A method for the efficient prioritization of infrastructure renewal projects

The infrastructure renewal program at MIT consists of a large number of projects with an estimated budget that could approach $1 billion. Infrastructure renewal at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is the process of evaluating and investing in the maintenance of facility systems and basic structure to preserve existing campus buildings. The selection and prioritization of projects must be addressed with a systematic method for the optimal allocation of funds and other resources. This paper presents a case study of a prioritization method utilizing multi-attribute utility theory. This method was developed at MIT's Department of Nuclear Engineering and was deployed by the Department of Facilities after appropriate modifications were implemented to address the idiosyncrasies of infrastructure renewal projects and the competing criteria and constraints that influence the judgment of the decision-makers. Such criteria include minimization of risk, optimization of economic impact, and coordination with academic policies, programs, and operations of the Institute. A brief overview of the method is presented, as well as the results of its application to the prioritization of infrastructure renewal projects. Results of workshops held at MIT with the participation of stakeholders demonstrate the feasibility of the prioritization method and the usefulness of this approach.     

劳动工时定额工作新探索

围绕工时定额的制定方法、原则等问题着重进行论述,以便在市场经济条件下,更好地发挥工时定额管理工作的巨大作用。     

一种基于时间分层决策矩阵的综合评价算法

综合评价系统用四元总体（A，Z，X^(k)，D）表示，其中决策矩阵X^(k)是具有对象维i,指标维j,时间维k的三维矩阵，将三维矩阵X（k)按时间划分形成m个二维矩阵，每个二维矩阵分别代表每个年度n个评价对象对应于p个指标的属性集，讨论了按时间分层决策矩阵的多指标综合评价问题，描述了按时间分层的决策矩阵的求解算法，并采用Visual Foxpro数据库语言编程实现。     

Adaptive flexibility and maladaptive routines in selecting fast and frugal decision strategies.

Decision routines unburden the cognitive capacity of the decision maker. In changing environments, however, routines may become maladaptive. In 2 experiments with a hypothetical stock market game (n = 241), the authors tested whether decision routines tend to persist at the level of decision strategies rather than at the level of options in strategy selection. The payoff structure of the task was changed after 80 decision trials, rendering a new strategy optimal with respect to expected payoff. Whereas most participants detected the appropriate strategy at the beginning of the task, they tended to retain it even when it was no longer optimal. A hint about a possible change had only a small influence on this maladaptive routine; a monetary incentive had none. Switching to a similar but not identical task relaxed the routine, but not much. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

利用模糊评判方法确定张东构造油藏储量计算的可靠程度

张巨河油田张东构造地处大港滩海交接处,海域部分探井少.目前用油藏描述方法计算的探明储量,其落实程度备受关注.储量落实程度的评价是一个多因素综合评判问题,而且这些因素还分属不同层次.模糊综合评判是应用较为广泛的模糊数学方法之一.该方法建立的综合评判涉及三个要素,即因素集、评判集和单因素评判,由此所构造的模糊评判关系是模糊综合评判的基础.本文用该方法对张东构造沙二段油藏的探明储量落实程度作了尝试性评价.     

堆底熔穿事故的场外后果及其对策

在压水堆核电站应急计划和应急响应中，堆底熔穿事故占有重要位置。本文用法国核电厂事故源项Ｓ３（对应于堆底熔穿事故）计算了在典型气象条件下的场外放射学的后果，根据一般防护决策原则和我国颁布的干预水平，提出了保护公众的应急防护措施的建议。     

用面向对象编程实现问题求解自动化

本文从面向对象方法基本原理和面向对象编程的技术特征出发，阐明所建应用软件系统中的对象，类及相应类层次结构和类组合结构，使系统具有很强的表现真空世界复杂系统结构的能力，系统通过消息传递在程序执行中实现对操作的调用机制，使之在面向用户问题选择和执行求解策略方面有很强的适应性，这一点对于强调人－机交互和解题协作的智能决策支持系统设计至关重要，文章给出了用Ｃ＋＋实现的模型对象系统及消息传递机制。     

基于Sql Server BI平台和决策树技术的CET-4成绩分析

文章首先对Sql Server 2008商业智能平台及决策树技术相关理论作了介绍,然后对挖掘数据源数据进行了一系列预处理。利用Sql Server 2008商业智能平台下的决策树技术并采用数据挖掘扩展语言即DMX语言创建了CET-4成绩分析决策树模型。分类矩阵和挖掘提升图分别对该模型的评估结果表明了模型具有较高的可靠性和分类准确度,同时模型对应的一些规则可作为英语教学管理和改革的重要参考依据。     

基于加权决策树的蛋白质序列分类算法研究

针对蛋白质序列分类的需求,深入研究了蛋白质序列分类算法。对蛋白质序列的特征属性进行了大量的分析和研究,给出了蛋白质序列特征属性的描述形式。在此基础上设计了一种基于加权决策树的蛋白质序列分类算法,详细阐述了加权决策树的构造过程以及决策树的主要参数计算方法,而且根据蛋白质序列的特征,对决策树进行了改进,给出了加权决策树的实现方法。测试结果表明：设计的蛋白质序列分类算法具有较高的分类精度和较快的执行速度。     

MULTICRITERIA SORTING METHODOLOGY: APPLICATION TO FINANCIAL DECISION PROBLEMS

Abstract

The primary objective in the sorting approach is to assign a set of alternatives into predefined classes. This type of problem is often encountered in many real world decision problems. During the last two decades several new approaches have been proposed to overcome the shortcomings of traditional statistical and econometric techniques. This paper focuses on the multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) approach; it briefly reviews the main MCDA sorting techniques, and presents the multigroup hierarchical discrimination method. This new MCDA sorting technique is applied to the portfolio selection problem. A comparison with discriminant analysis is also performed. Furthermore, the efficiency of the proposal approach can be easily improved for solving large-scale problems in a multiprocessing environment.