黄河黑山峡河段大柳树水库比小观音水库原始库容多40亿m3的作用

一级开发大柳树高坝原始库容比二级开发小观音高坝多 4 0亿m3 ,库容大带来的好处体现在 5～ 7月可多向下游增供水量 ,缓解下游河道断流 ;延长泄放清水时间 ;增加发电效益 ;满足宁蒙河段防凌要求 ;增加汛期集中泄水 ,减缓下游河道淤积萎缩 ;满足南水北调西线工程水量调节要求等。为了更好优化配置黄河水资源 ,从全局和长远利益考虑 ,应采用一级开发方案 ,修建大柳树高坝大库     

无功补偿对远距离供电节能降耗的分析

本文从理论上分析了在不同功率因数下不同供电距离的能耗对比及近年来进行无功补偿的情况,从而说明了无功补偿对远距离供电节能降耗的重要意义。     

我国“十五“电力供需预测分析

分析“十五”期间我国电力需求预测和电力预测中的不确定因素,提出建议采取的措施。     

反渗透膜仓用韧性环氧树脂基体研究

工业上广泛使用反渗透膜仓制备高纯水,为了用玻璃钢替代不锈钢,研究了一种适合湿法缠绕的反渗透膜仓用韧性环氧基体。在配方中采用液体酸酐固化剂甲基四氢邻苯二甲酸酐和高效活性增韧剂,对树脂基体和复合材料力学性能及耐水性能的研究表明该树脂基体具有许多优良性能,如拉伸强度≥86.2MPa,断裂延伸率≥5.2%,弯曲强度≥139MPa,制得膜仓爆破时纤维强度转化率高达88.7%,耐疲劳达10万次而无损伤。此外,配方体系室温下粘度为0.35～0.4Pa·s,适用期≥8h,室温下在水中浸泡180d后吸水率低于0.5%,同不锈钢相比成本降低1/2。实验结果表明,该韧性环氧基体完全适用于反渗透膜仓使用。     

Investigation of the impact of changes in demand forecasting method on the financial performance of an electricity supply undertaking

Peak demand forecasts obtained from six different univariate forecasting methods, under a range of conditions, were used to drive a capacity acquisition model of a large electrical supply system; and the resulting physical and financial performance of the model was observed for each set of forecasts. The results obtained are discussed in the context of their implications for the choice of load forecasting method used in capacity acquisition planning by a power supply undertaking.     

A Bayesian propensity score adjustment for latent variable modeling and MCMC algorithm

The estimation of the differences among groups in observational studies is frequently inaccurate owing to a bias caused by differences in the distributions of covariates. In order to estimate the average treatment effects when the treatment variable is binary, Rosenbaum and Rubin [1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70, 41-55] proposed an adjustment method for pre-treatment variables using propensity scores. Imbens [2000. The role of the propensity score in estimating dose-response functions. Biometrika 87, 706-710] extended the propensity score methodology for estimation of average treatment effects with multivalued treatments.However, these studies focused only on estimating the marginal mean structure. In many substantive sciences such as the biological and social sciences, a general estimation method is required to deal with more complex analyses other than regression, such as testing group differences on latent variables. For latent variable models, the EM algorithm or the traditional Monte Carlo methods are necessary. However, in propensity score adjustment, these methods cannot be used because the full distribution is not specified.In this paper, we propose a quasi-Bayesian estimation method for general parametric models that integrate out the distributions of covariates using propensity scores. Although the proposed Bayes estimates are shown to be consistent, they can be calculated by existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampler. The proposed method is useful to estimate parameters in latent variable models, while the previous methods were unable to provide valid estimates for complex models such as latent variable models.We also illustrated the procedure using the data obtained from the US National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (NLSY1979-2002) for estimating the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on the development of the child's cognitive functioning.     

未结盟大学的联盟

通过梳理管理学界对战略联盟的定义，发现价值链的鸸释同样适用于大学问的战略联盟。通过对已有的大学战略联盟的分析，提出了名校联盟与非名校联盟间的若干差异，最后提出了我国大学联盟战略的若干建议。     

充分关注水质科学保障饮水安全

从我国饮水安全的现状入手，分析城乡饮水安全存在的问题，强调保障饮水安全是构建和谐社会的必然要求和水利工作的切实要务。从加强监测、科学规划，加强关键技术研究及推广应用，保护水源地、修复水环境，建立合理的体制与机制四个方面提出了做好保障饮水安全工作的建议。     

Heterogeneous chain propagation in low-pressure flames

An analysis of papers on hydrogen combustion at low pressures is performed, which refines the contribution of the catalytic reactions on the reactor wall to the gas-phase part of the process. A new model for the heterogeneous loss of active reaction centers was proposed and tested experimentally to explain inconsistencies that occur in some papers. In this model, the diffusion region of chain termination is formed under standard experimental conditions in vacuum oxyhydrogen flames at a reactor gas pressure a thousand times lower than the boundary pressure postulated by the previous models as the pressure below which the diffusion region of chain termination cannot be formed. __________ Translated from Fizika Goreniya i Vzryva, Vol. 42, No. 2, pp. 10–18, March–April, 2006.     

靶向抗癌药格列卫与其治疗白血病疗效监测

Gleevec是抑制致癌的融合蛋白BCR-ABL的一种分子靶向治疗药物,BCR-ABL是一种与慢性髓细胞性白血病(CML)有关的酪氨酸激酶抑制剂。用Gleevec选择性地抑制BCR-ABL活性在治疗CML中显示出很好的效果,特别是在CML慢性期,因此,监测疗效非常重要。现就Gleevec的研究进展及如何监测其在CML中的疗效作一简单综述。