Can Fusion and Fission Breeding Help Civilization Survive?

As apparent from the title, this author feels that civilization faces a real threat, one which will become obvious and serious within the lifetimes of many readers of this article. This threat is not global warming, but lack of affordable energy. We take for granted turning on a light, or adjusting our thermostats in winter or summer, or filling our cars gas tank; and lose sight of the fact that there are huge and complicated industrial systems which make this possible. But as we run out of petroleum and natural gas, and worry about the environmental and climatic effects of burning coal on the required scale, how can this continue? This paper makes the case that breeding nuclear fuel, by both fusion and fission, is the only way our civilization as we know it, can continue beyond the next half century or so.     

基于分形理论的供应链管理模型分析

为了克服日益复杂的供应链问题,在分形理论的基础上介绍了分形供应链的概念和特点,认为分形供应链所具有的自相似、自组织、自优化等特点可以很好地提高供应链的灵活性,增强适应环境的能力.在此基础上进一步研究了分形供应链的结构模型和运作模型,探讨了其现实意义.     

高科技企业的供应链管理特点研究

高科技企业的供应链管理研究对于指导高科技企业的运作具有重要意义。本文从建立供应链合作伙伴关系、建立适应高科技企业发展的分销渠道、合理的组织间交易激励政策的设计、供应链流程的优化和集成等四个方面对高科技企业的供应链管理进行了论述。     

钌基厚膜电阻传导模型初探

介绍钌基厚膜电阻的三种传导模型。三种模型都可以得到较满意的R—V曲线，不足处是链模型得出电阻率和导电相粒子形状及尺寸的关系和实验事实不符；有效介质模型不能反映厚膜电阻形成过程中众多因素的影响；渗透模型很多参数的获得有赖经验公式。渗透模型能反映烧结过程中更多因素的影响，并可解释方阻与导电相粒度及峰值温度的变化关系。     

供应链环境下的性能评价系统研究

在竞争全球化的趋势下，供应链管理越来越受到企业重视，供应链性能评价系统(supply Chain Performance Mea-surement System,SCPMS)是供应链管理的关键组成部分，然而企业却不愿意或没有能力建立有效的性能评价系统。总结了供应链性能评价的定义、发展过程及难点，在此基础上提供了一套供应链性能评价的方法，为企业快速建立集成供应链性能评价系统提供借鉴。     

A semiparametric model for compositional data analysis in presence of covariates on the simplex

Compositional data occur as natural realizations of multivariate observations comprising element proportions of some whole quantity. Such observations predominate in disciplines like geology, biology, ecology, economics and chemistry. Due to unit sum constraint on compositional data, specialized statistical methods are required for analyzing these data. Dirichlet distributions were originally used to study compositional data even though this family of distribution is not appropriate (see Aitchison, 1986) because of their extreme independence properties. Aitchison (1982) endeavored to provide a viable alternative to existing methods by employing Logistic Normal distribution to analyze such constrained data. However this family does not include the Dirichlet class and is therefore unable to address the issue of extreme independence. In this paper generalized Liouville family is investigated to model compositional data which includes covariates. This class permits distributions that admit negative or mixed correlation and also contains non-Dirichlet distributions with non-positive correlation and overcomes deficits in the Dirichlet class. Semiparametric Bayesian methods are proposed to estimate the probability density. Predictive distributions are used to assess performance of the model. The methods are illustrated on a real data set.     

牵引链强度的模糊可靠度计算方法研究

利用最大应力和最小极限应力的概念 ,建立了机械强度的模糊可靠性设计理论 ,依据此理论 ,对刮板输送机牵引链强度的模糊可靠性设计问题进行了研究 ,并附有应用实例。     

可调链式切皂机的结构设计

阐述了可调链式切皂机的设计思想、工作原理、结构特点、机械特性及设计注意事项。     

检修链在煤矿生产中的作用

机电事故严重影响企业的安全运行。国投新集二矿通过完善机电设备检修链的各个环节,最终实现了降低机电事故率的目标。     

Calendar maintenance of arbitrarily structured systems

A semi-Markov model is constructed that describes an arbitrarily structured multicomponent technological system and takes into account its calendar maintenance. Using an aggregation algorithm, approximate values of stationary reliability characteristics and an optimal term of maintenance work are determined for the system. __________ Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 2, pp. 69–86, March–April 2006.