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基于物元模型的电力系统中长期负荷预测 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
顾洁 《电力系统及其自动化学报》2004,16(6):68-71
在综合考虑电力负荷预测及物元理论特点的基础上,将两者结合,提出了一种基于物元理论(可拓工程学)的中长期负荷预测方法,对物元理论在电力系统中的实际运用进行了探讨.方法首先运用逐步回归与层次分析技术确定各种因素对电力负荷的影响权重,然后利用物元理论对选中的各影响因素与电力负荷及其增长率建立物元模型,再根据系统聚类分析的方法对电力负荷及其相关环境因素的历史样本进行归纳分类,最后采用合适的物元关联函数及灰色关联函数结合未来环境因素状态对未来负荷变化模式进行识别,从而预测出电力负荷的未来值.并以我国某地区的中期负荷预测为例,说明了其有效性. 相似文献
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Sawarot Phetsuk Robert Molloy Kanarat Nalampang Puttinan Meepowpan Paul D Topham Brian J Tighe Winita Punyodom 《Polymer International》2020,69(3):248-256
Understanding the underlying role of microstructural design in polymers allows for the manipulation and control of properties for a wide range of specific applications. As such, this work focuses on the study of microstructure–property relationships in l‐ lactide/?‐caprolactone (LL/CL) copolymers. One‐step and two‐step bulk ring‐opening polymerization (ROP) procedures were employed to synthesize LL/CL copolymers of various compositions and chain microstructures. In the one‐step procedure, LL and CL were simultaneously copolymerized to yield P(LL‐<i>stat</i>‐CL) statistical copolymers. In the two‐step procedure, poly(l‐ lactide) (PLL) and poly(?‐caprolactone) (PCL) prepolymers were synthesized in the first step before CL and LL respectively were added in the second step to yield P[LL‐<i>b</i>‐(CL‐<i>stat</i>‐LL)‐<i>b</i>‐LL] and P[CL‐<i>b</i>‐(LL‐<i>stat</i>‐CL)‐<i>b</i>‐CL] block copolymers as the final products. The findings reveal that, in addition to the copolymerization procedure employed, the length and type of the prepolymer play important roles in determining the chain microstructure and thereby the overall properties of the final copolymer. Moreover, control over the degree of crystallinity and the type of crystalline domains, which is controlled during the polymer chemistry process, heavily influences the physical and mechanical properties of the final polymer. In summary, this work describes an interesting approach to the microstructural design of biodegradable copolymers of LL and CL for potential use in biomedical applications. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry 相似文献
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Effect of the composition and degree of crosslinking on the properties of poly(l‐lactic acid)/crosslinked polyurethane blends
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Meng Ma Kai Liu Haiming Zheng Si Chen Bozhen Wu Yanqin Shi Xu Wang 《Polymer International》2018,67(9):1221-1228
Poly(l ‐lactic acid)/crosslinked polyurethane (PLLA/CPU) blends which were prepared via reactive blending of PLLA with poly(<i>?</i>‐caprolactone) (PCL), glycerol and 4,4′‐methylenediphenyl diisocyanate showed excellent toughness. The effects of the composition of the mixture and degree of crosslinking of CPU on the toughness of the PLLA/CPU blends (80/20 w/w) were studied in detail. Dynamic mechanical analysis and rheological measurements were used to characterize the structure of the <i>in situ</i> formed CPU in the PLLA matrix. A novel netlike phase structure was observed when the average molecular weight of PCL and degree of crosslinking were 1 kDa and 10%, respectively. The impact strength of the blend was enhanced from 2.2 kJ m<sup>?2</sup> for pure PLLA to 62.4 kJ m<sup>?2</sup>; meanwhile, the elongation at break was increased to 489.8%. Therefore, the mechanical properties of PLLA/CPU blends can be easily tailored by tuning the composition of the mixture and the degree of crosslinking of CPU. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry 相似文献
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Three different ABA‐type triblock copolymers each containing biodegradable aliphatic polycarbonate as the middle block and poly(l ‐lactide) as the outer blocks were synthesized and the influence of the methylene chain length of the aliphatic polycarbonate middle block on various properties of the triblock copolymers was evaluated. Differential scanning calorimetry and wide‐angle X‐ray diffraction studies revealed that the incorporation of the outer blocks reduced the crystallinity of the middle aliphatic polycarbonate block. Variation of methylene chain length of the middle block led to a change in morphology from spherical to cylindrical as evidenced from atomic force microscopy studies. In addition, the mechanical properties of the block copolymers showed semi‐ductile to quasi‐brittle behaviour depending upon the composition of the middle block which was also confirmed using scanning electron microscopy. Dynamic mechanical analysis of the triblock copolymers indicated that storage modulus increased with a decrease in methylene chain length. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry 相似文献