Conditional probability Markov chain simulation based reliability analysis method for nonnormal variables

Based on fast Markov chain simulation for generating the samples distributed in failure region and saddlepoint approximation(SA) technique,an efficient reliability analysis method is presented to evaluate the small failure probability of non-linear limit state function(LSF) with non-normal variables.In the presented method,the failure probability of the non-linear LSF is transformed into a product of the failure probability of the introduced linear LSF and a feature ratio factor.The introduced linear LSF wh...     

服务质量要求下的分布式网络可靠性计算方法

为了评估构建在互联网络环境中,具有服务质量要求的分布式网络可靠性能,研究出一套可靠性指标计算方法.首先按照服务质量要求,在赋有权值的网络中计算出分布式节点间所有路由.然后根据这些路由建立满足服务质量要求的网络邻接矩阵,对邻接矩阵进行分解与整合等变换运算,求得不交化网络状态集.最后根据不交化网络状态集得到可靠性指标的计算式,进而完成可靠性指标计算.论述了算法每个关键环节的正确性,通过算例和实验结果充分说明了新算法的合理性.     

Damage and deterioration mechanism and curing technique of concrete structure in main coal cleaning plants

Concrete structures in main coal cleaning plants have been rebuilt and reinforced in the coal mines of the Shanghai Da-tun Energy Sources Co. Ltd., the first colliery of the Pingdingshan Coal Co. Ltd. and the Sanhejian mine of the Xuzhou Mining Group Co. Ltd. In these projects, the operating environment and reliability of concrete structures in the main plants of the three companies were investigated and the safety of the structures inspected. Qualitative and quantitative analyses were made on the spe-cial natural, technological and mechanical environments around the structures. On the basis of these analyses, we discuss the long-term, combined actions of the harsh natural (corrosive gases, liquids and solids) and mechanical environments on concrete structures and further investigated the damage and deteriorating mechanisms and curing techniques of concrete structures in the main coal cleaning plants. Our study can provide a theoretical basis for ensuring the reliability of concrete structures in main coal cleaning plants.     

数字音频水印的有效性和可靠性研究

针对音频水印的LSB算法的可靠性较差的问题,运用纠错编码和随机序列来提高水印系统的可靠性,通过增多水印的嵌入位数来提高水印系统的有效性。实验结果表明,水印系统的可靠性和有效性都得到了明显的改善。     

基于分布式计算的电网运行可靠性评估算法研究

针对电网运行可靠性评估计算量大,但又要求计算时间短的问题,提出了一种基于分布式计算的电网运行可靠性评估算法。该算法采用改进的状态选择和分析方案,解决了计算终端间随机数序列的关联性问题,有效地降低了通信量,提高了计算速度。基于该算法编制的评估软件已通过RTS-24系统和某省级电网的实际运行测试,测试结果表明,该算法不仅能够有效评估电网运行可靠性,而且计算速度随计算终端数增加呈一定倍数提高。     

J2EE应用服务器的软件老化测试研究

软件老化现象是影响软件可靠性的重要因素,长期运行的软件系统存在软件老化现象,这将影响整个业务系统的正常运行,给企事业单位带来无可估量的经济损失。软件老化出现的主要原因是操作系统资源消耗殆尽,导致应用系统的性能下降甚至崩溃或宕机。文中监测J2EE应用服务器系统资源的使用情况,考虑外界的负载变化,检测系统中软件老化现象,分析系统资源消耗何时达到临界值,从而帮助软件工程人员及时采取预维护手段,预防运行时系统中重大故障的发生。     

发电系统短期可靠性评估的等效机组法

本文提出了等效机组的概念,有效地解决了发电系统短期可靠性评估中的“状态爆炸”难题该方法不仅提高了短期可靠性评估的速度和精度,而且极大地压缩了计算存贮量,使发电系统短期可靠性评估更趋于实用化.通过对示例发电系统进行短期可靠性评估,其结果证明了该方法的正确性和有效性.     

Probabilistic and interval reliability design of the composite pressure vessel

Considering the randomness or interval character of physical parameters and applied loads of composite pressure vessels (COPV), the COPV reliability-analyzing model is built. And then the computational expressions for the mean value, standard deviation and deviation of fiber stress are deduced by the random factor method. The probabilistic and interval reliability designs on COPV are implemented by utilizing the probabilistic method and interval method combined with the improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, respectively. The influence of fluctuation of structure uncertain parameters on COPV design thickness is inspected. Finally, examples are given to demonstrate that both probabilistic and interval reliability methods can satisfy the safety requirement and both are of higher rationality than the traditional safety factor method. And probabilistic method has a lower relative error but a higher computational complexity contrasted with the interval method.     

打车软件混合随机均衡模型时间可靠性研究*

为了探究打车软件出现后对乘客打车行为的影响,揭示是否使用打车软件对乘客候车时间长短的变化规律,基于路网混合随机均衡模型理论,在考虑打车软件对出租车司机搜索行为影响和随机变化的OD对需求条件下,构建基于弹性需求的打车软件随机用户均衡模型;然后结合乘客等车、司机空驶时间和可靠性计算模型,引入连续平均（MSA）算法和随机路径流量分配（Dial）算法进行求解;最后通过算例验证了所建模型和算法的有效性。研究结果表明不同需求弹性下、是否使用打车软件对会乘客候车时间及候车时间可靠性产生明显的差异。     

数控机床的可靠性分析

从不同侧面分析了数控机床的可靠性,阐述了提高数控机床可靠性的方法。