Should we be surprised at expert system success ?

Abstract. Expert systems proliferate. They are now a usable and used tool in a variety of organizations. However, little research has been undertaken on the quantification of success or failure of expert system projects. By and large the only test carried out for expert system validation is one of comparison of the conclusions of the system with those of an expert or team of experts. While questioning the validity, this paper accepts that this method is being used and analyses whether or not the results obtained from this type of test should be a surprise. That is, what sort of results should be expected and to what extent do the reported ones live up to these expectations? Earlier research from the field of human information processing casts doubts on the success claims made for current expert systems. The implications of this research are then analysed in order to explore the possible redeeming features of expert systems which are not taken into account in such comparisons. The use of linear models as comparators for expert systems may prove beneficial.     

一种改进的射频加解扰方法

文中提出了一种改进的射频加解扰新方法，采用视频加扰与射频解扰相结合的技术，利用（Ｎ＋１）个电视射频频道实现对Ｎ路电视信号的加扰。     

Neutral poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene-2,5-diyl)s: preparation by organometallic polycondensation and their unique p-doping behavior

Neutral and non-doped poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene), PEDOTh(Ni), and its hexyl derivative, PEDOTh-C₆(Ni), have been prepared by organometallic dehalogenation polycondensation of 2,5-dichloro-3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene and its hexyl derivative with a zerovalent nickel complex. PEDOTh-C₆(Ni) was soluble in organic solvents and ¹H NMR data indicated that it had an M_n of 11,000. MALDI-TOF mass analysis of PEDOTh(Ni) gave M_n and M_w of about 1700 and 2400, respectively. PEDOTh-C₆(Ni) showed a UV-Vis absorption peak at 546 nm in CHCl₃. Electrochemical oxidation of PEDOTh-C₆(Ni) started at about −0.40 V vs Ag⁺/Ag and gave a peak at 0.20 V vs Ag⁺/Ag. Chemical and electrochemical oxidation (or p-doping) of PEDOTh-C₆(Ni), both in solutions and in a solid state, led to weakening of the original π-π^∗ peaks and rise of new peak(s) in a region of 800-1500 nm. The p-doping of PEDOTh-C₆(Ni) caused not only a decrease in the intensity of ¹H NMR signals of the bridging ethylene hydrogens but also a decrease in that of the hexyl side chain, suggesting a strong interaction of the p-dopant with the side chain. NMR data of poly(3-methoxythiophene-2,5-diyl) also supported an assumption that p-doping brings about a severe change in electronic state of the substituent attached to the polythiophene main chain. PEDOTh(Ni) had a density of 1.71 g cm⁻³; the molecular packing mode of PEDOTh(Ni) is discussed based on the density of the polymer and its XRD data.     

彩电机壳结构CAD(Ⅳ) 第四讲 TV-HCCS的表示模型和数据处理

彩色电视机机壳结构CAD系统要处理的数据量是相当大的。本文首先将需要处理的数据分类,然后阐述TV-HCCS表示模型的选取,最后介绍TV-HCCS采用的数据处理方法和相应的数据文件系统。     

对完善公司物资供应管理体系的思考

针对经“债转股”和资产重组成立的北京东方石油化工有限公司物资供应管理特点和存在的问题，从供应管理模式、采购方式、采购过程监控、信息化管理、物资储备、人员结构等6个方面，分析了目前供应管理存在的问题和不足，并针对问题通过对物资供应管理体制的分析和思考，提出对策，为新的物资供应体制的建立提供参考。     

数据广播在文化传媒领域的合理化运作

数据广播是现阶段一种新的文化传媒体系,随着数字电视的不断发展完善,数据广播在信息产业飞速发展的今天,逐渐成为新时期信息传播的主要媒介方式,阐述数据广播在当今社会信息领域的存在形态、发展方向以及如何合理、高效地运营这样一种增值业务。     

健康长江评价指标体系与标准研究

科学的指标体系和标准是评价河流健康状况的技术依据。根据科学性、代表性、创新性等原则，运用主成分分析法和聚类分析法．构建了健康长江评价指标体系，包括河岸稳定性、河床稳定性等19个定量指标和水系连通性、河岸栖息地状况和珍稀水生动物存活状况3个定性指标；给出了相应指标的量化评价方法，并通过国内外相关研究成果的综合分析．提出了健康长江的评价标准及分类标准，为维持河流健康理论发展提供了新方法。     

Scaffolded writing and rewriting in the discipline: A web-based reciprocal peer review system

This paper describes how SWoRD (scaffolded writing and rewriting in the discipline), a web-based reciprocal peer review system, supports writing practice, particularly for large content courses in which writing is considered critical but not feasibly included. To help students gain content knowledge as well as writing and reviewing skills, SWoRD supports the whole cycle of writing, reviews, back-reviews, and rewriting by scaffolding the journal publication process as its authentic practice model. In addition, SWoRD includes algorithms that compute individual reviewer’s review accuracy, which is in turn used to support the various drawbacks of reciprocal peer reviews (e.g., variation in motivation or ability of reviewers). Finally, this paper describes an empirical evaluation showing that the SWoRD approach is effective in improving writing quality in content classes.     

水文自动测报系统防雷的探讨

水文自动测报系统若配备有线／无线（GSM，GPRS）双通道，可提高系统的可靠性，保证系统的畅通。然而，有线组网方式最致命弱点是防雷能力差，针对防雷问题，在实践中探讨其有效途径，论述接地装置的设计、安装中应注意的几个问题，并介绍在实践中电话线防雷从一级防护发展到三级防护，提高防雷的效果，有待在实践中，再认识，再提高。