公路边坡培植柠条的探讨

介绍了河曲公路所处的自然环境 ,阐述了人工铲草的利与弊 ,进而提出了边坡培植柠条的效益分析 ,并对培植柠条的苗期管理及与养护生产的关系进行了介绍     

Markov analysis of qualitative dynamics1

Common sense sometimes predicts events to be likely or unlikely rather than merely possible. We extend methods of qualitative reasoning to predict the relative likelihoods of possible qualitative behaviors by viewing the dynamics of a system as a Markov chain over its transition graph. This involves adding qualitative or quantitative estimates of transition probabilities to each of the transitions and applying the standard theory of Markov chains to distinguish persistent states from transient states and to calculate recurrence times, settling times, and probabilities for ending up in each state. Much of the analysis depends solely on qualitative estimates of transition probabilities, which follow directly from theoretical considerations and which lead to qualitative predictions about entire classes of systems. Quantitative estimates for specific systems are derived empirically and lead to qualitative and quantitative conclusions, most of which are insensitive to small perturbations in the estimated transition probabilities. The algorithms are straightforward and efficient.     

实施取水定额管理的几个关键问题探讨

通过对全国23个省级单位出台的用水定额标准进行分析，指出目前定额管理存在6个主要问题：一是概念模糊，二是制定方法不统一、不规范，三是定额标准体系不完善，四是可操作性较差，五是计量系统不完善，六是缺乏取水定额管理信息化平台。提出应采用“取水定额”这一表述，并提出了取水定额的体系，包括基础计量体系、定额制定体系、信息链体系、定期更新体系4部分。明确了取水定额管理体系建设主要内容应包括：法律法规体系、定额制定体系、水价管理体系、信息通道体系。     

Unintentionally Biasing the Data: Reply to Knobe.

Knobe (2003) wants to help adjudicate the philosophical debate concerning whether and under what conditions we normally judge that some side effect was brought about intentionally. His proposal for doing so is perhaps an obvious one--simply elicit the intuitions of "The Folk" directly on the matter and record the results. Knobe concludes that people's judgment that a side effect was brought about intentionally apparently rests, at least in part, upon how blameworthy they find the agent responsible for it. Knobe's appreciably straightforward approach to this question does not settle the matter, however. Simply raising that question can itself affect our evaluation of the side effect in question as either something good or something bad. As a result, Knobe's experiments effectively bias subjects' responses toward judging the given side effects more negatively than they might have otherwise. Subjects failed to assign a high level of praise for good side effects because taking into account whether they were brought about intentionally or unintentionally makes them suspect. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Strategic appraisal of energy models for Mozambique

The needs that an energy supply system must meet are constantly changing, due to technological, social and political reasons. Effective energy planning is a dynamic process that is repeated periodically and adjusts to changing conditions. Energy decision makers and planners are no longer able to rely on inductive decision making since they have to investigate the effect of various decision parameters and possible future changes. To help in this process, models have been developed where estimates of future load growth, candidate power plants, fuels and other key factors can be introduced, from which the planners can evaluate decision parameters and the available alternatives. The paper presents the different methodologies and practices that are used by 11 energy models for energy demand forecasting, supply side management and generation expansion planning, demand side management and integrated resource planning. The paper concludes to the presentation of a strategic appraisal of the examined energy models appropriate for energy planning in Mozambique. Three models are proposed for conducting demand forecasting, generation expansion planning and demand side management. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Free energy and confinement force of macromolecules in a slit at full equilibrium with a bulk solution

Nondilute athermal and theta solutions of nonadsorbing flexible macromolecules in equilibrium with repulsive slit-like pores were examined by the lattice Monte Carlo simulations. The free energy of confinement ΔA/kT and the force f/kT exerted by polymers on the slit were computed as a function of the slit width D in a wide range of bulk concentrations φ. The free energy and force profiles in nondilute solutions were found to deviate considerably from the ideal chain theory; the perturbation of chains by a presence of the slit walls were substantially reduced in nondilute solutions. The free energy and force functions appropriate for nondilute solutions were derived by fitting the simulation data. Further, the relative pressure p_I/p_E exerted by the nonadsorbing confined molecules on the slit walls was calculated. The depletion effect relevant to colloid stabilization was found in dilute solutions to be slightly weaker for excluded-volume chains than for ideal chains. The relative pressure equation was modified to cover semidilute solutions, by using the mean-field and scaling expressions of the osmotic pressure. Both the relative pressure p_I/p_E and the intra-slit concentration profiles φ_I(x) in tandem display a suppression of the depletion effect with increasing φ in simidilute solutions.     

套管开窗侧钻技术在吐哈老井改造中的应用

从侧钻井层、开窗工艺、井身剖面的优选和井眼轨迹控制、固井措施优化等方面，详细总结了套管开窗定向侧钻技术在吐哈油田老井改造中应用的经验，系统地描述了该技术应用的地质条件和工程要素，提出了吐哈侧钻井层优选的量化指标和固井质量的优化措施。近两年，该技术在老井治理、开采难动用储量、提高采收率、降低开发钻井成本等方面展现出广阔的前景。     

同心筒发射中旁泄流影响的数值研究

同心筒是一种先进的新型的舰载导弹垂直发射装置。文中采用动网格技术模拟了导弹在同心式发射筒内发射的瞬态过程。探讨了发射过程中旁泄流的产生与消失原因。通过设计内外筒的合理大小可以有效减弱旁泄流的影响。通过大量的数值实验,给出了避免外筒发生雍塞的代数关系式。     

大型预焙铝电解槽使用碳化硅砖与普通碳砖复合块的探讨

碳化硅砖和碳化硅砖与普通碳砖复合侧块，在上世纪末期我国铝电解槽上开始推广应用。使用后各厂家普遍发现碳化硅砖及碳化硅砖与普通碳块复合侧块均出现不同程度的断裂、上抬和脱落现象，该文对断裂、上抬和脱落原因进行了分析，并提出了改进措施。     

矿用圆环链弯曲点的角度分布

矿用圆环链弯曲点是应力集中点 ,肩部断裂发生于该点附近 .以 2 6× 92矿用圆环链为研究对象 ,应用方向数据统计导出该点的角度分布 ,并给出了批量检验矿用圆环链尺寸匹配状况的一种方法