基于云概率密度分布估计的大坝监测数据分析

大坝运行监测易受自然环境和监测条件影响，存在时间和空间上的变异性，监测数据具有不确定性。以云理论的随机性和不确定性分析方法为基础，并与空间数据辐射思想相结合，建立了云滴概率密度分布估计模型，然后导出云概率密度分布函数，依据样本监测数据推求母体空间数据的分布特征，并设计了基于逆向云算法云变换的计算程序。分析陆浑水库1979~1999年测压管监测数据和位移变形数据的云概率密度分布特征和云数字特征，得出了20 a来大坝的数据分布特征和运行状态。监测数据分析结果表明，云概率密度分布估计不仅能有效合理地分析大坝的运行状态，而且能够依据云数字特征来判断监测状态和监测环境的异常变化。      

Does decision quality (always) increase with the size of information samples? Some vicissitudes in applying the law of large numbers.

Adaptive decision making requires that contingencies between decision options and their relative assets be assessed accurately and quickly. The present research addresses the challenging notion that contingencies may be more visible from small than from large samples of observations. An algorithmic account for such a seemingly paradoxical effect is offered within a satisficing-choice framework. Accordingly, a choice is only made when the sample contingency describing the relative evaluation of the 2 options exceeds a critical threshold. Small samples, because of the high dispersion of their sampling distribution, facilitate above-threshold contingencies. Across a broad range of parameters, the resulting small-sample advantage in terms of hits is stronger than their disadvantage in false alarms. Computer simulations and experiments support the model predictions. The relative advantage of small samples is most apparent when information loss is low, when the threshold is high relative to the ecological contingency, and when the sampling process is self-truncated. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

离心泵并联运行工况点的数值求解

建立了求解多台不同型号离心泵并联运行工况点的数学模型,给出了用数值计算中的“二分法”求解该模型的方法,并附有用Exce l计算的实例。     

HEGF中CO井筒流动及扩散规律研究

目前,高能气体压裂广泛的应用于低渗透油气田,可以有效清除近井地带由于钻井、射孔和各种措施造成的污染和堵塞,达到油气井增产、注水井增注的目的。但最近一些低渗透油气田却出现了频繁的CO气体中毒事件,给油田及员工带来巨大的损失。针对这一现象,运用现场数据以及物理模拟和数学模拟方法首次通过对CO气体流动、扩散等的综合研究,建立了CO井筒流动及大气扩散模型。同时,也考察了井筒压力、气油比、风速、气体泄放速率、大气稳定度等主要因素对CO气体扩散的影响。通过现场实例计算,证实模型具有较高的准确性。此项工作的完成为建立监控系统提供基础技术依据,同时对合理、有效的开发油气田以及煤层气的开发将具有重要的实际意义。     

Efficient Low Dissipative High Order Schemes for Multiscale MHD Flows, II: Minimization of ∇·B Numerical Error

An adaptive numerical dissipation control in a class of high order filter methods for compressible MHD equations is systematically discussed. The filter schemes consist of a divergence-free preserving high order spatial base scheme with a filter approach which can be divergence-free preserving depending on the type of filter operator being used, the method of applying the filter step, and the type of flow problem to be considered. Some of these filter variants provide a natural and efficient way for the minimization of the divergence of the magnetic field (∇·B) numerical error in the sense that commonly used divergence cleaning is not required. Numerical experiments presented emphasize the performance of the ∇·B numerical error. Many levels of grid refinement and detailed comparison of the filter methods with several commonly used compressible MHD shock-capturing schemes will be illustratedA condensed version appears in the Proceedings of the International Conference on High Performance Scientific Computing, March 10-14, 2003, Hanoi, Vietnam. This is a revised version of a longer internal report, Feb. 19, 2004. The longer internal report was published as a RIACS Technical Report TR03.10, July 2003, NASA Ames Research Center     

PDC钻头水力结构优化设计研究

在PDC钻头工作过程中，钻井液对钻头体表面的冲洗、冷却和润滑是保证钻头正常工作的一个非常重要的条件。对PDC钻头而言，水力结构（主要是中心水眼和冠部水道）设计的重要性尤其突出。以前,对钻头水力系统研究只能通过实验的方法进行,研究周期长、成本高、结构调整不方便，而数值模拟的方法在几年前还不成熟，甚至静态的复杂结构流场问题基本无法解决。为此，在提出PDC钻头水力结构优化设计原则的基础上，对PDC钻头的三维流场进行了数值模拟。模拟中考虑了钻头的喷嘴布置位置、直径、数量以及切削齿对流场的影响。计算结果表明，原设计在喷嘴布置位置和喷射角度上存在不足，以此为基础进行了水力结构的优化设计。文中的研究成果成功地应用在新型钻头水力结构的设计中，研究方法为PDC钻头水力结构优化分析奠定了理论基础。     

三相交流电动机启动过程参数数值模拟

提出一种进行模拟计算电动机启动过程中各参数的新方法。利用电机运行理论,结合物体定轴转动定律,推导出电机运行参数随时间变化的函数关系式。将计算公式离散化后,对电机启动过程运行规律进行求解。实例计算了一种型号潜油三相电动机启动时电动机定子电流、转子电流、激磁电流、扭转力矩、转速参数及效率参数等随时间或转差率的变化规律,其变化曲线与试验结果基本一致,说明提出的计算方法是有效、正确、适用的。     

A comparison of transformation methods for evaluating two‐dimensional weakly singular integrals

Accurate numerical evaluation of integrals arising in the boundary element method is fundamental to achieving useful results via this solution technique. In this paper, a number of techniques are considered to evaluate the weakly singular integrals which arise in the solution of Laplace's equation in three dimensions and Poisson's equation in two dimensions. Both are two‐dimensional weakly singular integrals and are evaluated using (in a product fashion) methods which have recently been used for evaluating one‐dimensional weakly singular integrals arising in the boundary element method. The methods used are based on various polynomial transformations of conventional Gaussian quadrature points where the transformation polynomial has zero Jacobian at the singular point. Methods which split the region of integration into sub‐regions are considered as well as non‐splitting methods. In particular, the newly introduced and highly accurate generalized composite subtraction of singularity and non‐linear transformation approach (GSSNT) is applied to various two‐dimensional weakly singular integrals. A study of the different methods reveals complex relationships between transformation orders, position of the singular point, integration kernel and basis function. It is concluded that the GSSNT method gives the best overall results for the two‐dimensional weakly singular integrals studied. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

储层泥浆侵入深度预测方法研究

泥浆侵入半径的确定尚缺乏严格的验证标准.以油水两相渗流理论和离子扩散方程为基础,结合储集层特点,研究了不同储层参数下泥浆滤液对地层的侵入特性.数值模拟侵入时间选取10 d和20 d.数值模拟结果表明,侵入半径在渗透率不变的情况下随孔隙度的增大而减小,在孔隙度不变的情况下随渗透率的增大而增大;当渗透率和孔隙度都发生变化时,泥浆侵入半径一般随孔隙度的增加呈幂函数增加.依据这种关系对测井资料约束处理,得到的泥浆侵入半径较客观地反映了地层的真实情况.