The effect of continuously updating control chart limits on control chart performance

An open topic within statistical process monitoring is the effect on control chart properties of updating the control chart limits during the monitoring period. The challenge is to use the correct data for updating the control limits as in‐control data could be incorrectly classified as out of control and therefore not used for re‐estimating the parameters, and out‐of‐control data could be classified as in control and therefore used for re‐estimating. In the present article, we study the effect of updating the Shewhart, cumulative sum, and exponentially weighted moving average control chart limits. We simulate different scenarios: the monitoring data could be in or out of control, and the practitioner may or may not be able to find out whether the process is indeed out of control when the control chart gives a signal. The results reveal that the variation in the performance of the conditional control charts decreases significantly as a result of updating the control chart limits when the updating data are in control and also when the updating data are out of control and the practitioner is able to classify correctly data samples that produce a signal. However, when a practitioner is not able to classify a signal correctly, the advisability of updating depends on the type of control chart and the level of data contamination.     

Controlling autocorrelated data in multistage manufacturing processes with an application to textile industry

In recent years, much attention has been given to monitoring multistage processes in order to effectively improve the product reliability. To this end, the output of the process is investigated under special circumstances, and the values corresponding to reliability‐related quality characteristic are measured. However, analyzing reliability data is quite complicated because of their unique features such as being censored and obeying nonnormal distributions. A more sophisticated picture arises when the observations of the process are autocorrelated in some cases, which makes the application of previous control procedures futile. In this paper, the accelerated failure time (AFT) regression models have been modified in order to account for autocorrelated data. Then, a cumulative sum (CUSUM) control chart and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart based on conditional expected values have been proposed to monitor the quality variable with Weibull distribution while taking the effective covariates into consideration. Extensive simulation studies reveal that the CUSUM control chart outperforms its counterpart in detecting out‐of‐control conditions. Finally, a real case study in a textile industry has been provided to investigate the application of the CUSUM control scheme.     

Improved CUSUM monitoring of Markov counting process with frequent zeros

There has been a growing interest in monitoring processes featuring serial dependence and zero inflation. The phenomenon of excessive zeros often occurs in count time series because of the advancement of quality in manufacturing process. In this study, we propose three control charts, such as the cumulative sum chart with delay rule (CUSUM‐DR), conforming run length (CRL)‐CUSUM chart, and combined Shewhart CRL‐CUSUM chart, to enhance the performance of monitoring Markov counting processes with excessive zeros. Numerical experiments are conducted based on integer‐valued autoregressive time series models, for example, zero‐inflated Poisson INAR and INARCH, to evaluate the performance of the proposed charts designed for the detection of mean increase. A real example is also illustrated to demonstrate the usability of our proposed charts.     

A control scheme integrating the T chart and TCUSUM chart

This article proposes an integrated scheme (T&TCUSUM chart) which combines a Shewhart T chart and a TCUSUM chart (a CUSUM‐type T chart) to monitor the time interval T between the occurrences of an event or the time between events. The performance studies show that the T&TCUSUM chart can effectively improve the overall performance over the entire T shift range. On average, it is more effective than the T chart by 26.66% and the TCUSUM chart by 14.12%. Moreover, the T&TCUSUM chart performs more consistently than other charts for the detection of either small or large T shifts, because it has the strength of both the T chart (more sensitive to large shifts) and the TCUSUM chart (more sensitive to small shifts). The implementation of the new chart is almost as easy as the operation of a TCUSUM chart. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于改进CUSUM算法的路由器异常流量检测

针对核心路由器端口的输入、输出流量的变化,用改进的CUSUM(cumulative sum)算法对其统计特性进行实时监控,检测网络流量异常.基于路由器多端口的特点,提出了矩阵式的多统计量CUSUM算法(M-CUSUM),并提出了可调的参数设定体系,以提高准确性.M-CUSUM算法通过对输入、输出端口流量的绝对差与和之比进行统计,实时地监控其均值的偏移情况.通过对该算法在计算机中的模拟实现,验证了该算法对DOS/DDOS攻击具有较高的检测速度和精度,且系统开销小,已成功运行在软件路由器之上.     

Exponential cumulative sums chart for detecting shifts in time-between-events

Time-between-events (TBE) charts use the time interval T between events to monitor process shifts (or failure rates λ). This paper presents a two-sided TBE cumulative sums (CUSUM) chart called a weighted CUSUM(WCUSUM)chart for detecting either a deterioration (decrease in T) or an improvement (increase in T) in the condition of a process. A new kind of WCUSUM chart that has an additional charting power parameter w is proposed here. A WCUSUM chart’s efficiency can be improved by using the parameter w, based on an estimated value of the mean shift. In addition, a methodology and optimal design are presented for minimising the average loss. Construction of the WCUSUM chart is illustrated by considering a random shift δ in λ (including both increasing and decreasing shifts) in the design.     

一种自适应非参量CUSUM控制图算法

针对CUSUM控制图中存在的固定检测门限和对异常终止反应迟钝的缺点,提出了一种自适应的非参量CUSUM控制图算法.该算法首先利用固定门限剔除野值,同时简化了对显著异常的检测过程.然后,采用简单滑动平均算法对非野值数据进行平滑,并基于切比雪夫不等式理论对平滑后的数据进行转换,使之满足非参量CUSUM算法的使用条件.最后,由算法根据数据转换结果自适应地设置CUSUM算法中的检测门限,并在发出异常告警后实施异常终止监控.在针对SYN洪流攻击的仿真检测试验中,利用该算法能够在检测时延不超过7个采样周期且攻击持续期间不发生漏警的要求下,准确地检测出最低攻击流量仅为正常业务流量20%的攻击行为.     

Advanced multivariate cumulative sum control charts based on principal component method with application

Existing multivariate cumulative sum (MCUSUM) control charts involve entire associated variables of a process to monitor variations in the mean vector. In this study, we have offered MCUSUM control charts with principal component method (PCM). The proposed MCUSUM control charts with PCM capture the whole process variations using fewer latent variables (principal components) while preserving as much data variability as possible. To show the significance of proposed MCUSUM control charts with PCM, various performance measures are considered including average run length, extra quadratic loss, relative average run length, and performance comparison index. Furthermore, performance measures are calculated through advanced Monte Carlo simulation method to explore the behavior of proposed MCUSUM control charts and to conduct comparative analysis with existing models. Results revealed that proposed MCUSUM control charts with PCM are efficient to detect variations timely by involving smaller number of principal components instead of considering entire associated variables. Also, proposed MCUSUM control charts have the ability to accommodate the features of existing control charts, which are illustrated as the special cases. Besides, to highlight the implementation mechanism and advantages of proposed MCUSUM control charts with PCM, a real-life example from wind turbine process is included.