基于数据融合的ABC-SVM社区疾病预测方法

针对现有社区医疗服务中的疾病预测方法存在数据利用率低、疾病分析类型单一、自动化程度差、疾病预测效果不理想等不足,提出在物联网大数据环境下可用于社区医疗的健康数据融合及疾病预测方法. 通过主成分分析(PCA)和聚类分析对社区中居民的生理指标数据进行特征提取;结合人工蜂群(ABC)算法构造支持向量机(SVM)非线性分类器对数据进行特征级融合分析并预测潜在疾病. 实验结果表明,所提方法的疾病识别准确率达到93.10%,相较于传统SVM方法和BP神经网络方法分别提高17.24% 和72.41%. 该方法能够在提高数据利用率、降低计算资源消耗的前提下有效识别多种潜在疾病,可实现疾病早发现、早预防、早治疗;可广泛应用于社区健康管理、老年社区监护甚至临床医疗.     

轧制工艺对高碳钢线材性能影响的研究

研究了高碳钢线材轧制过程中终轧温度、吐丝温度和冷却速度对线材性能的影响,并采用数值优化方法建立了性能预测模型,其结果表明,模型计算精度较高。     

结晶器电偶温度数据预处理方法的研究

提出了一套热电偶温度数据预处理方案。将所提出的数据预处理方案应用于自行开发的基于RBF神经网络预报系统中，表明了该方案能有效降低误报率，同时也提高了预报精度。     

支持向量机及其在径流预测中的应用

给出了支持向量机方法(SVM)的思路、特点及关键之处,探讨了SVM在径流预测中的可能性,并与基于遗传算法的门限回归模型(TR) 进行了对比分析。径流预测实例分析表明,在拟合阶段,SVM模型要好于TR模型;在预留检验阶段,SVM模型与TR模型接近。同时SVM模型适合于小样本情况且能达到全局最优。SVM模型用于径流预测是可行的、优越的。     

A fatigue-life prediction methodology for notched aluminum-magnesium alloy in gulf seawater environment

Local-strain and linear-elastic fracture-mechanics (LEFM) methodologies have been investigated for prediction of the corrosion-fatigue life of notched components of specially developed Al-2.5Mg alloys exposed to Arabian Gulf seawater environment. Corrosion-fatigue crack initiation life estimates were obtained using strain-life relationships; corrosion-fatigue crack propagation life estimates were obtained using LEFM relationships. The total corrosion-fatigue life was considered to be the sum of the crack initiation and crack propagation lives. Estimated corrosion-fatigue lives were compared with experimentally obtained corrosion-fatigue life data using center-notched specimens of three types of Al-2.5Mg alloys (containing different amounts of chromium) exposed to Arabian Gulf seawater environment. Two notch geometries, a circular notch (K _t= 2.42) and an elliptical notch (K _t= 4.2), were investigated. Good corrosion-fatigue life predictions can be obtained using local-strain and LEFM methodologies by determining the relevant material constants via a few simple fatigue tests on smooth specimens and a few crack-growth-rate tests in the environment at the frequency of interest.     

液态金属静压力对缩孔缩松判据的影响

大多数缩孔缩松判据都忽略了液态金属静压力的影响,因此对液态金属静压力较大的铸件的缩孔缩松预测不够准确。针对这一问题,通过对铸件缩孔缩松判据———时间梯度法(Xue判据)的改进,将液态金属静压力P0引入到缩孔　>Ck,与实验缩松判据中,建立了时间梯度法与液态金属静压力之间的关系。新的缩孔缩松判据可表示为P0 80　·Gτ/τ0 6结果对比表明,预测结果与实验结果吻合,比原缩孔缩松判据预测结果更加准确。     

亚洲石化工业概况

概述了亚洲石化工业的现状和发展前景，对２０００年前亚洲地区烯烃和芳烃等基础石化品的生产、供需进行了分析和预测，并对亚洲各国石化品现有生产能力和发展计划进行了详细的报道。     

Microstructure and morphology of amine-cured epoxy coatings before and after outdoor exposures—An AFM study

Atomic force microscopy (AFM) has been used to study the morphology and microstructure of an amine-cured epoxy before and after outdoor exposure. Measurements were made from samples prepared in an essentially CO₂-free, H₂O-free glove box and from samples prepared in ambient conditions. For those prepared in a CO₂-free glove box, AFM imaging was conducted on (1) an unexposed air/coating surface, (2) an unexposed coating bulk, (3) an unexposed coating/substrate interface, and (4) a field exposed air/coating surface. For samples prepared in ambient conditions, only the unexposed air/coating surface was investigated. The same regions of the exposed samples were scanned periodically by the AFM to monitor changes in the surface morphology of the coating as UV exposure progressed. Small angle neutron scattering and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) studies were performed to verify the microstructure and to follow chemical changes during outdoor exposure, respectively. The results have shown that amine blushing, which occurs only under ambient conditions, had a significant effect on the surface morphology and microstructure of the epoxy. The surface morphology of the samples prepared under CO₂-free, dry conditions was generally smooth and homogeneous. However, the interface and the bulk samples clearly revealed a two-phase structure consisting of bright nodular domains and dark interstitial regions, indicating an inhomogeneous microstructure. Such heterogeneous structure of the bulk was in good agreement with results obtained by small angle neutron scattering of unexposed samples and by AFM phase imaging of the degraded sample surface. The relationship between submicrometer physical changes and molecular chemical degradation is discussed. Presented at the 82nd Annual Meeting of the Federation of Societies for Coatings Technology, October 27–29, 2004, in Chicago, IL.     

聚酰亚胺/二氧化硅杂化膜的制备与介电性能的研究

采用溶胶-凝胶法制备了BTDA-ODA聚酰亚胺/SiO2杂化膜,利用红外分光光度计（FTIR）、热重分析仪（TGA）和透射电镜（TEM）研究了杂化膜的微观结构和热性能,并对杂化膜的介电常数（e）和介电损耗（tand）随SiO2粒子含量和电场频率的变化进行了分析和讨论。结果表明：杂化膜的介电常数和介电损耗随SiO2粒子含量的增加而增大,随电场频率的升高而逐渐降低,用考虑到粒子的形状因素和两相间相互作用的EMT模型可以预测聚酰亚胺/SiO2杂化膜的介电常数。     

New correlation for predicting the viscosity of heavy petroleum fractions

A new, simple and reliable empirical correlation for predicting the viscosities of heavy petroleum fractions is proposed, applicable to fractions with mid-boiling points from 80 to 550°C over a wide range of viscosities (0.4 to 260 mm² s⁻¹) and measurement temperatures (40 to 200°C). This correlation showed better accuracy in the prediction of heavy petroleum fraction viscosities than that of the most accurate and much more complicated predictive methods in the literature, since it gave an overall average absolute deviation of 6.5% when tested on 296 data for medium and heavy petroleum fractions.