神经网络分类器的快速构造算法

使用ＢＰ算法训练多层网络的速度很慢而且事先难于确定隐节点和隐层的适当数目。本文提出一个有效的算法，先构造决策树，然后将构造的决策树转换为神经网。文中使用一个全局准则函数控制决策树的增长，它较好地匹配了树的复杂性和训练样本量及错分率界。实验结果，本文的算法比用ＢＰ算法训练多层网络要快，而其分类精度不低于用ＢＰ算法训练的多层神经网。     

模糊环境的表示及机器人轨迹规划

本文利用模糊集理论，提出一种非确定环境的描述方法，并且针对机器人在该类环境中的避障轨迹规划，建立了相应的决策函数和规划策略，最后，给出在ＰＣ－３８６计算机上的仿真试验结果。     

控制决策的信息传输

本文讨论了在一条通讯通道上执行基本控制决策的信息传输问题。结果表明当且仅当第一条通道可模拟另一条通道的操作时，则第一条通道在任何情况下比另一条通道都有优势。     

钢铁企业价格预测决策模型体系研究

通过对钢铁企业现行价格管理体系的分析 ,建立了钢铁企业价格预测决策模型体系。充分利用大量的定性、定量信息 ,并把趋势预测和因果预测技术相结合 ,采用组合预测模型对价格进行预测 ,最后对预测出来的多方案进行模糊综合评价 ,给出推荐方案顺序。实际应用表明 ,模型体系是有效的。     

A bidding decision index for construction contractors

Results from applying the model on a sample of contractors, the majority of whom were international and operating in Egypt, reinforces the credibility of the developed methodology, claim the authors.     

An evaluation system of the setting up of predictive maintenance programmes

Predictive Maintenance can provide an increase in safety, quality and availability in industrial plants. However, the setting up of a Predictive Maintenance Programme is a strategic decision that until now has lacked analysis of questions related to its setting up, management and control. In this paper, an evaluation system is proposed that carries out the decision making in relation to the feasibility of the setting up. The evaluation system uses a combination of tools belonging to operational research such as: Analytic Hierarchy Process, decision rules and Bayesian tools. This system is a help tool available to the managers of Predictive Maintenance Programmes which can both increase the number of Predictive Maintenance Programmes set up and avoid the failure of these programmes. The Evaluation System has been tested in a petrochemical plant and in a food industry.     

A multicriteria approach to identify investment opportunities for the exploitation of the clean development mechanism

The aim of the present paper is to investigate the prospects for the exploitation of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) in Greece. The paper is addressing 3 questions: in which country, what kind of investment, with which economic and environmental return? The proposed approach is based on a multicriteria analysis for identifying priority countries and interesting investment opportunities in each priority country. These opportunities are then evaluated through a conventional financial analysis in order to assess their economic and environmental attractiveness. To this purpose, the IRR of a typical project in each investment category is calculated by taking into account country-specific parameters, such as baseline emission factors, load factors, costs, energy prices etc. The results reveal substantial differences in the economic and environmental return of different types of projects in different host-countries and show that for the full exploitation of the CDM a multifaceted approach to decision-making is necessary.     

炼钢工序的变化与挑战——柳钢"十五"期间炼钢的进步与工艺特点

简述了炼钢工序在柳钢"十五"期间工艺和装备的变化及其特点.对工序变化进行了初步分析.     

Applying real options in investment decisions relating to environmental pollution

This study focuses on how to assess the optimal environmental investment decisions under economic and ecological uncertainty, and establishes the continuous time model using the real option approach to optimize environmental pollution policy. Unlike traditional cost benefit analysis, this work extends the model of [Pindyck, R.S., 2002. Optimal timing problems in environmental economics. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 26(9–10), 1677–1697], and attempts to identify the storage threshold of pollution stocks and the optimal timing for implementing environmental pollution decisions.     

强化技改决策促进技术进步和企业发展

以有效的技改投资决策理念指导企业技改投资，加快了企业技术进步，促进了企业跨越式发展，使三钢的产能从1996年年产钢50万t钢规模发展到目前的200万t钢水平，且优化了产业结构，技术经济指标从全国同行业的中下游上升到领先水平，增强了企业实力。但是，在取得显著成绩的同时，周边民营钢铁企业异军突起，面对严峻的挑战，三钢力争两年内依靠技改使产能达到300万t钢规模，并筹谋更远大的发展。