基于领域知识的预警规则发现研究

预警有助于及时预防和解决隐患,具有重要的应用价值,受到了广泛的关注。提出了一种新的预警机制,以领域相关的预警知识为基础构建预警系统,重点研究了以实际数据为资源,基于背景领域知识挖掘出预警规则,使得预警系统中的预警知识更丰富、更完备、更具有实际应用价值。将上述研究应用于高校教学教务系统的学生成绩预警,实验结果表明所提出的预警机制和方法是有效的。     

珠三角地区咸潮入侵预警预报信息系统的总体设计

珠江口由于淡水径流量小、河口较宽,潮水比较容易进入,每年都会发生不同程度的咸潮现象,咸潮对珠三角城市群构成整体威胁。本文提出预警预报系统设计思想,旨在从计算机软件层面通过预警系统加以模拟实现咸潮发生、发展的整个侵入过程,从而更加科学合理地制定珠三角咸潮的应对措施,为咸潮入侵应急预案提供决策依据。     

Testing Concrete E‐modulus at Very Early Ages Through Several Techniques: An Inter‐laboratory Comparison

The design of concrete structures is based on calculation rules, which often do not take into account the very early age behaviour of the material. However, during this period, structural concrete is subjected to strains due to the hydration process of cement. If these strains are restrained by concrete itself or surrounding boundaries, stresses start to build up that can lead to the formation of cracks. Among the parameters involved in the stress build up, the stiffness evolution is of major importance. This paper reports the use of eight different techniques aimed at stiffness evolution assessment, applied on the same concrete mix, in a round robin experimental test within three laboratories. The observations are compared after having expressed the results at the same equivalent age. Both the loading stress rate and amplitude are observed to have an effect of limited importance on the determination of the quasi‐static elastic modulus, which might be explained by very short term creep. Ultrasonic measurements provide values of E‐modulus that are higher than the values provided by the quasi‐static tests at the time of the concrete setting. Similar mechanisms associated to very short term creep could explain the difference between the quasi‐static and high‐frequency elastic modulus.     

水杨醛亚胺前过渡金属烯烃聚合催化剂研究进展

水杨醛亚胺前过渡金属催化剂是由水杨醛亚胺配体和前过渡金属配位生成的一种性能优越、用途广泛的烯烃聚合催化剂。水杨醛亚胺配体具有易于通过有机合成手段引入不同取代基的特点,因此通过改变催化活性中心附近的空间位阻效应、电子效应及金属活性中心数量,可以实现对聚合活性、聚合产物及产物分布的调控。文中综述了水杨醛亚胺前过渡金属催化剂的开发现状,重点阐述了水杨醛亚胺前过渡金属催化剂的配体结构对催化性能的影响,涉及到高选择性乙烯三聚、乙烯/α-烯烃、乙烯/极性单体共聚、乙烯聚合生产超高分子量聚乙烯等众多烯烃聚合领域,为这类催化剂的深入研究及工业化应用提供参考。     

一种电池供电的采煤机启动预警电路设计

介绍了一种电池供电的采煤机启动预警电路的软、硬件设计方案,电路调试方法,调试过程中出现的问题及优化方法。该电路采用12 V充电电池作为系统电源,由MSP430F149单片机控制采煤机机身上电的预警过程,并且实时监控电池电量;如果单片机检测到的电池电压低于程序预设的低电压阈值,则驱动LED发出闪烁提醒信号,提醒用户给系统电池充电;整个电路在不用时处于低功耗模式,以延长使用时间。经过调试及优化,该电路程序运行正确,静态功耗仅为0.2 mA,满足低功耗设计要求。     

一种基于自适应扁平搜索模板的改进ARPS算法

针对ARPS算法中初始预测运动矢量不够精确并且ARPS算法针对不同宏块采用相同搜索策略的问题,在深入研究ARPS算法原理的基础上,提出一种基于自适应扁平搜索模板的新的快速运动估计算法.本文在算法的初始预测运动矢量、算法提前终止准则等方面提出了新的观点和方法,同时针对物体的不同运动趋势采用不同的搜索模板.实验证明,本文提出的改进算法在不影响图像编码效率的前提下较大地降低了计算复杂度.     

An integrated package for drought monitoring,prediction and analysis to aid drought modeling and assessment

Due to severe drought events and disastrous impacts in recent decades, substantial efforts have been devoted recently to drought monitoring, prediction and risk analysis for aiding drought preparedness plans and mitigation measures. Providing an overview of these aspects of drought research, this study presents an integrated R package and illustrates a wide range of its applications for drought modeling and assessment based on univariate and multivariate drought indices for both operational and research purposes. The package also includes statistical prediction of drought in a probabilistic manner based on multiple drought indicators, which serves as a baseline for drought prediction. The univariate and multivariate drought risk analysis of drought properties and indices is also presented. Finally, potential extensions of this package are also discussed. The package is provided freely to public to aid drought early warning and management.     

Parents,pre‐schoolers and learning with technology at home: some implications for policy

Schemes that seek to ensure that children have access to technology at home have, so far, been aimed at children over the age of 8. However, there is likely to be an increasing policy interest in extending similar schemes to pre‐school children given widespread commitment to the value of early intervention in children's education and family life. We draw on three research studies conducted by the authors to discuss the range of technologies that children encounter at home, the different forms their learning takes and family support for learning. We use these findings to provide starting points for considering the implementation of similar schemes for pre‐school children and their parents in the future, identifying several questions to consider when developing policy on home access to technology for pre‐schoolers: which technologies are most appropriate? Will access to technology at home lead to increased use? What roles do parents play in supporting learning? Which forms of learning are most likely to be promoted?     

弹道导弹的雷达探测系统仿真

该文根据弹道理论建立了雷则弹道导弹的仿真模型,并对雷达跟踪的导弹弹道数据进行了处理,预报了它的落点范围,并与理论落点进行比较,给出了落点精度。仿真结果表明：雷达对导弹的探测数据经过一数据处理,所得到的落点比较精确。     

基于GIS的矿井自然灾害隐患识别、预警模型研究

以煤矿地理中间数据一体化管理的数据模型和数据结构为基础,文章提出了一种基于GIS的煤矿自然灾害隐患识别单体评判预警模型、区域评判预警模型以及两者综合的煤矿自然灾害隐患识别区域与单体联合评判预警模型,并详细研究了模型的数据要求和模型的实现流程等关键问题。