基于概率分布距离的多响应模型确认度量

针对模型确认中的确认度量问题,构造实验观测数据经验概率分布的置信包络。通过计算其与模型响应概率分布之间距离的上/下确界,给出基于概率分布距离确认度量的置信区间。通过构造与实验观测数据有关的协方差矩阵,给出基于概率分布距离的多响应模型确认度量及其置信区间的求解方式。该度量利用了模型输出与实验观测的完整概率分布信息,并且考虑了各模型响应间的相关性。算例仿真结果表明其确认错误率低于现有的其他两种确认度量。     

某一转炉或精炼炉故障下炼钢-连铸生产重调度方法及应用

炼钢-连铸生产中会出现某一台转炉或精炼炉故障, 目前已有的重调度方法没有考虑多重精炼或只进行了仿真研究, 难以有效应用到具有多重精炼的钢厂, 而采用人工调整方式则容易导致炉次等待时间过长或断浇. 为此,通过引入炉次生产状态参数, 建立0-1 混合整数规划重调度模型, 提出由“未加工”炉次的设备指派、“未加工”炉次的开工时间优化和浇铸时间调整3 部分组成的重调度方法. 将该方法应用于某钢铁厂炼钢-连铸生产调度过程的实际工程应用验证了所提出方法的有效性.

     

带碰撞避免机制的多址接入协议能量效率研究

研究了在自组织网络环境下CSMA/CA协议的能量消耗性能,并与传统的CSMA协议能耗性能进行比较.阐述了自组织网络中的隐藏终端和暴露终端问题,并分析CSMA/CA协议相对传统CSMA协议对该问题进行的改进.仿真结果表明,相对非坚持CSMA协议,CSMA/CA协议能够获得的能量效率更高,并且对网络负载的敏感性更低,在网络负载较高时也具有较高的能量效率.     

应用财经新闻挖掘的金融品种价格走势预测

随着经济的不断发展,金融活动中的不确定性日益增加,金融预测受到学术界及金融界的高度重视。人们希望通过获得预测性的判断和推测,掌握金融产品未来的发展趋势和规律。而近期随着互联网发展,出现海量财经信息,仅仅依靠历史价格的数据挖掘技术,不能很好地反映金融市场多元因素的影响。因此,通过挖掘财经新闻信息中的情感倾向信息,结合金融历史价格数据,组合多元线性回归和差分自回归滑动平均模型,提出了一种基于财经新闻信息挖掘的金融价格走势预测方法,通过实际数据验证,表明该方法可以获得较为准确的预测结果。     

Recursive state estimation for discrete‐time nonlinear systems with event‐triggered data transmission,norm‐bounded uncertainties and multiple missing measurements

In this paper, we consider the recursive state estimation problem for a class of discrete‐time nonlinear systems with event‐triggered data transmission, norm‐bounded uncertainties, and multiple missing measurements. The phenomenon of event‐triggered communication mechanism occurs only when the specified event‐triggering condition is violated, which leads to a reduction in the number of excessive signal transmissions in a network. A sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables is employed to model the multiple measurements missing in the transmission. The norm‐bounded uncertainties that could be considered as external disturbances which lie in a bounded set. The purpose of the addressed filtering problem is to obtain an optimal robust recursive filter in the minimum‐variance sense such that with the simultaneous presence of event‐triggered data transmission, norm‐bounded uncertainties, and multiple missing measurements; the filtering error is minimized at each sampling time. By solving two Riccati‐like difference equations, the filter gain is calculated recursively. Based on the stochastic analysis theory, it is proved that the estimation error is bounded under certain conditions. Finally, two numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Semiglobal stabilization of saturated linear systems via multiple parametric Lyapunov equations

This paper investigates the problem of semiglobal stabilization with guaranteed flexible pole placement for saturated linear systems. To retain the advantages of the parametric Lyapunov equation, matrix‐partitioning idea is used to derive a new pole shift lemma. Starting from system matrix transformations, a recursive algorithm is proposed to shift every eigenvalue of a linear system separately without mode decomposition in each step. A new method introducing various parameters to every Lyapunov equation in each step is presented. As an application, the semiglobal stabilization with guaranteed flexible pole placement for saturated linear systems can be achieved by this method. Finally, its effectiveness and advantages are demonstrated via a simulation example. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Interacting Multiple Model Approach for State Estimation with Non‐Gaussian Noise Using a Variational Bayesian Method

The conventional interacting multiple models (IMM) approach for a hybrid system under the Gaussian assumption is limited for most real applications due to the noisy measurements often being in the presence of outliers. This paper aims at accommodating the IMM approach to the non‐Gaussian cases where outliers exist. In the proposed IMM algorithm, the Student‐t distribution is used to model the non‐Gaussian measurement noise. At the interaction step, the mixed statistics of the noise parameter under a Bayesian framework are obtained via a Gamma approximation and a recently reported moments matching method. To address the state noise‐coupled intractability in Bayesian filtering, a variational Bayesian method is utilized to approximate the posterior distributions of the noise and state recursively. The proposed algorithm is tested with a maneuvering target tracking example and is shown to be robust to the outliers.     

Quantized H∞ Control for Networked Systems with Communication Constraints

The problem of quantized H_∞ control for networked control systems (NCSs) subject to time‐varying delay and multiple packet dropouts is investigated in this paper. Both the control input and the measurement output signals are quantized before being transmitted and the quantized errors are described as sector bound uncertainties. The measurement channel and the control channel packet dropouts are considered simultaneously, and the stochastic variables satisfying Bernoulli random binary distribution are utilized to model the random multiple packet dropouts. Sufficient conditions for the existence of an observer‐based controller are established to ensure the exponential mean‐square stablility of the closed‐loop system and achieve the optimal H_∞ disturbance attenuation level. By using a globally convergent algorithm involving convex optimization, the nonconvex feasibility can be solved successfully. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed method.     

传感器网络多密钥空间q复合密钥管理方案

无线传感器网络密钥管理研究,目前大都着眼于平面拓扑结构。但随着无线传感器网络规模日渐扩大,层次拓扑结构正成为主导。为此,提出了一种适用于分层无线传感器网络的多密钥空间q复合密钥预分配方案。通过安全连通性和节点抗捕获性分析表明该方案可在保证节点间安全连通概率的基础上,提高网络的安全阈值,提升网络的抗攻击能力,增加网络安全性。