Mining churning behaviors and developing retention strategies based on a partial least squares (PLS) model

In a very competitive mobile telecommunication business environment, marketing managers need a business intelligence model that allows them to maintain an optimal (at least a near optimal) level of churners very effectively and efficiently while minimizing the costs throughout their marketing programs. As a first step toward optimal churn management program for marketing managers, this paper focuses on building an accurate and concise predictive model for the purpose of churn prediction utilizing a partial least squares (PLS)-based methodology on highly correlated data sets among variables. A preliminary experiment demonstrates that the presented model provides more accurate performance than traditional prediction models and identifies key variables to better understand churning behaviors. Further, a set of simple churn marketing programs—device management, overage management, and complaint management strategies—is presented and discussed.     

Hyper least squares fitting of circles and ellipses

This work extends the circle fitting method of Rangarajan and Kanatani (2009) to accommodate ellipse fitting. Our method, which we call HyperLS, relies on algebraic distance minimization with a carefully chosen scale normalization. The normalization is derived using a rigorous error analysis of least squares (LS) estimators so that statistical bias is eliminated up to second order noise terms. Numerical evidence suggests that the proposed HyperLS estimator is far superior to the standard LS and is slightly better than the Taubin estimator. Although suboptimal in comparison to maximum likelihood (ML), our HyperLS does not require iterations. Hence, it does not suffer from convergence issues due to poor initialization, which is inherent in ML estimators. In this sense, the proposed HyperLS is a perfect candidate for initializing the ML iterations.     

一种基于LS-SVM 的联邦滤波故障检测方法

针对Х^2检验法在组合导航系统联邦滤波故障检测中的不足,提出一种基于最小二乘支持向量机（LS—SVM）的故障检测方法,即在LS-SVM对子滤波器新息进行预测的基础上构造故障检测量．以捷联惯导,卫星,天文组合导航系统为应用平台,采用无重置的联邦滤波对子系统突变和渐变两种故障的检测进行了仿真分析．仿真结果表明,所提出的LS-SVM检测法比残差Х^2检验法具有更好的故障检测能力,由此验证了方法的有效性．     

一种基于球面调和函数的柔性体建模方法实现

给出了球面调和函数表达柔性体模型的原理,重点探讨了一种新的基于球面调和函数多尺度性的虚拟柔性体建模方法的实现机理。实验结果表明,该方法可以实现柔性物体的精确建模和实时表达,适合应用于虚拟现实的柔性物体碰撞检测、虚拟手术等对场景实时性要求较高的领域。     

基于小波分析的直线拟合及应用

直线是图像分析中非常重要的描述符号。对工业控制中的现象进行图像处理时通常用到最小二乘法对直线拟合。对于估计精度要求较高的情形,传统最小二乘法往往不能满足要求。基于此,本文将离散小波变换和传统最小二乘法相结合,建立了一种基于小波测量预处理的最小二乘估计的新型解法,获得了比传统最小二乘法好得多的估计结果,实验证明了该方法的有效性及高精度性。     

RBF网学习的进化优选算法

讨论了用正交最小二乘算法训练ＲＢＦ网的不足之处,然后引入了选择路径的概念,在此基础上,提出了ＲＢＦ网隐层节点选取的进化优选算法,仿真结果表明,在不同的精度要求下,用进化优选算法均能设计出比正交最小二乘算法更小的ＲＢＦ网。     

Fuzzy functions with LSE

“Fuzzy Functions” are proposed to be determined by the least squares estimation (LSE) technique for the development of fuzzy system models. These functions, “Fuzzy Functions with LSE” are proposed as alternate representation and reasoning schemas to the fuzzy rule base approaches. These “Fuzzy Functions” can be more easily obtained and implemented by those who are not familiar with an in-depth knowledge of fuzzy theory. Working knowledge of a fuzzy clustering algorithm such as FCM or its variations would be sufficient to obtain membership values of input vectors. The membership values together with scalar input variables are then used by the LSE technique to determine “Fuzzy Functions” for each cluster identified by FCM. These functions are different from “Fuzzy Rule Base” approaches as well as “Fuzzy Regression” approaches. Various transformations of the membership values are included as new variables in addition to original selected scalar input variables; and at times, a logistic transformation of non-scalar original selected input variables may also be included as a new variable. A comparison of “Fuzzy Functions-LSE” with Ordinary Least Squares Estimation (OLSE)” approach show that “Fuzzy Function-LSE” provide better results in the order of 10% or better with respect to RMSE measure for both training and test cases of data sets.     

最短响应时间优先请求分配算法的研究

分析了在分布式高性能防火墙中两种常用的请求分配算法,在此基础上提出了最短响应时间优先调度算法。仿真表明,该算法具有很好的调度效果和很高的稳定性。     

安全监测仪器检验方法的探讨

振弦式仪器监测的物理量与仪器的频率模数或频率的平方具有统计关系,一般呈直线关系,所以通常采用一元线性回归拟合,如果通过数值分析的最小二乘法进行曲线拟合处理,对于振弦式安全监测仪器的检验可以得到较好的拟合效果,使得检验结果更加合理,并减小误差。