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11.
在小子样情况下 ,利用系统和分系统试验数据对导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,从数学上说是系统可靠性综合问题 .运用MML SR方法对新型号地地战术导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,避免了MML方法在遇到无失败单元时不适用的缺陷 ,在利用地面试验信息方面有其明显优势 ;运用Bayes方法对改进型导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,将不同试验阶段的多源试验信息作为验前信息 ,扩大了信息量 .最后 ,对两种方法在工程应用上遇到的问题进行了讨论 ,并给出了解决方法 . 相似文献
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阐述了建筑给排水工程师在实际工作中除必须满足国家有关强制性规范外 ,还应采取一系列针对性技术措施 ,以使住宅的环境性能得到良好的控制 ,以提高住宅的品质。 相似文献
15.
Colin Palmer 《International Journal of Project Management》1985,3(4):208-216
There are many ways in which quantitative decision models can be applied in project management. The introduction of a project evaluation review technique network model to the development of a school education service in the city of Delhi, India, is described. The reasons for choosing this method, its advantages and limitations are discussed. Examples of the information obtained from the model are presented and explained. 相似文献
16.
There is widespread application of indicators to the assessment of environmental condition of streams. These indicators are intended for use by managers in making various comparative and absolute assessments and often have a role in resource allocation and performance assessment. Therefore, the problem of formally defining confidence in the results is important but difficult because the sampling strategies used are commonly based on a compromise between the requirements of statistical rigour and the pragmatic issues of access and resources. It is rare to see this compromise explicitly considered and consequently there is seldom quantification of the uncertainty that could affect the confidence a manager has in an indicator. In this paper, we present a method for quantitatively assessing the tradeoffs between sampling density and uncertainty in meeting various monitoring objectives. Assessments using judgement‐based representative reaches are shown to be unreliable; instead a sampling approach is recommended based on the random selection of measuring sites. A detailed dataset was collected along two streams in Victoria, Australia, and the effect of sampling density was assessed by subsampling from this dataset with precision related to the number of sites assessed per reach length and the intensity of the sampling at each site. The sampling scheme to achieve a given precision is shown to depend on the monitoring objective. In particular, three objectives were considered: (1) making a baseline assessment of current condition; (2) change detection; and (3) detection of a critical threshold in condition. Change detection is shown to be more demanding than assessing baseline condition with additional sampling effort required to achieve the same precision. Sampling to detect a critical threshold depends on nominating acceptable values of Type I and II error and the size of the effect to be detected. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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利用寿命周期评价的思想,计算了炼铁生产过程中的环境负荷,并分析了各因素对环境负荷的影响,运用神经网络对炼铁生产过程环境负荷进行了预测。 相似文献
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Rudolf Habison 《International Journal of Project Management》1985,3(3):178-181
Meeting time and cost objectives in complex projects involves specific problems and risks. An attempt is made to analyse the components of total cost increase of a project caused by time delay. An outline is given as to how these considerations can be used to estimate cost increases in investors' decision situations as well as to ascertain fair contractual penalties and claims for compensation and for the evaluation of justified project acceleration costs. 相似文献
19.
Kahler Christopher W.; Read Jennifer P.; Wood Mark D.; Palfai Tibor P. 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》2003,17(3):226
Structural equation modeling was used to test the mediational role of social environmental selection on alcohol use in cross-sectional samples of 447 students from a rural state university and 421 students from an urban private university. Results showed that male gender, White ethnicity, and sensation seeking were uniquely associated with greater alcohol use. Mediational analyses indicated that socioenvironmental factors (i.e., Greek involvement, friends' approval of drinking/getting drunk) were positively associated with alcohol use and significantly accounted for parts of the effects of ethnicity and sensation seeking, but not gender, on alcohol use. Results suggest that White students and those high on sensation seeking may drink more heavily in college, in part because they select social environments in which alcohol use is encouraged. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) 相似文献
20.
While information systems continue to be promoted within organizations as tools to support strategic decision-making, there is growing concern over the ability of such systems to model the social and political complexity of the situations to which they are being applied. This paper examines the nature of organizational decision-making and the use of computer-based systems to support this activity. The debate queries the extent to which such artifacts should be allowed to become enmeshed and embedded within the strategic decision-making activities of organizations which operate within increasingly complex environments. 相似文献