REVERSED RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract. Both linear and non-linear time series can have directional features which can be used to enhance the modelling and investigation of linear or non-linear autoregressive statistical models. For this purpose, reversed p th-order residuals are introduced. Cross-correlations of residuals and squared reversed residuals allow extensions of current model identification ideas. Quadratic types of partial autocorrelation functions are introduced to assess dependence associated with non-linear models which nevertheless have linear autoregressive correlation structures. The use of these residuals and their cross-correlation functions is exemplified empirically on some deseasonalized river flow data for which a first-order autoregressive model is a satisfactory second-order fit. Parallel theoretical computations are undertaken for the non-linear first-order random coefficient autoregressive model and comparisons are made. While the data are shown to be strongly non-linear, their correlational signatures are found to be convincingly different from those of a first-order autoregressive model with random coefficients.     

高效防腐中温磷化液LC-1的制备及性能

制备了一种含Zn2+、Mn2+、N i2+三系离子的LC-1磷化液,通过硫酸铜点滴、氯化钠浸蚀、SEM等手段对磷化膜进行了测试,测定了磷化温度、磷化时间对膜层耐蚀性的影响。结果表明,在磷化温度大于65℃,磷化时间大于10 m in的条件下,所形成的磷化膜结晶均匀、致密、黑褐色,耐蚀性良好。LC-1三系磷化液可适用于大批量钢铁工件的磷化生产。     

Influences of zinc oxide and an organic additive on the electrochemical behavior of pure aluminum in an alkaline solution

The corrosion behavior of pure aluminum in inhibited and uninhibited 4 MKOH was investigated by means of hydrogen collection, polarization curve measurement and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). The results showed that the corrosion of pure aluminum was greatly inhibited by the addition of ZnO and dimethyl amine epoxy propane (designated as DE). EIS and EDAX analyses revealed that ZnO produces its effect by depositing on the aluminum surface, which increases the overpotential of hydrogen evolution. It was also found that the addition of DE could greatly improve the deposition of zinc layers.     

酸性镀锡液的新进展

从近几年美国发明专利的角度扼要综述酸性镀锡液的新进展。说明酸性镀锡液由氟硼酸盐型发展为烷基磺酸盐型的改进过程。列出参考文献９篇。     

GRAPHICAL SOLUTION OF MULTISTAGE FLUIDIZED BED HEAT EXCHANGER

The design of multistage fluidized beds for heat exchange necessitates the solution of the mass and energy balance equations combined with the equilibrium relations for each stage. This paper presents a novel way of applying well known methodology to a different technology, one where it has not been widely applied.

In the present work a McCabe-Thiele type of graphical approach is presented for both counter-current and cross-current contacting multiple fluidized beds. The necessary equations for a multistage calciner are developed and the application of the proposed method is demonstrated. Generalized fluidized bed efficiency for counter-current and cross-current multiple fluidized bed is presented.     

对策论在雷达阵地综合防护效能分析中的应用

针对雷达阵地的防护特点,运用对策论的基本原理探索雷达阵地综合防护效能分析问题.构建了雷达阵地综合防护效能分析指标体系,结合对策论建立了评估模型,并用实例检验该方法具有较好的应用价值.     

TH-PPM UWB通信系统多址性能研究

介绍了TH-PPM UWB信号,在AWGN信道和多用户干扰条件下对系统的性能进行了分析,包括误码率分析和系统所能接入的最大用户数,对其误码率进行了仿真.结果表明,随着接入用户数目的增加,系统误码率也增加,而增大重复码长度和脉冲重复时间则可降低系统误码率,但增加脉冲重复时间会降低信息传输速率.     

广义KDV-MKDV方程的精确解

利用直接积分方法将广义KDV-MKDV方程化为一阶变系数非线性常微分方程组,然后用待定系数法确定相应的常数获得了广义KDV-MKDV方程新的精确解;利用先作假设变换后选取试探函数的方法来直接构造广义KDV-MKDV方程新的精确解.     

FEM analyses for influences of stress corrosion and pressure solution on THM coupling in dual-porosity rock mass

With the models of stress corrosion and pressure solution, by Yasuhara et al., two computation conditions were designed for a hypothetical nuclear waste repository in an unsaturated dual-porosity rock mass: (i) the fracture apertures are changed with the stress corrosion and pressure solution (the porosity of rock matrix is also a function of stress); (ii) the fracture apertures and the porosity of rock matrix are constants. Then the corresponding two-dimensional FEM analyses for the coupled thermohydro-mec...