Time and cost securing in complex large-scale projects

Meeting time and cost objectives in complex projects involves specific problems and risks. An attempt is made to analyse the components of total cost increase of a project caused by time delay. An outline is given as to how these considerations can be used to estimate cost increases in investors' decision situations as well as to ascertain fair contractual penalties and claims for compensation and for the evaluation of justified project acceleration costs.     

Evaluating dynamic performance: The influence of salient Gestalt characteristics on performance ratings.

It is well recognized that performance changes over time. However, the effect of these changes on overall assessments of performance is largely unknown. In a laboratory experiment, we examined the influence of salient Gestalt characteristics of a dynamic performance profile on supervisory ratings. We manipulated performance trend (flat, linear-improving, linear-deteriorating, U-shaped, and ∩-shaped), performance variation (small, large), and performance mean (negative, zero, positive) within subjects and display format (graphic, tabular) between subjects. Participants received and evaluated information about the weekly performance of different employees over a simulated 26-week period. Results showed strong main effects on performance ratings of both performance mean and performance trend, as well as interactions with display format. Theoretical and practical implications of the results are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

利用试井资料评价压裂地质效果

依据裂缝井试井解释理论，利用实测试井资料对压裂地质效果进行了深入剖析。通过部分探井措施后增产效果实例研究，把压裂地质效果分为三种类别；并从地质角度出发，详细分析了优选压裂井层的依据。为油气井合理开发和制定增产措施提供参考依据。     

多级网络多处理机系统的性能评估

本文建立了多级网络(δ-网)多处理机系统的马尔柯夫模型,为系统结构参数和任务粒度的选择提供了依据。文中分析了处理机数目、网络结构参数和任务粒度对系统性能的影响,并对模型计算结果和仿真结果作了比较。     

煤气吹扫时惰性气体抑爆用量的优选

运用惰性气体消防抑爆理论，采用数学积分法计算出吹扫煤气设施时抑爆所需最少惰性气体需要量．     

熔窑玻璃液流数值模拟的新发展

熔窑玻璃液流数值模拟的新发展赵国昌（清华大学核能技术设计研究院，１０００８４）ＮｅｗＤｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｔｈｅＮｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌＳｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｆｏｒＦｌｏｗａｎｄＨｅａｔＴｒａｎｓｆｅｒｏｆＧｌａｓｓＭｅｌｔｉｎＴａｎｋＦｕｒｎａｃｅ￥Ｚ...     

令牌多环网性能—可靠性综合评价

网络的性能与可靠性已分别得到广泛的研究,然而,怎样分析具有容错机制的环网的性能仍属有待开拓的研究领域,本文提出了一种分析具有自修复机制的多环网络系统的方法,并给出了报文传输时间分布的拉氏变换式,平均等待时间及平均队列长度公式,分析结果可用于评估故障与修复过程对实时令牌环网的实时响应特性的影响,对基于LAN的分布式实时系统设计具有指导意义。     

85W／90卡车手动变速箱油的研制

介绍８５Ｗ／９０卡车手动变速箱油的组分和添加剂，提出符合８５Ｗ／９０粘度级别的基础油，讨论影响８５Ｗ／９０卡车手动变速箱油性能的各种因素，给出符合８５Ｗ／９０卡车手动变速箱油规格的油品配方。     

Hydrocarbon exploration risk evaluation through uncertainty and sensitivity analyses techniques

The evaluation of the exploration risk in the oil industry is a fundamental component of the decision process related to the exploratory phase. In this paper the two basic components of the exploratory risk: trap geometry and trapped hydrocarbon quantities (fluid), are compounded in a single coherent uncertainty and sensitivity approach. The results clarify that the model geometry influences each Petroleum System Modeling step and that the geometric uncertainty is correlated with the fluid uncertainty. The geometric uncertainty evaluation makes use of geostatistical techniques that produce a number of possible realizations of the trap geometry, all compatible with available data. The evaluation of the fluid uncertainty, through a Monte Carlo methodology, allows us to compute the possible quantities of oil and gas, generated in a basin and migrated from the hydrocarbon source location to each single trap. The final result is the probability distribution of oil and gas for each trap in the basin, together with other useful indicators like: the hydrocarbon filling probability map, the closure probability map, the drainage area probability map, the spilling paths probabilities, the trap-filling scenarios.