ON THE PARTIAL SUMS OF RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE AND MOVING AVERAGE MODELS

Abstract. The limiting process of partial sums of residuals in stationary and invertible autoregressive moving-average models is studied. It is shown that the partial sums converge to a standard Brownian motion under the assumptions that estimators of unknown parameters are root- n consistent and that innovations are independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean and finite variance or, more generally, are martingale differences with moment restrictions specified in Theorem 1. Applications for goodness-of-fit and change-point problems are considered. The use of residuals for constructing nonparametric density estimation is discussed.     

单螺杆挤出机熔体输送区螺棱间隙对熔体停留时间分布的影响

计算了螺棱间隙与熔体在熔体输送区停留时间分布的关系。分析表明：螺棱间隙不仅影响停留时间的量值而且影响其分布，并且这些影响可反映到一个由螺棱间隙几何参数和螺杆几何参数构成的无量纲数的影响中。     

熔体流动时间法测定PBT树脂特性粘数的研究

开发了一种新的特性粘数分析方法 ,该方法采用熔体流动时间计算特性粘数 ,与经典特性粘数分析方法有很好的相关性且具有分析时间短、费用低、无污染等优点。     

A FORMULA FOR THE INVERSE AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION OF AN AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS

Abstract. The determination of the inverse autocorrelation function of a weakly stationary autoregressive process using the autocorrelation function is considered. Usually this is carried out either by using frequency domain methods or by solving first the parameters of the process and then using them. In this paper we give a simple formula by which the inverse autocorrelation function can be determined directly from the autocorrelation function.     

A computational method for simulating growth patterns in unicell propagation

The modelling of natural phenomena through the use of computer-generated graphics has attracted much interest recently. It is believed that such methods will lead to new breakthroughs in understanding nature. One of the most popular methods used is the cell automata method, where cells are made to propagate and form cellular patterns according to certain predefined rules. Although much of the work in this area is for recreational purposes, as in the Game of Life, there can be more serious aspects to it. One of these is in the use of such methods to predict and simulate the growth behaviour of cell clusters in real-life situations. In this study, an attempt is made to formalise certain rules for modelling the growth characteristics of unicell populations. The methodology proposed models three fundamental factors: first, the generic propagational characteristics of a cell; second, the effect of adverse factors to growth; and, third, the effect of spatial constraints. The first two factors, relating to the population of a cell colony, can be modelled mathematically; the third factor determines the visual appearance of the cell colony. Patterns resulting from some computational simulations are presented and discussed.     

IMPLEMENTING ENVIRONMENTAL FLOWS IN COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES SYSTEMS – CASE STUDY: THE DUERO RIVER BASIN,SPAIN

European river basin authorities are responsible for the implementation of the new river basin management plans in accordance with the European Water Framework Directive. This paper presents a new methodology framework and approach to define and evaluate environmental flow regimes in the realistic complexities that exist with multiple water resource needs at a basin scale. This approach links river basin simulation models and habitat time series analysis to generate ranges of environmental flows (e‐flows), which are evaluated by using habitat, hydropower production and reliability of water supply criteria to produce best possible alternatives. With the use of these tools, the effects of the proposed e‐flows have been assessed to help in the consultation process. The possible effects analysed are impacts on water supply reliability, hydropower production and aquatic habitat. After public agreements, a heuristic optimization process was applied to maximize e‐flows and habitat indicators, while maintaining a legal level of reliability for water resource demands. The final optimal e‐flows were considered for the river basin management plans of the Duero river basin. This paper demonstrates the importance of considering quantitative hydrologic and ecological aspects of e‐flows at the basin scale in addressing complex water resource systems. This approach merges standard methods such as physical habitat simulations and time series analyses for evaluating alternatives, with recent methods to simulate and optimize water management alternatives in river networks. It can be integrated with or used to complement other frameworks for e‐flow assessments such as the In‐stream Flow Incremental Methodology and Ecological Limits of Hydrologic Alteration. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

网页实时防篡改系统研究

为了解决网页篡改的问题,并对发生问题的web页面进行自动恢复．本文基于时间轮询技术与核心内嵌技术,设计并实现了一种网页防篡改系统．该系统能够实时的检测网页被篡改并进行实时阻断及后台恢复;系统能定时的对网站的文件进行扫描,并根据不同的扫描结果进行相应的处理．采用时间轮询技术与核心内嵌技术有效的弥补了采用一种技术带来的缺陷,保证网页的完整性及安全性,并且使网页的防护达到了实时性．     

热轧生产过程加热炉优化调度模型及算法

钢铁生产中的加热炉调度问题是一类复杂的组合优化问题。本文进一步考虑不同轧制位对应的候选板坯集存在交集的生产实际,建立了以板坯住炉时间最小为优化目标的数学模型,提出了三阶段的启发式算法,确定各轧制位板坯的入炉和出炉时间。仿真实验表明,给出的模型和求解算法对加热炉调度问题的优化效果很好。     

脉冲频率调制LLC串联谐振X光机电源

为了满足X光机电源输出电压调节范围宽的要求,提出了一种全桥LLC串联谐振高频高压电源,并利用仿真软件设计其控制电路,使设计方法更加简单.主电路采用全桥LLC串联谐振、高压变压器、单相双向对称倍压整流电路,从理论上分析系统的工作原理,并建立了LLC谐振变换器的基波等效模型,对主电路的参数进行了设计;在控制电路设计中,借助仿真软件得到补偿前系统近似的开环传递函数,再进行控制器的设计.仿真结果表明,输出电压可以在40~120 kV范围内连续可调,输出电压上升时间短、纹波小,在输出电压跳变过程中,动态调节时间很短,证明了所提出的拓扑和控制电路设计方法的正确性和可靠性.     

时滞倒立摆的H_∞反馈控制

由于系统的输入滞后不可避免,时滞是影响系统稳定性的因素之一,文中研究具有输入时滞的一级直线倒立摆的H∞控制问题.基于Lyapunov稳定性理论,采用线性矩阵不等式方法得出系统的H∞反馈控制器.文中没有引入自由权矩阵,减小了问题的复杂性.同时考虑系统不确定性.结论可由MATLAB软件直接求解,方便易行.仿真结果证实了方法的有效性.