Dempster-Shafer证据理论在目标意图预测中的应用

为了准确对目标意图进行预测,以便我方及时合理地作出战术决策,采用D-S证据理论对目标意图进行预测。首先提取出影响目标意图预测的各个态势因素,然后分析每个因素的影响效果。在此基础上建立目标意图预测的数学模型,利用D-S合成法则将所有因素的影响进行综合,并计算出各个可能命题的概率赋值并给出相应决策。最后,通过仿真实例验证了该方法在目标意图预测中的可行性和实用性。     

基于文本挖掘的WUI火灾致灾因子网络构建及特征分析

为预防和减少WUI火灾的发生, 挖掘WUI火灾关键致灾因子, 厘清致灾因子间的作用机制. 本文首先基于本文挖掘技术从WUI火灾事故案例中得到致灾因子, 使用Apriori算法得到致灾因子之间的关联规则. 然后使用复杂网络理论构建WUI火灾致灾因子网络, 计算网络拓扑特征参数, 探析WUI火灾致灾因子网络特征. 最后引入WUI火灾致因链风险度指标, 挖掘出高风险连边, 并提出断链措施. 结果表明: WUI火灾致灾因子网络具有小世界特性, 高温、强风、干旱等对其他致灾因子影响较大. 燃烧废弃物、植物起火、应急响应速度、人为纵火、强风在不同致灾因子转换中具有重要作用, 应加强管控. 网络中风险度最高的边是燃烧废弃物→植物起火, 通过颁布禁止擅自燃烧废弃物等规定, 即可切断该风险链, 实现对WUI火灾的预防和主动控制.     

The Role of Polymorphisms at the Interleukin-1, Interleukin-4, GATA-3 and Cyclooxygenase-2 Genes in Non-Surgical Periodontal Therapy

Periodontitis is a multifactorial disease. The aim of this explorative study was to investigate the role of Interleukin-(IL)-1, IL-4, GATA-3 and Cyclooxygenase-(COX)-2 polymorphisms after non-surgical periodontal therapy with adjunctive systemic antibiotics (amoxicillin/metronidazole) and subsequent maintenance in a Caucasian population. Analyses were performed using blood samples from periodontitis patients of a multi-center trial (ClinicalTrials.gov {"type":"clinical-trial","attrs":{"text":"NCT00707369","term_id":"NCT00707369"}}NCT00707369=ABPARO-study). Polymorphisms were analyzed using quantitative real-time PCR. Clinical attachment levels (CAL), percentage of sites showing further attachment loss (PSAL) ≥1.3 mm, bleeding on probing (BOP) and plaque score were assessed. Exploratory statistical analysis was performed. A total of 209 samples were genotyped. Patients carrying heterozygous genotypes and single-nucleotide-polymorphisms (SNP) on the GATA-3-IVS4 +1468 gene locus showed less CAL loss than patients carrying wild type. Heterozygous genotypes and SNPs on the IL-1A-889, IL-1B +3954, IL-4-34, IL-4-590, GATA-3-IVS4 +1468 and COX-2-1195 gene loci did not influence CAL. In multivariate analysis, CAL was lower in patients carrying GATA-3 heterozygous genotypes and SNPs than those carrying wild-types. For the first time, effects of different genotypes were analyzed in periodontitis progression after periodontal therapy and during supportive treatment using systemic antibiotics demonstrating a slight association of GATA-3 gene locus with CAL. This result suggests that GATA-3 genotypes are a contributory but non-essential risk factor for periodontal disease progression.     

Novel Insights into Factor D Inhibition

Complement-mediated diseases or complementopathies, such as Paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH), cold agglutinin disease (CAD), and transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA), demand advanced complement diagnostics and therapeutics be adopted in a vast field of medical specialties, such as hematology, transplantation, rheumatology, and nephrology. The miracle of complement inhibitors as “orphan drugs” has dramatically improved morbidity and mortality in patients with otherwise life-threatening complementopathies. Efficacy has been significantly improved by upstream inhibition in patients with PNH. Different molecules may exert diverse characteristics in vitro and in vivo. Further studies remain to show safety and efficacy of upstream inhibition in other complementopathies. In addition, cost and availability issues are major drawbacks of current treatments. Therefore, further developments are warranted to address the unmet clinical needs in the field of complementopathies. This state-of-the-art narrative review aims to delineate novel insights into factor D inhibition as a promising target for complementopathies.     

Production of Lacto-N-biose I Using Crude Extracts of Bifidobacterial Cells

Lacto-N-biose I (LNB) is supposed to represent the bifidus factor in human milk oligosaccharides, and can be practically produced from sucrose and GlcNAc using four bifidobacterial enzymes, 1,3-β-galactosyl-N-acetylhexosamine phosphorylase, sucrose phosphorylase, UDP-glucose-hexose 1-phosphate uridylyltransferase, and UDP-glucose 4-epimerase, recombinantly produced by Escherichia coli. Here the production of LNB by the same enzymatic method without using genetically modified enzymes to consider the use of LNB for a food ingredient was reported. All four enzymes were produced as the intracellular enzymes of Bifidobacterium strains. The mixture of the crude extracts contained all four enzymes, with other enzymes interfering with the LNB production, namely, phosphoglucomutase, fructose 6-phosphate phosphoketolase, and glycogen phosphorylase. The first two interfering enzymes were selectively inactivated by heat treatment at 47 °C for 1 h in the presence of pancreatin, and glycogen phosphorylase was disabled by hydrolyzing its possible acceptor molecules using glucoamylase. Finally, 91 % of GlcNAc was converted into LNB in the 100-mL reaction mixture containing 300 mM GlcNAc.     

损失重量式工业动态称量系统的剖析

介绍了损失重量式动态称量系统的构成、工作原理及校正方法。动态称量系统主要由称量料斗、称量元件、输送装置和控制装置构成,其工作原理基于受控重量的损失,电路控制的重点是称量元件和控制装置。校正方法主要为物位控制校正和变化量校正,现场校正和计算机远程控制校正的一致性是成功校正的关键。     

江西省余江县土壤肥力变化和驱动因素与对策研究

对照分析了余江县第二次土壤普查时期和2003年土壤养分和土壤pH的时空变化和土壤肥力综合指数变化。运用模糊数学、多元统计和层次分析方法,选取指标并计算了余江县土壤肥力各指标的隶属度、权重,并最终求得土壤肥力综合指数。通过比较发现,20年来,余江县土壤pH有显著下降,土壤酸化加重;速效磷、速效钾有较大幅度的显著提高;而有机质略有下降、全氮略有升高,但是变化幅度不大,不明显;土壤肥力综合指数显著增加。分析了变化的驱动因素主要是农业产业结构的调整和施肥量增加、施肥结构的更加合理,还与气候、地形、酸雨和土壤侵蚀的改善有一定的关系。并根据余江县的实际提出了合理对策。