Does decision quality (always) increase with the size of information samples? Some vicissitudes in applying the law of large numbers.

Adaptive decision making requires that contingencies between decision options and their relative assets be assessed accurately and quickly. The present research addresses the challenging notion that contingencies may be more visible from small than from large samples of observations. An algorithmic account for such a seemingly paradoxical effect is offered within a satisficing-choice framework. Accordingly, a choice is only made when the sample contingency describing the relative evaluation of the 2 options exceeds a critical threshold. Small samples, because of the high dispersion of their sampling distribution, facilitate above-threshold contingencies. Across a broad range of parameters, the resulting small-sample advantage in terms of hits is stronger than their disadvantage in false alarms. Computer simulations and experiments support the model predictions. The relative advantage of small samples is most apparent when information loss is low, when the threshold is high relative to the ecological contingency, and when the sampling process is self-truncated. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

轧制始极片

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太原精神病院污水处理系统改建为中水处理系统的工程设计

太原精神病医院将现有生活污水处理系统改建为中水回用系统,平均日处理水量100 m3.工程设计充分考虑了对原有设施的利用,生物处理单元采用生物接触氧化法.为减少污水提升次数,调节池设在生物处理单元之后.通过延长水力停留时间缓解水量、水质波动对沉淀、生物处理单元的不利影响,投入运行后效果良好.     

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采用Nd∶YAG脉冲激光器对Al2 O3陶瓷进行铣削加工试验。系统研究了工艺参数对铣削量和铣削面质量的影响规律 ,并利用优化的铣削工艺对Al2 O3陶瓷进行多种形状的铣削加工。     

复合材料的最新进展与应用

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报道了采用超声波强化原油破乳电脱盐技术的开发与工业应用.经过实验室开发确定的超声波强化原油破乳电脱盐专利技术--超声波-电场联合破乳脱盐组合技术采用顺逆流方式.该技术于2003年9月在齐鲁分公司完成工业应用试验后,超声波强化原油破乳设备直接投入生产运行,在不加入化学破乳剂的情况下,可使胜利混输原油(平均盐浓度为50 mg/L,平均水质量分数为0.5%～1.0%)脱后盐浓度低于3 mg/L,水质量分数小于0.3%.     

架起试井理论和应用间的桥梁

分析指出试井理论和应用之间存在的问题，提出构架试井理论和应用之间桥梁的基础，明确构架桥梁的方法和手段。根据目前国内外试井理论和应用的发展状况，指出试井理论和试井分析方法应用的发展趋势。     

Study on Hydrocracking of VGO Derived from Kazakhstan-Russian Mixed Crude

1 Introduction With the successful completion of the construction of the China-Kazakhstan oil pipeline the refinery at Dushanzi Pet- rochemical Company will process the Kazakhstan-Russian mixed crude at full steam starting 2007. The high sulfur, nitro- gen and heavy metals contents in the Kazakhstan-Russian mixed crude would have a serious impact on the secondary processing units of the Dushanzi refinery, in particular on the distillate hydrocracking unit, which mainly operates on vacuum g…