

研究试验温度和停放时间对胶料加工性能的影响。结果表明，试验温度对胶料的门尼粘度、门尼焦烧时间和硫化特性均有一定影响。门尼粘度测定的试验温度选择100℃；门尼焦烧时间测定的试验温度一般选120℃，SBR胶料可提高至130℃左右，以缩短试验时间；硫化特性测定的试验温度一般选185℃。试验前模腔达到规定温度后再保持15min，以使转子与模腔温度一致。胶料停放时间应控制在2h左右。     

Decentralized weighted control for a class of large‐scale systems with multi‐modes

In this paper, the control synthesis problem for a class of large‐scale systems with multi‐modes that are called large‐scale switched systems is addressed. By introducing the concept of decentralized switching signal and the relevant decentralized average dwell time, the asymptotic stability and weighted ?₂ gain performance are investigated. It should be noted that the decentralized switching covers general switching cases for large‐scale switched systems, namely, it admits both time‐dependent switching signal and arbitrary switching signal blended in the decentralized switching. Then, on the basis of the analysis results, the decentralized weighted control scheme including state feedback controller gains and switching signals is studied. Several design algorithms are proposed to meet different controller design problems. Finally, numerical examples are provided to illustrate theoretical findings within this paper. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于形状记忆合金的TMD半主动控制

针对建筑结构在随机荷载或风荷载作用下可能发生的频率不确定问题,特别是结构自振频率会随振幅的大小而发生漂移的非线性振动问题,提出性能可靠、构造简单的形状记忆合金SMA-TMD自适应半主动控制系统.从理论上探讨形状记忆合金在变刚度TMD控制装置中的应用,并进行相应的参数设计.同时,在研究随机荷载作用下TMD系统动力特性的基础上,结合短时傅里叶变换(STFT)设计出该系统的自适应半主动控制算法.算例表明,SMA-TMD自适应控制系统能较好地识别结构系统的时频特性,并进行有效的控制,具有性能可靠和自适应能力强等特点.该自适应控制系统较传统的TMD被动控制减震效果更好,鲁棒性更强.     

TH-PPM UWB通信系统多址性能研究

介绍了TH-PPM UWB信号,在AWGN信道和多用户干扰条件下对系统的性能进行了分析,包括误码率分析和系统所能接入的最大用户数,对其误码率进行了仿真.结果表明,随着接入用户数目的增加,系统误码率也增加,而增大重复码长度和脉冲重复时间则可降低系统误码率,但增加脉冲重复时间会降低信息传输速率.     

Effects of main factors on remedying northern landscaping water by hybrid ecological filter

Natural zeolite and coal cinder were layered as main packing medium of the ecological filter instead of traditional filling to remedy the static lake water in Northern China.The ecological filter was running in a combined upward and downward flow mode.Dynamic experiments were carried out to study the effects of retention time and ambient temperature on pollutants’ removal efficiency of the hybrid ecological filter.The function of plant was also studied by contrast test.It is showed that the removal efficiencies of NH4+-N and TP are increased when the retention time is changed from 1 h to 2 h and 4 h,but the removal efficiency of TN is decreased,the removal efficiency of NH4+-N is increased from 91.5% to 98% and that of TP is increased from 31.8% to 52.5%.When the temperature declines,the temporal removal efficiency of NH4+-N is reduced,but the removal efficiency of 24 h and 48 h is remained.The removal efficiency of TP after 24 h and 48 h is decreased when the temperature declines evidently.The retention time plays an important role in NH4+-N and TP removal,and the ambient temperature is significant for TP removal.The plant favors for TP and organic matter removal but has little effect on TN removal.     

An improvement to the simulation of phase-change heat-transfer during soil freezing and thawing

A new variable time step method, which is called the backwards calculating time step method, is presented in this paper. It allows numerical simulation of soil freezing and thawing while avoiding "phase change missing and overflowing". A sensitive heat capacity model is introduced through which the calculation errors are analyzed. Then the equation using the self-adjusted time step is presented and solved using finite differences. Through this equation, the time needed for a space cell to reach the phase change point temperature is calculated. Using this time allows the time step to be adjusted so that errors caused by "phase change missing and overflowing" are successfully eliminated. Above all, the obvious features of this method are an accelerated rate for adjusting the time step and simplifing the computations. An actual example proves that this method can accurately calculate the temperature fields during soil freezing and thawing. It is an improvement over traditional methods and can be widely used on com- plicated multi-dimensional phase change problems.     

线性时滞状态反馈下Stuart-Landau系统的多周期解

对一个stuart-landau系统引入时滞状态反馈,研究时滞对非线性系统动力行为的影响。发现时滞可使系统出现周期振动,与无时滞系统不同之处在于有多个周期吸引子共存的现象。从理论上预测由时滞导致的动力学行为,得到周期解的解析形式。随着时滞量的变化,周期解个数及其稳定性发生变化。并通过对比周期解的数值解和解析解,数值验证多周期吸引子共存的现象。这些结果对控制系统的振动和系统同步等有着潜在的应用价值。     

论新时期油田企业医院思想政治工作

随着医院内部管理体制改革的不断推进,医务人员的主人翁思想有所动摇,价值观发生了变化,服务理念跟不上现实的要求。针对这些问题,应该处理好"疏"与"堵"的关系、"实"与"虚"的关系。努力做好以下三点工作:1、把握人的行为规律,体现科学性;2、抓住职工结构新特点,体现针对性;3、解决实际问题,体现实效性。同时抓好四个结合:即思想政治工作与医疗业务工作的结合;思想政治工作与解决职工实际问题的结合;思想政治工作与职业道德建设的结合;思想政治工作与文化建设的结合。     

多途信道中声屏蔽及声聚焦

针对传统阵处理无法分辨同一方向上2个点源的缺陷,提出了多途信道中声屏蔽技术.将声屏蔽技术应用于抗拖船干扰,把拖曳线列阵接收的拖船干扰和同方向的目标信号在频域通过一个屏蔽、聚焦权滤波器,在对干扰屏蔽的同时,对目标聚焦.仿真结果表明,干扰源的辐射噪声被显著抑制,而所期望的目标信号清晰可见,其输出相干信噪比大幅度提高,该技术在抑制拖船干扰的同时可以有效消除在该方向的探测盲区.