西江流域压咸风险调度及其时空传递规律研究

枯水期珠江河口咸潮情势日益加重,径流不确定加剧了压咸风险,严重威胁沿线的供水安全。本文基于概率密度分布描述径流不确定性,构建了单源风险调度基本框架。以西江流域五座水库为研究对象,量化了预报误差与压咸风险的响应关系;揭示了压咸风险的时空传递规律;将压咸风险划分为3个等级;确定出各级风险越级传递的临界阈值。研究表明：随预报误差的增大,压咸风险提前且持续天数增加、风险率增大;压咸风险呈逐时段累积和从上游向下游、从支流向干流的时空传递规律;当预报误差超过±16%、±21%时,压咸风险从轻险越级至中险、中险越级至重险。研究成果对于西江流域压咸风险的调控和粤港澳大湾区的供水安全具有重要的应用价值。     

Modelling the effects of human papillomavirus in cervical cells

Worldwide, cervical cancer is the second most common cancer in women, after breast cancer. The prevalence of this malignant disease is estimated at 1.4 million cases worldwide, causing about 290,000 deaths and 500,000 new cases per year, of which 80% correspond to women living in developing countries. In this work we propose a family of ordered models for basal cells of the cervix corresponding to different stages ranging from normal cells to the formation of precancerous lesions. We analyse the first member of the family analytically and for the second member we developed a non-standard numerical method in order to extract some biological information.     

校园网络安全中异常入侵快速定位方法的研究

随着计算机技术和网络技术的飞速发展,当代各类学校内的教学、科研等重要领域都引入了计算机网络技术,尤其是现代各类高等院校,其网络化和信息化的程度更为深入,由此可见校园网络所承担的责任越来越重。因此,校园网络的建设已经成为了现代校园建设的重要组成部分,而校园网络安全的重要性更是不言而喻。     

完美无谐波变频器的错位移相控制及其仿真

文章主要介绍了完美无谐波变频器(CSML)的工作原理,及其特性和仿真,其性能达到甚至超过了IEEE-519国际谐波标准.     

应对长江口咸潮入侵的临界流量经验模型研究

1994年以来,长江口咸潮入侵严重威胁当地供水安全,随着长江上游水库群陆续建成,有关部门提出了通过上游水库群压咸调度保障长江口地区供水安全的方案。为明确压咸调度的目标流量(即临界流量),基于统计分析的方法,采用多元回归分析和主成分分析方法,选取实测站点数据建立了盐度-潮差-入海流量的相关关系统计模型,研究了咸潮发生的机理;通过模型分析多次咸潮入侵数据,确定临界流量为一个变化值,潮差290～335 cm下的临界流量在9 390～21 633 m³/s之间。研究表明,当长江口咸潮入侵时,单独依靠长江上游水库调度压咸所需的流量大,响应时间长,压咸效果不明显。因此,实际压咸调度应通过流域整体调度与本地蓄淡避咸水库共同作用应对咸潮入侵。     

特高压直流分层接入方式的落点选择研究

基于CIGRE直流工作组的多馈入直流短路比（MISCR）的定义,引入直流权重因子,建立了分层接入方式下直流落点的稳定性指标,井结合经济性指标,构造线性权重的目标函数进行落点优化。算例分析表明本研究方法切实可行,便于工程应用。     

柴达木盆地涩北气田疏松砂岩气藏水气体积比及水侵预警

柴达木盆地涩北气田属于弱边水驱动的背斜型浅层疏松砂岩气田,采用衰竭式开采。根据水气体积比,其气藏生产过程可分为4个阶段,即低含水稳产阶段、初期水侵阶段、边水突破阶段和强水侵阶段。依照水气体积比变化,可以准确监测水侵的发生,水侵突破阶段可以作为预判边水大规模水侵的时间窗口,以调整开采方案,延长稳产期;高含水的强水侵阶段,生产周期较长,是带水开采提高采收率的重要阶段。     

Territorial targeting in EU private law

In a series of rulings given in the last few years, the Court of Justice of the European Union (EU) has made use of the concept of targeting by a trader of a particular territorial market as a device for determining the scope of European legislation on private law. The concept is of particular importance in the context of trading activities conducted by means of the Internet, though its significance is not confined to such activities. In particular, the European Court has used the concept of targeting for the purpose of restricting the substantive ambit of intellectual property rights created or harmonised by EU legislation. On the other hand, it has avoided use of the concept of targeting in the context of EU legislation allocating jurisdiction between the courts of the Member States, even in respect of disputes involving intellectual property, except where a legislative text specifically invokes such a concept. The instant paper endeavours to review the position as currently established by the European case-law, and to predict the likely further developments.     

基于固有模态能量的暂态量选线方法

针对基于小波分析的煤矿电网故障选线方法由于分解效果取决于基函数的选择,不能保证最优分解效果的问题,提出了一种基于固有模态能量的暂态量选线方法。该方法利用经验模态分解对信号局部特征的自适应性,对单相接地故障零序电流的暂态特征进行分析,定义固有模态能量和能量权重因子作为故障特征参数,实现对故障暂态量信息的数据挖掘;求取故障后各馈线的零序暂态电流的固有模态能量,计算各馈线的能量权重因子,通过比较各馈线能量权重因子辨识出故障线路,即能量权重因子最大的线路就是故障线路。理论分析和仿真结果表明,该方法不受接地电阻、故障时间等故障条件的影响,能够准确可靠地实现煤矿高压电网故障选线。     

高压送电线路飞鸟光电探测方法

高压送电线路的鸟害事故已成为送电线路安全运行的一大隐患,为此提出一种用于高压送电线路驱鸟器的飞鸟光电探测方法.采用光电二极管阵列对飞鸟目标进行探测,应用相关技术对信号进行处理,理论分析和实验结果表明,所介绍的飞鸟光电探测方法可探测横向飞行角度(与探测平面夹角)≤60°、距离15 m内的飞鸟目标,同时对背景光线变化不敏感,抗干扰能力较强.