REVERSED RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract. Both linear and non-linear time series can have directional features which can be used to enhance the modelling and investigation of linear or non-linear autoregressive statistical models. For this purpose, reversed p th-order residuals are introduced. Cross-correlations of residuals and squared reversed residuals allow extensions of current model identification ideas. Quadratic types of partial autocorrelation functions are introduced to assess dependence associated with non-linear models which nevertheless have linear autoregressive correlation structures. The use of these residuals and their cross-correlation functions is exemplified empirically on some deseasonalized river flow data for which a first-order autoregressive model is a satisfactory second-order fit. Parallel theoretical computations are undertaken for the non-linear first-order random coefficient autoregressive model and comparisons are made. While the data are shown to be strongly non-linear, their correlational signatures are found to be convincingly different from those of a first-order autoregressive model with random coefficients.     

Reaction kinetics study of asymmetric polymer-polymer interface

In this study, the reaction kinetics of asymmetric polymer-polymer interface was experimentally and theoretically studied. A new rheological method correlating the change of rheological property of reactive system with the conversion of the in situ formed copolymers was applied to study the reaction kinetics of PBT/epoxy reactive system. Then, the new method was proved to be useful by comparing its results with that obtained from the conventional endgroup determination method. Moreover, the conversion of PBT/epoxy reactive system from rheological method could be well fitted by the numerical analysis, from which the kinetic constant and the diffusion constant of epoxy in PBT could be determined simultaneously.     

Stability analysis and controller synthesis for discrete uncertain singular fuzzy systems with distinct difference matrices in the rules

This paper mainly studies an extended discrete singular fuzzy model incorporating the multiple difference matrices in the rules and discusses its stability and design issues. By embracing additional algebraic constraint, traditional discrete Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model can be extended to a generalised discrete singular Takagi-Sugeno (GDST-S) model with individual difference matrices E_i in the locally singular models, where it can describe a larger class of physical or non-linear systems. Based on the linear matrix inequality (LMI) approach, we focus on deriving some explicit stability and design criteria expressed by the LMIs for the regarded system. Thus, the stability verification and controller synthesis can be performed by the current LMI tools. Finally, some illustrative examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness and validity of the proposed approach.     

清洁镀铬用紫色硫酸铬

紫色硫酸铬是一种新型清洁镀铬（Cr^3 镀铬）的原料，在镀铬中显示了优良的性能，特别是镀液无需预电解处理亦能得到满意镀层这一实验结论，使清洁镀铬工艺实现工业生产又向前迈进了一步，介绍了它的制法，技术要求，物相分析及使用效果。     

7万吨/年催化裂化装置技术改造及装置现状分析

阐述催化裂化装置５×１０４ｔ／ａＦＣＣＵ技改为７×１０４ｔ／ａＡＲＧＧ的技改内容及工艺特点，并对装置运行现状进行分析。重点就进一步提高液化气收率以及稳定、优化装置长周期、高效运行进行探讨、研究。     

Analysing interactive devices based on information resource constraints

Analysis of the usability of an interactive system requires both an understanding of how the system is to be used and a means of assessing the system against that understanding. Such analytic assessments are particularly important in safety-critical systems as latent vulnerabilities may exist which have negative consequences only in certain circumstances. Many existing approaches to assessment use tasks or scenarios to provide explicit representation of their understanding of use. These normative user behaviours have the advantage that they clarify assumptions about how the system will be used but have the disadvantage that they may exclude many plausible deviations from these norms. Assessments of how a design fails to support these user behaviours can be a matter of judgement based on individual experience rather than evidence. We present a systematic formal method for analysing interactive systems that is based on constraints rather than prescribed behaviour. These constraints capture precise assumptions about what information resources are used to perform action. These resources may either reside in the system itself or be external to the system. The approach is applied to two different medical device designs, comparing two infusion pumps currently in common use in hospitals. Comparison of the two devices is based on these resource assumptions to assess consistency of interaction within the design of each device.     

涂料剖析

简要分析了不同涂料体系分析程序,说明了每种涂料剖析体系中应该注意的事项。