Development of calibration models for quality control in the production of ethylene/propylene copolymers by FTIR spectroscopy,multivariate statistical tools,and artificial neural networks

Principal component regression (PCR), partial least squares (PLS), StepWise ordinary least squares regression (OLS), and back‐propagation artificial neural network (BP‐ANN) are applied here for the determination of the propylene concentration of a set of 83 production samples of ethylene–propylene copolymers from their infrared spectra. The set of available samples was split into (a) a training set, for models calculation; (b) a test set, for selecting the correct number of latent variables in PCR and PLS and the end point of the training phase of BP‐ANN; (c) a production set, for evaluating the predictive ability of the models. The predictive ability of the models is thus evaluated by genuine predictions. The model obtained by StepWise OLS turned out to be the best one, both in fitting and prediction. The study of the breakdown number of samples to be included in the training set showed that at least 52 experiments are necessary to build a reliable and predictive calibration model. It can be concluded that FTIR spectroscopy and OLS can be properly employed for monitoring the synthesis or the final product of ethylene–propylene copolymers, by predicting the concentration of propylene directly along the process line. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Appl Polym Sci, 2008     

Oil yield and compressibility modeling during microscale expression: Criteria for linseed breeding

Seven linseed varieties were harvested at seven times before complete maturity. Microscale oilseed expressions were subsequently carried out on it. A pressure of 10 MPa was applied for 1 h under uniaxial stress. The results were characterized in terms of oil, water and mucilage content, harvest date and oil yield. The piston displacement versus time (creep curves) was described by a four‐Kelvin‐Voigt elements viscoelastic model. Parameters were derived from the model, such as the mechanical properties of seeds (compressibility moduli), showing that the viscoelastic model fits well the experimental data (R² ≈ 0.999). The modeling parameters were combined with some biochemical data in order to predict the kinetics of oil extraction.     

Spline-regression estimation of the influence of exposure dose on cancer probability

Spline regression is used to analyze the influence of radiation on the cancer probability in a group of participants of Chernobyl accident mitigation, depending on the exposure dose. A new method is proposed to approximate modified polygons by linear splines with two nodes. An algorithm for the identification of a transition point is outlined. __________ Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 3, pp. 168–176, May–June 2006.     

大庆油田深层岩石力学特性参数的试验研究

通过对岩石可钻性、硬度、抗压强度等参数的测量 ,对大庆油田深井不同深度、不同层位、不同岩性的具有广泛代表性的岩心进行试验。并通过线性回归分析 ,建立了适用性较广的钻井岩石力学特性参数预测模型 ,为深井钻头选型提供了依据。     

Climate-related electricity demand-side management in oil-exporting countries—the case of the United Arab Emirates

The oil crisis of the 1970s has increased the concern about the continuity of oil imports flow to major oil-importing developed countries. Numerous policy measures including electricity demand-side management (DSM) programs have been adopted in such countries. These measures aim at reducing the growing need for electricity power that increases the dependency on imported foreign oil and damages the environment. On the other hand, the perception that energy can be obtained at very low cost in oil-rich countries led to less attention being paid to the potential of DSM policies in these countries. This paper discusses such potential using the case of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Since air conditioning is a major source of electric energy consumption, the relationship between climate conditions and electric energy consumption is considered. An electricity demand model is constructed using time series techniques. The fitted model seems to represent these relationships rather well. Forecasts for electricity consumption using the estimated model indicate that a small reduction in cooling degrees requirement might induce a significant reduction in electric energy demand. Hence, a DSM program is proposed with policy actions to include, among others, measures to reduce cooling degrees requirement.     

Asymptotic efficiency properties of least squares in an ultrastructural model

This paper considers the estimation of both the intercept term and the slope parameter in a linear ultrastructural model using direct regression and reverse regression methods. Without assuming the errors to be normally distributed, asymptotic expressions for the bias and the variance of the estimators are derived and analyzed. The effect of departure of the errors from normality is also studied.     

基于多模型半参数非线性回归模型的外弹道节省参数估计

双星定位系统的应用是外弹道估计中的一种发展趋势。文章给出基于双星、光雷的联合测量模型,建立基于半参数回归的外弹道节省参数估计模型;给出基于半参数回归的外弹道节省参数估计算法及计算步骤,并从理论上分析了基于半参数回归的外弹道节省参数估计算法能有效地消除非线性因素对参数估计性能的影响,其估计精度优于经典的节省参数建模方法,并通过仿真得到：该算法确实有效。     

一种基于偏最小二乘法的室外光照估计算法

针对固定视点下的室外场景在线视频光照求解问题,提出一种基于偏最小二乘室外场景实时光照估计算法.在离线阶段提取场景中对光照变化较为敏感的区域,并将这些区域像素值的均值与方差的无偏估计作为场景图像的统计参数,再利用偏最小二乘回归分析建立场景的光照参数与图像统计参数之间的模型;在在线阶段使用所建立的模型实时估计视频每一帧的光照条件.实验结果表明,使用该算法所求解的光照参数对虚拟物体进行绘制并将其融入视频中后,合成场景真实感很强.     

基于Gabor小波与LBP直方图序列的人脸年龄估计

提出了一种基于Gabor小波和局域二值模式(Local binary pattern,LBP)直方图序列的人脸年龄估计方法。首先对人脸图像提取多方向与多尺度的Gabor幅值域图谱(Gabor magnitude maps,GMMs);然后采用基于局部特征的LBP算子对GMMs编码,并对之分块,由各子块的直方图序列来描述人脸;为进一步降低人脸特征维数,再对人脸直方图序列特征应用主成分分析(PCA);最后使用支持向量机回归(SVR)的LOPO策略对人脸年龄库进行训练和测试。实验结果表明,该方法可以较为快速有效地对人脸图像进行年龄估计。     

一种基于高阶统计信息的信噪比估计改进算法

针对多进制正交幅度调制(Multiple quadrature amplitude modulation,MQAM)信号在低信噪比条件下估计精度不高的问题,提出了一种基于综合利用高阶统计信息的信噪比估计改进算法。根据所选高阶统计量最高阶数的不同,建立了3种信噪比与多种高阶统计量运算式之间的线性关系,利用全回归线性分析方法将3种线性关系转化为3种全回归模型,并求解模型系数。该算法充分利用了多种高阶统计量的有用信息,提高了信噪比估计精度。MQAM的仿真结果表明:在低信噪比条件下,该算法减小了信噪比估计误差,其估计性能明显优于传统的其他算法,且3种模型估计性能依次增加,可依据不同的信噪比要求对3种模型进行选取。